✓Model correct — prediction GIL Vicente
Murilo de Souza
31'
Murilo de Souza
73'
(pen.)
(pen.)
45'+7
Cassiano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GIL Vicente a 63% win probability (draw 24%, Casa Pia 12%). The final result was GIL Vicente 2–1 Casa Pia. In 2 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Casa Pia.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.71
Actual xG
1.25
1
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
18
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
R. Brito
⚽Murilo de Souza
31'
40'
I. Mandic
Ze Carlos
45'+4
45'+7
(pen.)
Cassiano⚽
M. Fernandez
/ A. Moreira
61'
H. Hernandez
/ G. Varela
61'
Ze Carlos
63'
70'
P. Rosas
⚽Murilo de Souza
(pen.)
73'
74'
A. Conte
/
P. Rosas
74'
D. Livramento
/
J. Marques
78'
A. Geraldes
J. Mutombo
/ S. Hevertton
82'
85'
S. Perez
/
I. Mohamed
86'
C. Mendes
/
Cassiano
86'
L. Ofori
/
J. Livolant
Murilo de Souza
/ Bermejo
87'
Ze Carlos
/ A. Espigares
88'
Figueira Daniel
89'
G. Varela
90'+3
A. Espigares
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
63.27%
GIL ←
24.6%
X
12.13%
Casa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (GIL Vicente)
63.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
1.71
+0.15
0.44
1.25
+0.81
GIL Vicente dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Dani Figueira
G
Dani Figueira
G
45
J. Mutombo
82'
D
39
Jonathan Buatu
D
Jonathan Buatu
D
4
M. Elimbi Gilbert
D
M. Elimbi Gilbert
D
2
Zé Carlos
D
Zé Carlos
D
10
Luís Esteves
M
Luís Esteves
M
6
Zé Carlos
88'
M
Zé Carlos
88'
M
32
M. Fernández
61'
M
M. Fernández
61'
M
95
Santi García
M
Santi García
M
77
Murilo
2 ⚽
87'
M
Murilo
2 ⚽
87'
M
23
Héctor Hernández
61'
F
Héctor Hernández
61'
F
Bench
27
A. Moreira
29'
F
A. Moreira
29'
F
29
Carlos Eduardo
F
Carlos Eduardo
F
48
Espigares
10'
D
Espigares
10'
D
89
Gustavo Varela
29'
F
Gustavo Varela
29'
F
20
Hevertton Santos
8'
D
Hevertton Santos
8'
D
17
Sergio Bermejo
11'
F
Sergio Bermejo
11'
F
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
18
Geraldes
D
Geraldes
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
74'
M
Pedro Rosas
74'
M
8
Rafael Brito
M
Rafael Brito
M
24
I. Mohamed
86'
M
I. Mohamed
86'
M
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
11
João Marques
74'
F
90
Cassiano
1 ⚽
85'
F
Cassiano
1 ⚽
85'
F
29
J. Livolant
86'
F
J. Livolant
86'
F
Bench
5
Abdu Conté
16'
D
Abdu Conté
16'
D
99
Claudio
13'
F
10
D. Livramento
16'
F
D. Livramento
16'
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
19
K. Prieto
F
K. Prieto
F
80
L. Ofori
12'
M
L. Ofori
12'
M
42
S. Pérez
12'
M
S. Pérez
12'
M
21
Tiago Morais
F
Tiago Morais
F
Best on the pitch
Murilo
M · GIL
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
Jonathan Buatu
D · GIL
7.30
· 38 pass
Pedro Rosas
M · Casa
7.20
· 18 pass
João Goulart
D · Casa
7.20
· 37 pass
I. Mohamed
M · Casa
7.00
· 30 pass
Santi García
M · GIL
7.00
· 31 pass
GIL Vicente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Figueira | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mutombo | D | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Elimbi Gilbert | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luís Esteves | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Murilo | M | 87 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Héctor Hernández | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Moreira | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Espigares | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Hevertton Santos | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Bermejo | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Geraldes | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Mohamed | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| João Marques | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 85 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Livolant | F | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Abdu Conté | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Claudio | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Livramento | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ofori | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
The final score was GIL Vicente 2–1 Casa Pia.
What did the model predict before GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
The model assigned 63% probability to a GIL Vicente win, 24% to a draw, and 12% to an Casa Pia win.