63'
Borja Sainz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 51% win probability (draw 25%, GIL Vicente 23%). The final result was GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto. In 3 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Porto.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
4
0.43
Actual xG
1.13
3
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
8
13
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
45'
Hwang In-Beom
/
Gabri Veiga
56'
Pablo Rosario
60'
Samuel Aghehowa
/
André Silva
Andreas Lausen
/ Jose Carlos Natario Ferreira
60'
Walace França
/ Mohamed Kaba
60'
Joelson Fernandes
/ Gil Pinto Martins
60'
63'
Borja Sainz⚽
72'
Alan Gonzalo Varela
/
Pablo Rosario
72'
Santiago Giménez
/
Borja Sainz
Diogo Prioste
/ Tidjany Chabrol Toure
75'
Santiago García González
/ Guilherme Gomes
76'
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
84'
Pre-match prediction
23.17%
GIL
25.3%
X
51.53%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto)
51.53%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.84
0.43
-0.41
2.02
1.13
-0.89
FC Porto dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Lucão
G
Lucão
G
45
David Moreira
D
David Moreira
D
39
Jonathan Buatu
D
Jonathan Buatu
D
4
M. Elimbi Gilbert
84'
D
M. Elimbi Gilbert
84'
D
47
Ricardo Esgaio
D
Ricardo Esgaio
D
86
Diogo Ferreira Prioste
75'
M
Diogo Ferreira Prioste
75'
M
12
A. Lausen
60'
M
A. Lausen
60'
M
11
Joelson Fernandes
60'
M
Joelson Fernandes
60'
M
10
Santi García
76'
M
Santi García
76'
M
77
Murilo
M
Murilo
M
9
Walace
60'
F
Walace
60'
F
Bench
27
A. Moreira
F
A. Moreira
F
1
A. Picornell
G
A. Picornell
G
3
Espigares
D
Espigares
D
20
Gil Pinto Martins
30'
M
Gil Pinto Martins
30'
M
82
Gonçalo Maia Pereira
M
Gonçalo Maia Pereira
M
19
Guilherme
14'
M
Guilherme
14'
M
2
José Silva
D
José Silva
D
32
M. Fernández
M
M. Fernández
M
99
M. Kaba
30'
F
M. Kaba
30'
F
94
Samuel
G
Samuel
G
7
T. Touré
15'
F
T. Touré
15'
F
6
Zé Carlos
30'
M
Zé Carlos
30'
M
99
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
12
Z. Sanusi
D
Z. Sanusi
D
4
J. Kiwior
D
J. Kiwior
D
5
J. Bednarek
D
J. Bednarek
D
20
Alberto Baio
D
Alberto Baio
D
10
Gabri Veiga
45'
M
Gabri Veiga
45'
M
13
P. Rosario
72'
M
P. Rosario
72'
M
8
Victor Mow Froholdt
M
Victor Mow Froholdt
M
17
Borja Sainz
1 ⚽
72'
F
Borja Sainz
1 ⚽
72'
F
19
André Silva
60'
F
André Silva
60'
F
11
Pepê Aquino
F
Pepê Aquino
F
Bench
24
Andorinha
G
Andorinha
G
22
A. Varela
18'
M
A. Varela
18'
M
14
Cláudio Ramos
G
Cláudio Ramos
G
6
C. Smalling
D
C. Smalling
D
74
Francisco Moura
D
Francisco Moura
D
37
Gabriel Mec
F
Gabriel Mec
F
16
Hwang In-Beom
45'
M
Hwang In-Beom
45'
M
52
Martim Fernandes
D
Martim Fernandes
D
18
N. Pérez
D
N. Pérez
D
9
Samu
30'
F
Samu
30'
F
42
S. Fofana
M
S. Fofana
M
29
S. Giménez
18'
F
S. Giménez
18'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Bednarek
D · FC
7.90
2 shots
· 99 pass
Borja Sainz
F · FC
7.87
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
J. Kiwior
D · FC
7.63
1 shots
· 110 pass
Z. Sanusi
D · FC
7.46
· 35 pass
Hwang In-Beom
M · FC
7.20
· 25 pass
Jonathan Buatu
D · GIL
7.20
· 41 pass
GIL Vicente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucão | G | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| David Moreira | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Elimbi Gilbert | D | 84 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Ricardo Esgaio | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Ferreira Prioste | M | 75 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Lausen | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Joelson Fernandes | M | 60 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 76 | 7.13 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Murilo | M | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Walace | F | 60 | 6.10 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Gil Pinto Martins | M | 30 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 14 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kaba | F | 30 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Touré | F | 15 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 30 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
FC Porto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Sanusi | D | 90 | 7.46 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 7.63 | — | — | 1 | 110 | 100% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 99 | 90% | 3 | — | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Rosario | M | 72 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 72 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 60 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Pepê Aquino | F | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Varela | M | 18 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Hwang In-Beom | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Samu | F | 30 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Giménez | F | 18 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
The final score was GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto.
What did the model predict before GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
The model assigned 23% probability to a GIL Vicente win, 25% to a draw, and 51% to an FC Porto win.