Gillingham - Luton
EFL Cup
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.78%
Win
Gillingham
31.76%
Draw
37.46%
Win
Luton
0.82
1.4
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.83%)
1X2 Result
1
31%
X
32%
2
37%
Double Chance
1X
63%
X2
69%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Luton a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Gillingham. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gillingham and 1.4 for Luton (total 2.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.83% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
4.0
Shots OT
1.0
5.0
Corners
5.0
51%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Gillingham
Luton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.9% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Gillingham
Attack
30
Defence
73
Form
56
Luton
Attack
60
Defence
72
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gillingham vs Luton?
The model gives Gillingham a 30% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Luton win.
How many goals are expected in Gillingham vs Luton?
Expected goals: Gillingham 0.8, Luton 1.4 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Gillingham vs Luton?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.83%.