✗Model wrong — prediction Gimnasia L.P., result Draw
Marcelo Torres
90'+5
(pen.)
83'
(ast. Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez)
Lautaro Godoy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gimnasia L.P. a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Atletico Tucuman 21%). The final result was Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Atletico Tucuman. In 1 previous meetings, Gimnasia L.P. have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Tucuman.
Match statistics
26
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
2
1.82
Actual xG
0.31
1
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
10
Corners
4
21
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Ignacio Fernández
9'
16'
Clever Domingo Ferreira Ñamandu
45'
Gabriel Compagnucci
/
Iván Tesuri
Rodrigo Agustín Colazo
60'
60'
Luis Ingolotti
61'
Ezequiel Ham
/
Nicolás Laméndola
61'
Juan Infante
/
Ignacio Galvan
Maximiliano Zalazar
/ Franco Ramón Torres
65'
Bautista Barros Schelotto
/ Alexis Steimbach
65'
70'
Julián Fernández
Lucas Janson
/ Juan Pérez
73'
Rodrigo Agustín Colazo
/ Marcelo Torres
73'
81'
Franco Nicola
83'
ast. Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez ·
Lautaro Godoy⚽
Matías Melluso
/ Mariano Ojeda
88'
90'+1
Pedro Alexis Canelo
/
Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez
90'+1
Maximiliano Villa
/
Franco Nicola
90'+3
⚽Marcelo Torres
(pen.)
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
58.77%
Gimnasia
20.19%
X ←
21.04%
Atletico
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
1.82
-0.34
1.20
0.31
-0.89
Gimnasia L.P. dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
N. Insfrán
G
N. Insfrán
G
22
M. Melluso
88'
D
M. Melluso
88'
D
21
E. Martínez
D
E. Martínez
D
13
G. Conti
D
G. Conti
D
31
B. Barros Schelotto
65'
D
B. Barros Schelotto
65'
D
17
L. Janson
73'
M
L. Janson
73'
M
8
I. Fernández
M
I. Fernández
M
5
I. Miramón
M
I. Miramón
M
9
M. Zalazar
65'
M
M. Zalazar
65'
M
29
A. Auzmendi
F
A. Auzmendi
F
19
A. Colazo
73'
F
A. Colazo
73'
F
Bench
16
A. Max
M
A. Max
M
25
A. Steimbach
25'
M
A. Steimbach
25'
M
26
F. Torres
25'
F
F. Torres
25'
F
15
H. Castillo
G
H. Castillo
G
35
J. Cortazzo
D
J. Cortazzo
D
20
J. Pérez
17'
M
J. Pérez
17'
M
43
M. Ojeda
2'
D
M. Ojeda
2'
D
7
M. Panaro
F
M. Panaro
F
18
M. Seoane
M
M. Seoane
M
32
M. Torres
1 ⚽
17'
F
M. Torres
1 ⚽
17'
F
10
N. Schelotto
M
N. Schelotto
M
4
R. Giampaoli
D
R. Giampaoli
D
1
L. Ingolotti
G
L. Ingolotti
G
21
I. Galván
61'
D
I. Galván
61'
D
36
Luciano Vallejo
D
Luciano Vallejo
D
26
C. Ferreira
D
C. Ferreira
D
24
L. Di Plácido
D
L. Di Plácido
D
5
J. Fernández
M
J. Fernández
M
23
N. Laméndola
61'
M
N. Laméndola
61'
M
10
F. Nicola
89'
M
F. Nicola
89'
M
31
L. Godoy
1 ⚽
M
L. Godoy
1 ⚽
M
11
R. Tesuri
45'
M
R. Tesuri
45'
M
18
R. Ruíz Rodríguez
1 👟
89'
F
R. Ruíz Rodríguez
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
14
A. Canelo
1'
F
A. Canelo
1'
F
8
E. Ham
29'
M
E. Ham
29'
M
22
F. Pimienta
F
F. Pimienta
F
28
G. Compagnucci
45'
D
G. Compagnucci
45'
D
6
G. Ferrari
D
G. Ferrari
D
32
J. Infante
29'
D
J. Infante
29'
D
17
J. Rodríguez
D
J. Rodríguez
D
30
M. Brondo
F
M. Brondo
F
3
M. Villa
1'
D
M. Villa
1'
D
27
R. Granillo
F
R. Granillo
F
25
T. Durso
G
T. Durso
G
Best on the pitch
M. Torres
F · Gimnasia
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
E. Martínez
D · Gimnasia
7.60
2 shots
· 53 pass
L. Godoy
M · Atletico
7.34
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
G. Conti
D · Gimnasia
7.26
1 shots
· 42 pass
I. Fernández
M · Gimnasia
7.20
3 shots
· 84 pass
I. Miramón
M · Gimnasia
7.20
5 shots
· 70 pass
Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Insfrán | G | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Melluso | D | 88 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Conti | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Barros Schelotto | D | 65 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Janson | M | 73 | 6.07 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Fernández | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 84 | 74% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Miramón | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 70 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Zalazar | M | 65 | 6.75 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Auzmendi | F | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Colazo | F | 73 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Steimbach | M | 25 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 25 | 6.94 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Pérez | M | 17 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | D | 2 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Torres | F | 17 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Atletico Tucuman — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ingolotti | G | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Galván | D | 61 | 7.10 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Vallejo | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ferreira | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Di Plácido | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fernández | M | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| N. Laméndola | M | 61 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Nicola | M | 89 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Godoy | M | 90 | 7.34 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Tesuri | M | 45 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ruíz Rodríguez | F | 89 | 6.67 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Canelo | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ham | M | 29 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Compagnucci | D | 45 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Infante | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Villa | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
The final score was Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Atletico Tucuman.
What did the model predict before Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Gimnasia L.P. win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Atletico Tucuman win.