Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 2
July 30, 2026 00:15
A. Steimbach
(ast. M. Zalazar)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gimnasia L.P. a 38% win probability (draw 31%, River Plate 29%). The final result was Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 River Plate. In 2 previous meetings, Gimnasia L.P. have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for River Plate.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
2.01
Actual xG
0.30
3
Saves
1
26%
Possession
74%
3
Corners
8
23
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
Fausto Vera
/
M. Arambarri
56'
L. Silva
61'
F. Gonzalez
/
M. Acuna
61'
R. Borre
/
L. Beltran
M. Seoane
/ A. Max
65'
J. Merlo
/ M. Zalazar
65'
71'
F. Colidio
/
A. Correa
R. Giampaoli
/ J. Cortazzo
75'
79'
N. Otamendi
⚽A. Steimbach
· ast. M. Zalazar
80'
82'
L. Pereyra
/
L. Silva
N. Fernandez
/ N. Schelotto
83'
M. Zalazar
86'
Pre-match prediction
38.24%
Gimnasia ←
31.88%
X
29.89%
River
we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia L.P.)
38.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
2.01
+1.0
0.70
0.30
-0.4
Gimnasia L.P. dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.30).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
N. Insfrán
G
N. Insfrán
G
24
P. Silva
D
P. Silva
D
21
E. Martínez
D
E. Martínez
D
4
R. Giampaoli
75'
D
R. Giampaoli
75'
D
31
B. Barros Schelotto
D
B. Barros Schelotto
D
11
Jeremías Merlo
65'
M
Jeremías Merlo
65'
M
8
I. Fernández
83'
M
I. Fernández
83'
M
18
M. Seoane
65'
M
M. Seoane
65'
M
5
I. Miramón
M
I. Miramón
M
25
A. Steimbach
1 ⚽
M
A. Steimbach
1 ⚽
M
29
A. Auzmendi
F
A. Auzmendi
F
Bench
16
A. Max
31'
M
A. Max
31'
M
26
F. Torres
F
F. Torres
F
15
H. Castillo
G
H. Castillo
G
35
J. Cortazzo
21'
D
J. Cortazzo
21'
D
37
Jeremías Ezequiel Langa
D
Jeremías Ezequiel Langa
D
17
L. Janson
F
L. Janson
F
43
M. Ojeda
D
M. Ojeda
D
7
M. Panaro
F
M. Panaro
F
9
M. Zalazar
1 👟
31'
F
M. Zalazar
1 👟
31'
F
10
N. Schelotto
13'
M
N. Schelotto
13'
M
33
P. Aguiar
M
P. Aguiar
M
42
Santiago Villarreal
M
Santiago Villarreal
M
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
21
M. Acuña
61'
D
M. Acuña
61'
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
28
L. Martínez
D
L. Martínez
D
29
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
44
L. Silva
81'
M
L. Silva
81'
M
8
M. Arambarri
45'
M
M. Arambarri
45'
M
26
T. Galván
M
T. Galván
M
10
Á. Correa
71'
M
Á. Correa
71'
M
35
Joaquín Freitas
M
Joaquín Freitas
M
18
L. Beltrán
61'
F
L. Beltrán
61'
F
Bench
33
E. Centurión
G
E. Centurión
G
11
Facundo Colidio
25'
F
Facundo Colidio
25'
F
31
Facundo González
35'
D
Facundo González
35'
D
15
F. Vera
51'
M
F. Vera
51'
M
20
G. González
D
G. González
D
24
J. Meza
M
J. Meza
M
25
L. Pereyra
15'
M
L. Pereyra
15'
M
13
L. Rivero
D
L. Rivero
D
19
R. Borré
35'
F
R. Borré
35'
F
36
U. Giménez
D
U. Giménez
D
Best on the pitch
A. Steimbach
M · Gimnasia
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
I. Miramón
M · Gimnasia
7.70
1 shots
· 26 pass
B. Barros Schelotto
D · Gimnasia
7.50
· 20 pass
P. Silva
D · Gimnasia
7.30
· 17 pass
R. Giampaoli
D · Gimnasia
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
M. Zalazar
F · Gimnasia
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 4 pass
Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Insfrán | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Silva | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Giampaoli | D | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Barros Schelotto | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeremías Merlo | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| I. Fernández | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Seoane | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Miramón | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Steimbach | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Auzmendi | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Max | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cortazzo | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Zalazar | F | 31 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Schelotto | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Acuña | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 103 | 95% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Silva | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 81 | 71% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Arambarri | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Galván | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Freitas | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Beltrán | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Colidio | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Facundo González | D | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Vera | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Pereyra | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Borré | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate?
The final score was Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 River Plate.
What did the model predict before Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gimnasia L.P. win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an River Plate win.