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Gimnasia L.P. - River Plate

Liga Profesional July 30, 2026 00:15
Gimnasia L.P.
#6 · 26 pts
vs
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.08%
Win
Gimnasia L.P.
31.99%
Draw
31.93%
Win
River Plate
0.91
Expected xG
0.85

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (16.46%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 31%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gimnasia L.P. a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for River Plate. Expected goals are 0.9 for Gimnasia L.P. and 0.8 for River Plate (total 1.8), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 16.46% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Gimnasia L.P. have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for River Plate.

Season Stats

Gimnasia L.P.
7W 2D 6L
River Plate
9W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.6
1.1
Conceded
0.7
3.7
Shots OT
5.7
4.0
Corners
5.9
47%
Poss.
66%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
73%
47%
O 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Profesional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Gimnasia L.P.
4W 1D 3L · at home
River Plate
4W 2D 2L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
50%
63%
Win or Draw
75%
75%
O 1.5
50%
63%
O 2.5
13%
25%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
25%
38%
Clean Sht
50%
25%
Failed to Score
38%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gimnasia L.P. River Plate →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.1% 14.6% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.7% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% —
3 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% — —
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
L Racing Club 2–1
L River Plate 2–0
W Velez Sarsfield 0–1
W Argentinos JRS 2–0
W Belgrano Cordoba 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
River Plate River Plate
L Barracas Central 0–1
L Belgrano Cordoba 2–3
W Rosario Central 1–0
W Gimnasia L.P. 2–0
D San Lorenzo 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
Attack
35
Defence
64
Form
57
River Plate River Plate
Attack
39
Defence
73
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Gimnasia L.P.
0
Draw
2
River Plate
14 May 2026 Liga Profesional 0–2
29 Jan 2026 Liga Profesional 0–2

Apertura, Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5

What's at stake · Apertura, Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Gimnasia L.P. River Plate
Current #6 #2
→ Gimnasia L.P. #4 #2
→ Draw #5 #2
→ River Plate #6 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate?
The model gives Gimnasia L.P. a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an River Plate win.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate?
Expected goals: Gimnasia L.P. 0.9, River Plate 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.46%.