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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 14 October 23, 2026 23:00 Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Gimnasia L.P.
#3 · 25 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Sarmiento Junin
#7 · 21 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Gimnasia L.P.
Ignacio Fernández 13'
Franco Ramón Torres 74'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gimnasia L.P. a 67% win probability (draw 16%, Sarmiento Junin 15%). The final result was Gimnasia L.P. 2–0 Sarmiento Junin. In 1 previous meetings, Gimnasia L.P. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sarmiento Junin.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
0.88
3
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
7
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
Julián Contrera
⚽Ignacio Fernández
13'
45'
Santiago Salle
45'
Gaston Gonzalez / Jonathan Herrera ↕
45'
Ulises Adrian Gimenez / Santiago Salle ↕
45'
Jhon Rentería / Julián Contrera ↕
54'
60'
Julian Mavilla
61'
Pablo Daniel Magnin / Jhon Rentería ↕
↕ Marcelo Torres / Franco Ramón Torres
66'
Germán Conti
67'
⚽Franco Ramón Torres
74'
↕ Ignacio Fernández / Facundo Di Biasi
81'
↕ Mateo Seoane / Nicolás Barros Schelotto
81'
↕ Lucas Janson / Sergio Troncoso
87'
87'
Elián Giménez / Mauricio Martínez ↕
89'
Elián Giménez
Pre-match prediction
67.96%
Gimnasia ←
16.2%
X
15.84%
Sarmiento
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia L.P.) 67.96% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gimnasia
2.82
1.02
-1.8
Sarmiento
1.26
0.88
-0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 14 28
2 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 14 28
3 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 14 25
4 River Plate River Plate 14 23
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 14 22
6 Barracas Central Barracas Central 14 22
7 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 14 21
8 Huracan Huracan 14 19
9 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 14 19
10 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 14 17
11 Banfield Banfield 14 14
12 Tigre Tigre 14 13
13 Racing Club Racing Club 14 12
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 14 11
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 14 9
Lineups
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2
15 H. Castillo H. Castillo G 6.83
24 P. Silva P. Silva D 6.76
21 E. Martínez E. Martínez D 7.07
13 G. Conti G. Conti D 6.45
25 A. Steimbach A. Steimbach D 6.48
17 L. Janson L. Janson 87' M 7.20
5 I. Miramón I. Miramón M 7.18
18 M. Seoane M. Seoane 81' M 6.93
8 I. Fernández I. Fernández 1 ⚽ 81' M 8.20
29 A. Auzmendi A. Auzmendi F 6.47
32 M. Torres M. Torres 66' F 6.39
Bench
16 A. Max A. Max M 0.00
39 F. Di Biasi F. Di Biasi 9' M 6.57
26 F. Torres F. Torres 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.59
35 J. Cortazzo J. Cortazzo D 0.00
22 M. Melluso M. Melluso D 0.00
7 M. Panaro M. Panaro F 0.00
9 M. Zalazar M. Zalazar F 0.00
23 N. Insfrán N. Insfrán G 0.00
10 N. Schelotto N. Schelotto 9' M 6.96
33 P. Aguiar P. Aguiar M 0.00
4 R. Giampaoli R. Giampaoli D 0.00
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 3-4-1-2
12 T. Ayala T. Ayala G 5.83
3 L. Suárez L. Suárez D 6.12
2 J. Insaurralde J. Insaurralde D 7.31
44 R. Orihuela R. Orihuela D 6.40
21 J. Mavilla J. Mavilla M 5.90
15 C. Zabala C. Zabala M 6.46
16 Mauricio Leonel Martínez Mauricio Leonel Martínez 87' M 6.79
8 S. Salle S. Salle 45' M 5.87
19 J. Contrera J. Contrera 45' M 5.95
24 J. Herrera J. Herrera 45' F 6.31
27 J. Marabel J. Marabel F 5.66
Bench
9 D. Churín D. Churín F 0.00
23 E. Giménez E. Giménez 3' M 5.78
6 G. Arturia G. Arturia D 0.00
11 G. González G. González 45' F 6.53
1 I. Arboleda I. Arboleda G 0.00
10 Jhon Rentería Jhon Rentería 16' M 5.96
5 M. García M. García M 0.00
77 N. Pasquini N. Pasquini D 0.00
7 P. Magnín P. Magnín 29' F 6.36
29 T. Santamaría T. Santamaría D 0.00
20 U. Giménez U. Giménez 45' D 6.12
26 Y. Arismendi Y. Arismendi M 0.00
Best on the pitch
I. Fernández
I. Fernández
M · Gimnasia
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
F. Torres
F. Torres
F · Gimnasia
7.59
1 ⚽
2 shots · 2 pass
J. Insaurralde
J. Insaurralde
D · Sarmiento
7.31
· 43 pass
L. Janson
L. Janson
M · Gimnasia
7.20
2 shots · 32 pass
I. Miramón
I. Miramón
M · Gimnasia
7.18
2 shots · 60 pass
E. Martínez
E. Martínez
D · Gimnasia
7.07
· 36 pass
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Castillo G 90 6.83 — — 0 32 22% 0 — —
P. Silva D 90 6.76 — — 0 38 33% 1 — —
E. Martínez D 90 7.07 — — 0 36 26% 1 — —
G. Conti D 90 6.45 — — 1 45 37% 0 1 —
A. Steimbach D 90 6.48 — — 0 31 22% 0 — —
L. Janson M 87 7.20 — — 2 32 25% 3 — —
I. Miramón M 90 7.18 — — 2 60 55% 5 — —
M. Seoane M 81 6.93 — — 0 52 48% 0 — —
I. Fernández M 81 8.20 1 — 2 56 45% 2 — —
A. Auzmendi F 90 6.47 — — 1 27 23% 1 — —
M. Torres F 66 6.39 — — 1 17 13% 1 — —
F. Di Biasi M 9 6.57 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
F. Torres F 24 7.59 1 — 2 2 2% 0 — —
N. Schelotto M 9 6.96 — — 0 13 12% 2 — —
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Ayala G 90 5.83 — — 0 20 12% 0 — —
L. Suárez D 90 6.12 — — 0 40 32% 2 — —
J. Insaurralde D 90 7.31 — — 0 43 37% 2 — —
R. Orihuela D 90 6.40 — — 2 22 18% 0 — —
J. Mavilla M 90 5.90 — — 4 43 31% 3 1 —
C. Zabala M 90 6.46 — — 0 51 42% 2 — —
Mauricio Leonel Martínez M 87 6.79 — — 1 45 39% 1 — —
S. Salle M 45 5.87 — — 1 14 11% 1 1 —
J. Contrera M 45 5.95 — — 1 7 5% 1 1 —
J. Herrera F 45 6.31 — — 1 5 2% 0 — —
J. Marabel F 90 5.66 — — 0 19 10% 0 — —
E. Giménez M 3 5.78 — — 1 1 1% 0 1 —
G. González F 45 6.53 — — 1 9 4% 0 — —
Jhon Rentería M 16 5.96 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
P. Magnín F 29 6.36 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
U. Giménez D 45 6.12 — — 0 13 11% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
The final score was Gimnasia L.P. 2–0 Sarmiento Junin.
What did the model predict before Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Gimnasia L.P. win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an Sarmiento Junin win.