Agustín Módica
(ast. Matías Vargas)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gimnasia M. a 42% win probability (draw 25%, Newells Old Boys 32%). The final result was Gimnasia M. 1–0 Newells Old Boys. In 1 previous meetings, Gimnasia M. have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Newells Old Boys.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
1
0.37
Actual xG
2.40
2
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
7
10
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
29'
49'
Luca Regiardo
⚽Agustín Módica
· ast. Matías Vargas
58'
60'
Lucas Carrizo
62'
Jerónimo Gómez Mattar
/
Luca Regiardo
63'
Alan Soñora
/
Facundo Samuel Guch
Diego Mondino
/ Germán Guiffrey
63'
Matías Vargas
/ Nahuel Barboza
63'
Matías Emiliano Recalde
65'
Luciano César Cingolani
/ Martín Úbeda
71'
Fermin Antonini
/ Blas Armoa Nunez
71'
77'
Juan Ignacio Ramírez
/
Franco Escobar
Esteban Fernández
/ Lautaro Carrera
81'
89'
Walter Nunez
/
Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra
89'
Francisco Scarpeccio
/
Rodrigo Herrera
Nahuel Barboza
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
42.38%
Gimnasia ←
25.1%
X
32.53%
Newells
we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia M.)
42.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.37
-1.07
1.27
2.40
+1.13
Newells Old Boys dominated by xG (2.40 vs 0.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
C. Rigamonti
G
C. Rigamonti
G
3
M. Recalde
D
M. Recalde
D
4
E. Muñoz
D
E. Muñoz
D
2
D. Mondino
63'
D
D. Mondino
63'
D
32
L. Paredes
D
L. Paredes
D
21
F. Antonini
71'
M
F. Antonini
71'
M
30
E. Fernández
81'
M
E. Fernández
81'
M
7
L. Cingolani
71'
M
L. Cingolani
71'
M
8
M. Vargas
1 👟
63'
M
M. Vargas
1 👟
63'
M
26
F. Lencioni
M
F. Lencioni
M
9
A. Módica
1 ⚽
F
A. Módica
1 ⚽
F
Bench
33
B. Andrada
F
B. Andrada
F
27
B. Armoa
19'
F
B. Armoa
19'
F
16
G. Guiffrey
27'
D
G. Guiffrey
27'
D
19
J. Ceballos
M
J. Ceballos
M
22
J. Franco
D
J. Franco
D
42
L. Carrera
9'
M
L. Carrera
9'
M
31
L. Petruchi
G
L. Petruchi
G
25
M. Ubeda
19'
D
M. Ubeda
19'
D
5
N. Barboza
27'
M
N. Barboza
27'
M
11
S. Rodríguez
F
S. Rodríguez
F
15
U. Sánchez
M
U. Sánchez
M
35
V. Simoni
F
V. Simoni
F
30
J. Reinatti
G
J. Reinatti
G
24
F. Escobar
77'
D
F. Escobar
77'
D
16
L. Carrizo
D
L. Carrizo
D
25
B. Cabrera
D
B. Cabrera
D
6
M. Ortega
D
M. Ortega
D
26
R. Herrera
89'
M
R. Herrera
89'
M
20
Facundo Gauch
63'
M
Facundo Gauch
63'
M
5
L. Regiardo
62'
M
L. Regiardo
62'
M
32
S. Solari
89'
F
S. Solari
89'
F
9
M. Cóccaro
F
M. Cóccaro
F
7
W. Mazzantti
F
W. Mazzantti
F
Bench
4
A. Montero
M
A. Montero
M
15
A. Soñora
27'
M
A. Soñora
27'
M
36
Francisco Scarpeccio
1'
F
Francisco Scarpeccio
1'
F
99
I. Ramírez
13'
F
I. Ramírez
13'
F
19
J. Mattar
28'
M
J. Mattar
28'
M
28
J. Russo
F
J. Russo
F
27
L. Gómez
M
L. Gómez
M
23
N. Goitea
D
N. Goitea
D
22
O. Salomón
D
O. Salomón
D
39
T. Rios
F
T. Rios
F
33
W. Núñez
1'
F
W. Núñez
1'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Vargas
M · Gimnasia
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 11 pass
A. Módica
F · Gimnasia
7.55
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
E. Muñoz
D · Gimnasia
7.37
· 31 pass
D. Mondino
D · Gimnasia
7.21
· 14 pass
F. Lencioni
M · Gimnasia
7.17
1 shots
· 17 pass
L. Paredes
D · Gimnasia
7.14
· 18 pass
Gimnasia M. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rigamonti | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Recalde | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Muñoz | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Mondino | D | 63 | 7.21 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Antonini | M | 71 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 81 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Cingolani | M | 71 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vargas | M | 63 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Lencioni | M | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Módica | F | 90 | 7.55 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Armoa | F | 19 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Guiffrey | D | 27 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Carrera | M | 9 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ubeda | D | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Barboza | M | 27 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Newells Old Boys — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Reinatti | G | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Escobar | D | 77 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Carrizo | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 46% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ortega | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Herrera | M | 89 | 6.24 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Gauch | M | 63 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Regiardo | M | 62 | 5.59 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Solari | F | 89 | 6.22 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cóccaro | F | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Mazzantti | F | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Soñora | M | 27 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Francisco Scarpeccio | F | 1 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Ramírez | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mattar | M | 28 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Núñez | F | 1 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
The final score was Gimnasia M. 1–0 Newells Old Boys.
What did the model predict before Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Gimnasia M. win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an Newells Old Boys win.