Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 3
August 01, 2026 20:30
A. Modica
45'+5
(pen.)
A. Modica
(ast. F. Lencioni)
50'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gimnasia M. a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Union Santa Fe 34%). The final result was Gimnasia M. 2–0 Union Santa Fe. In 1 previous meetings, Gimnasia M. have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Union Santa Fe.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
4
1.71
Actual xG
1.43
4
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
5
17
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
E. Fernandez
7'
F. Lencioni
14'
⚽A. Modica
(pen.)
45'+5
E. Fernandez
/ G. Guiffrey
46'
S. Rodriguez
/ L. Cingolani
46'
⚽A. Modica
· ast. F. Lencioni
50'
59'
M. Estigarribia
/
J. Mosqueira
67'
J. Pintado
/
L. Vargas
67'
B. Pitton
/
L. Ayala
F. Antonini
/ N. Barboza
76'
80'
E. Ramirez
/
I. Malcorra
A. Modica
/ I. Sabatini
80'
80'
B. Cuello
/
M. Aguirre
J. Franco
/ L. Paredes
88'
Pre-match prediction
36.26%
Gimnasia ←
29.73%
X
34.01%
Union
we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia M.)
36.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.71
+0.71
1.00
1.43
+0.43
xG dominance was balanced (1.71 – 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
C. Rigamonti
G
C. Rigamonti
G
3
M. Recalde
D
M. Recalde
D
4
E. Muñoz
D
E. Muñoz
D
42
L. Carrera
D
L. Carrera
D
22
J. Franco
88'
D
J. Franco
88'
D
19
J. Ceballos
M
J. Ceballos
M
21
F. Antonini
76'
M
F. Antonini
76'
M
30
E. Fernández
45'
M
E. Fernández
45'
M
26
F. Lencioni
1 👟
M
F. Lencioni
1 👟
M
9
A. Módica
2 ⚽
80'
F
A. Módica
2 ⚽
80'
F
11
S. Rodríguez
45'
F
S. Rodríguez
45'
F
Bench
33
B. Andrada
F
B. Andrada
F
41
Gerónimo Patritti
M
Gerónimo Patritti
M
16
G. Guiffrey
51'
D
G. Guiffrey
51'
D
17
I. Sabatini
16'
F
I. Sabatini
16'
F
7
L. Cingolani
51'
F
L. Cingolani
51'
F
32
L. Paredes
8'
D
L. Paredes
8'
D
31
L. Petruchi
G
L. Petruchi
G
5
N. Barboza
20'
M
N. Barboza
20'
M
10
N. Romano
F
N. Romano
F
28
T. O'Connor
M
T. O'Connor
M
15
U. Sánchez
M
U. Sánchez
M
35
V. Simoni
F
V. Simoni
F
21
M. Mansilla
G
M. Mansilla
G
18
L. Ayala
67'
D
L. Ayala
67'
D
26
J. Ludueña
D
J. Ludueña
D
44
T. Fagioli
D
T. Fagioli
D
35
L. Vargas
67'
D
L. Vargas
67'
D
5
L. Menossi
M
L. Menossi
M
10
V. Malcorra
80'
M
V. Malcorra
80'
M
17
J. Mosqueira
59'
M
J. Mosqueira
59'
M
20
J. Palacios
M
J. Palacios
M
31
M. Aguirre
80'
F
M. Aguirre
80'
F
25
C. Tarragona
F
C. Tarragona
F
Bench
22
B. Cuello
16'
M
B. Cuello
16'
M
12
B. Pittón
29'
D
B. Pittón
29'
D
8
E. Giaccone
M
E. Giaccone
M
43
E. Ramírez
16'
F
E. Ramírez
16'
F
33
Ignacio Isla
D
Ignacio Isla
D
15
J. Pintado
29'
D
J. Pintado
29'
D
40
L. Meuli
G
L. Meuli
G
36
M. Aimar
D
M. Aimar
D
19
M. Estigarribia
37'
F
M. Estigarribia
37'
F
29
Santino Vera
M
Santino Vera
M
46
S. Grella
M
S. Grella
M
38
V. J. Cerrudo
F
V. J. Cerrudo
F
Best on the pitch
C. Rigamonti
G · Gimnasia
8.50
· 39 pass
A. Módica
F · Gimnasia
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
E. Muñoz
D · Gimnasia
7.90
· 37 pass
M. Recalde
D · Gimnasia
7.70
· 40 pass
L. Cingolani
F · Gimnasia
7.70
1 shots
· 22 pass
M. Mansilla
G · Union
7.50
· 23 pass
Gimnasia M. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rigamonti | G | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Recalde | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Muñoz | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Carrera | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Franco | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ceballos | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Antonini | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Lencioni | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 34 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Módica | F | 80 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Guiffrey | D | 51 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sabatini | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cingolani | F | 51 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Barboza | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Union Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mansilla | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Ayala | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ludueña | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Fagioli | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Vargas | D | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Menossi | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| V. Malcorra | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mosqueira | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Palacios | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Tarragona | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| B. Cuello | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Pittón | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ramírez | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Pintado | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Estigarribia | F | 37 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe?
The final score was Gimnasia M. 2–0 Union Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Gimnasia M. win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Union Santa Fe win.