Girona 2–3 Real Betis — pre-match prediction — La Liga — April 21, 2026

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La Liga · Regular Season - 33 April 21, 2026 21:30 Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Girona

2 – 3

Final score

Real Betis

#4 · 26 pts

V. Tsygankov 7'

A. Ounahi 68' (pen.)

23' (ast. A. Ezzalzouli) M. Roca

63' (ast. C. Bakambu) A. Ezzalzouli

80' (ast. A. Ezzalzouli) R. Riquelme

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Girona a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Real Betis 29%). The final result was Girona 2–3 Real Betis. In 1 previous meetings, Girona have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Real Betis.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.36

Actual xG

1.04

56%

Possession

44%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽V. Tsygankov

G. Lo Celso

23'

ast. A. Ezzalzouli · M. Roca⚽

46'

R. Riquelme / G. Lo Celso ↕

46'

C. Bakambu / Cucho Hernandez ↕

50'

C. Bakambu

63'

ast. C. Bakambu · A. Ezzalzouli⚽

↕ F. Beltran / J. Roca

66'

⚽A. Ounahi (pen.)

68'

↕ C. Echeverri / C. Stuani

73'

75'

Isco / P. Fornals ↕

75'

H. Bellerin / A. Ruibal ↕

A. Ounahi

79'

R. Riquelme

80'

ast. A. Ezzalzouli · R. Riquelme⚽

↕ I. Martin / T. Lemar

83'

↕ A. Martinez / H. Rincon

83'

88'

R. Rodriguez / A. Ezzalzouli ↕

Pre-match prediction

43.14%

Girona

27.04%

29.83%

Real ←

we assigned to the actual result (Real Betis) 29.83% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Girona

1.42

1.36

-0.06

Real

1.13

1.04

-0.09

Girona dominated by xG (1.36 vs 1.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	12	33
2	Real Madrid	12	30
3	Atletico Madrid	12	28
4	Real Betis	12	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	22
6	Sevilla	12	18
7	Athletic Club	11	16
8	Villarreal	12	15
9	Deportivo La Coruna	12	15
10	Racing Santander	12	14
11	Celta Vigo	12	13
12	Alaves	12	13
13	Espanyol	12	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	12
15	Getafe	12	12
16	Osasuna	12	12
17	Levante	12	11
18	Elche	12	10
19	Valencia	12	9
20	Malaga	12	5

Lineups

Girona 4-4-1-1

G 5.20

Álex Moreno D 6.00

D. Blind D 6.00

Vitor Nunes D 5.90

Arnau Martínez 83' D 6.30

A. Ounahi 1 ⚽ M 7.30

A. Witsel M 6.30

Fran Beltrán 66' M 6.60

V. Tsygankov 1 ⚽ M 7.90

Iván Martín 83' F 6.90

C. Echeverri 73' F 7.30

Bench

C. Stuani 24' F 6.90

Hugo Rincón 14' D 6.30

Joel Roca 31' M 6.90

T. Lemar 14' M 6.90

Real Betis 4-3-3

G 6.70

D 6.30

Natan D 6.30

Marc Bartra D 6.60

Aitor Ruibal 75' D 6.00

Marc Roca 1 ⚽ M 7.00

S. Amrabat M 6.90

G. Lo Celso 45' M 6.20

A. Ezzalzouli 1 ⚽ 2 👟 88' F 8.20

C. Hernández 45' F 6.70

Pablo Fornals 75' F 7.00

Bench

Álvaro Fidalgo M

C. Bakambu 1 👟 52' F 6.90

Héctor Bellerín 22' D 6.90

Rodrigo Riquelme 1 ⚽ 52' M 7.50

R. Rodríguez 9' D 6.60

Sergi Altimira M

Best on the pitch

A. Ezzalzouli

F · Real

8.20

1 ⚽ 2 👟

1 shots · 31 pass

V. Tsygankov

M · Girona

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 34 pass

Rodrigo Riquelme

M · Real

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

A. Ounahi

M · Girona

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 51 pass

C. Echeverri

F · Girona

7.30

· 22 pass

Pablo Fornals

F · Real

7.00

· 45 pass

Girona — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	97	5.20	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
Álex Moreno	D	97	6.00	—	—	—	40	34%	2	—	—
D. Blind	D	97	6.00	—	—	—	100	86%	—	—	—
Vitor Nunes	D	97	5.90	—	—	—	73	70%	—	—	—
Arnau Martínez	D	83	6.30	—	—	—	43	38%	1	—	—
A. Ounahi	M	97	7.30	1	—	3	51	43%	1	1	—
A. Witsel	M	97	6.30	—	—	—	54	52%	—	—	—
Fran Beltrán	M	66	6.60	—	—	—	52	48%	2	—	—
V. Tsygankov	M	97	7.90	1	—	1	34	32%	1	—	—
Iván Martín	F	83	6.90	—	—	—	38	34%	—	—	—
C. Echeverri	F	73	7.30	—	—	—	22	18%	1	—	—
C. Stuani	F	24	6.90	—	—	—	5	4%	1	—	—
Hugo Rincón	D	14	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Joel Roca	M	31	6.90	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
T. Lemar	M	14	6.90	—	—	—	18	17%	—	—	—

Real Betis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	97	6.70	—	—	—	37	29%	—	—	—
	D	97	6.30	—	—	—	36	27%	—	—	—
Natan	D	97	6.30	—	—	—	55	52%	1	—	—
Marc Bartra	D	97	6.60	—	—	—	54	48%	—	—	—
Aitor Ruibal	D	75	6.00	—	—	—	38	33%	4	—	—
Marc Roca	M	97	7.00	1	—	1	38	35%	1	—	—
S. Amrabat	M	97	6.90	—	—	—	58	52%	3	—	—
G. Lo Celso	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	19	19%	—	1	—
A. Ezzalzouli	F	88	8.20	1	2	1	31	23%	1	—	—
C. Hernández	F	45	6.70	—	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—
Pablo Fornals	F	75	7.00	—	—	—	45	37%	1	—	—
C. Bakambu	F	52	6.90	—	1	—	6	4%	—	1	—
Héctor Bellerín	D	22	6.90	—	—	—	6	4%	1	—	—
Rodrigo Riquelme	M	52	7.50	1	—	2	9	7%	2	1	—
R. Rodríguez	D	9	6.60	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Girona vs Real Betis?

The final score was Girona 2–3 Real Betis.

What did the model predict before Girona vs Real Betis?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Girona win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an Real Betis win.