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La Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 06, 2026 21:00 Estadi Montilivi, Girona
Girona
1 – 0
Final score
Villarreal
#8 · 15 pts
P. Navarro 45' (og)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Girona a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Villarreal 35%). The final result was Girona 1–0 Villarreal. In 1 previous meetings, Girona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
0
0.48
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ V. Vanat / A. Ruiz
12'
21'
Santiago Mouriño
⚽P. Navarro (og)
45'
Vitor Reis
53'
70'
A. Gonzalez / A. Moleiro ↕
70'
A. Freeman / S. Mourino ↕
71'
T. Buchanan / N. Pepe ↕
↕ I. Martin / T. Lemar
74'
↕ D. Blind / A. Frances
74'
77'
Alfonso Pedraza
Fran Beltrán
80'
80'
S. Cardona / A. Pedraza ↕
↕ A. Ounahi / J. Roca
85'
↕ A. Martinez / H. Rincon
85'
Pre-match prediction
40.8%
Girona ←
24.15%
X
35.05%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Girona) 40.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Girona
1.54
0.48
-1.06
Villarreal
1.54
0.63
-0.91
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 12 33
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 12 30
3 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 12 28
4 Real Betis Real Betis 12 26
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 12 22
6 Sevilla Sevilla 12 18
7 Athletic Club Athletic Club 11 16
8 Villarreal Villarreal 12 15
9 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 12 15
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 12 14
11 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 12 13
12 Alaves Alaves 12 13
13 Espanyol Espanyol 12 12
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 11 12
15 Getafe Getafe 12 12
16 Osasuna Osasuna 12 12
17 Levante Levante 12 11
18 Elche Elche 12 10
19 Valencia Valencia 12 9
20 Malaga Malaga 12 5
Lineups
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.50
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno D 7.30
17 D. Blind D. Blind 74' D 8.30
12 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 7.70
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 85' D 7.60
20 A. Witsel A. Witsel M 7.70
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán M 6.90
18 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi 85' M 7.00
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín 74' M 6.70
15 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov M 7.00
19 V. Vanat V. Vanat 12' F 6.20
Bench
14 C. Echeverri C. Echeverri M
7 C. Stuani C. Stuani F
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón 9' D 6.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca 9' M 6.30
11 T. Lemar T. Lemar 20' M 6.70
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
1
G 6.60
24 Pedraza Pedraza 80' D 6.20
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga D 7.30
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro 1 ⚽ D 5.90
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño 70' D 6.90
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro 70' M 6.70
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye M 7.90
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña M 6.90
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé 70' M 6.50
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze F 6.30
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno F 6.30
Bench
38 A. Diatta A. Diatta M
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman 24' D 6.90
11 Alfon González Alfon González 24' F 6.50
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo M
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona 14' D 6.60
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 24' F 6.50
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi F
Best on the pitch
D. Blind
D. Blind
D · Girona
8.30
· 64 pass
P. Gueye
P. Gueye
M · Villarreal
7.90
1 shots · 51 pass
Vitor Nunes
Vitor Nunes
D · Girona
7.70
1 shots · 59 pass
A. Witsel
A. Witsel
M · Girona
7.70
1 shots · 56 pass
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez
D · Girona
7.60
· 61 pass
Álex Moreno
Álex Moreno
D · Girona
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.50 — — — 25 10% — — —
Álex Moreno D 94 7.30 — — 1 46 35% 4 — —
D. Blind D 74 8.30 — — — 64 59% 3 — —
Vitor Nunes D 94 7.70 — — 1 59 54% 2 1 —
Arnau Martínez D 85 7.60 — — — 61 56% 2 — —
A. Witsel M 94 7.70 — — 1 56 53% 1 — —
Fran Beltrán M 94 6.90 — — — 54 47% 1 1 —
A. Ounahi M 85 7.00 — — 1 55 52% — — —
Iván Martín M 74 6.70 — — — 25 23% — — —
V. Tsygankov M 94 7.00 — — — 38 33% — — —
V. Vanat F 12 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Hugo Rincón D 9 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
Joel Roca M 9 6.30 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
T. Lemar M 20 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.60 — — — 24 20% — — —
Pedraza D 80 6.20 — — — 25 20% 2 1 —
Renato Veiga D 94 7.30 — — — 76 67% 1 — —
Pau Navarro D 94 5.90 1 — — 51 48% 1 — —
S. Mouriño D 70 6.90 — — — 28 23% 3 1 —
Alberto Moleiro M 70 6.70 — — — 32 26% 2 — —
P. Gueye M 94 7.90 — — 1 51 40% 1 — —
Santi Comesaña M 94 6.90 — — — 46 40% 2 — —
N. Pépé M 70 6.50 — — — 23 20% — — —
G. Mikautadze F 94 6.30 — — — 14 7% — — —
Gerard Moreno F 94 6.30 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
A. Freeman D 24 6.90 — — 1 13 10% 2 — —
Alfon González F 24 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
Sergi Cardona D 14 6.60 — — — 7 5% — — —
T. Buchanan F 24 6.50 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Girona vs Villarreal?
The final score was Girona 1–0 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Girona vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Girona win, 24% to a draw, and 35% to an Villarreal win.