P. Navarro
45'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Girona a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Villarreal 35%). The final result was Girona 1–0 Villarreal. In 1 previous meetings, Girona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
0
0.48
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
V. Vanat
/ A. Ruiz
12'
21'
Santiago Mouriño
⚽P. Navarro
(og)
45'
Vitor Reis
53'
70'
A. Gonzalez
/
A. Moleiro
70'
A. Freeman
/
S. Mourino
71'
T. Buchanan
/
N. Pepe
I. Martin
/ T. Lemar
74'
D. Blind
/ A. Frances
74'
77'
Alfonso Pedraza
Fran Beltrán
80'
80'
S. Cardona
/
A. Pedraza
A. Ounahi
/ J. Roca
85'
A. Martinez
/ H. Rincon
85'
Pre-match prediction
40.8%
Girona ←
24.15%
X
35.05%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Girona)
40.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.48
-1.06
1.54
0.63
-0.91
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
24
Álex Moreno
D
Álex Moreno
D
17
Daley Blind
74'
D
Daley Blind
74'
D
12
Vitor Nunes
D
Vitor Nunes
D
4
Arnau Martínez
85'
D
Arnau Martínez
85'
D
20
Axel Witsel
M
Axel Witsel
M
8
Fran Beltrán
M
Fran Beltrán
M
18
A. Ounahi
85'
M
A. Ounahi
85'
M
23
Iván Martín
74'
M
Iván Martín
74'
M
15
Viktor Tsygankov
M
Viktor Tsygankov
M
19
V. Vanat
12'
F
V. Vanat
12'
F
Bench
14
Claudio Echeverri
M
Claudio Echeverri
M
7
Cristhian Stuani
F
Cristhian Stuani
F
2
Hugo Rincón
9'
D
Hugo Rincón
9'
D
3
Joel Roca
9'
M
Joel Roca
9'
M
11
Thomas Lemar
20'
M
Thomas Lemar
20'
M
1
G
24
Alfonso Pedraza
80'
D
Alfonso Pedraza
80'
D
12
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
6
Pau Navarro
1 ⚽
D
Pau Navarro
1 ⚽
D
15
S. Mouriño
70'
D
S. Mouriño
70'
D
20
Alberto Moleiro
70'
M
Alberto Moleiro
70'
M
18
P. Gueye
M
P. Gueye
M
14
Santi Comesaña
M
Santi Comesaña
M
19
Nicolas Pépé
70'
M
Nicolas Pépé
70'
M
9
G. Mikautadze
F
G. Mikautadze
F
7
Gerard Moreno
F
Gerard Moreno
F
Bench
38
Alassane Diatta
M
Alassane Diatta
M
3
Alexander Freeman
24'
D
Alexander Freeman
24'
D
11
Alfon González
24'
F
Alfon González
24'
F
10
Dani Parejo
M
Dani Parejo
M
23
Sergi Cardona
14'
D
Sergi Cardona
14'
D
17
T. Buchanan
24'
F
T. Buchanan
24'
F
21
T. Oluwaseyi
F
T. Oluwaseyi
F
Best on the pitch
Daley Blind
D · Girona
8.30
· 64 pass
P. Gueye
M · Villarreal
7.90
1 shots
· 51 pass
Vitor Nunes
D · Girona
7.70
1 shots
· 59 pass
Axel Witsel
M · Girona
7.70
1 shots
· 56 pass
Arnau Martínez
D · Girona
7.60
· 61 pass
Álex Moreno
D · Girona
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
Girona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Álex Moreno | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Daley Blind | D | 74 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| Vitor Nunes | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Arnau Martínez | D | 85 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Axel Witsel | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Beltrán | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Ounahi | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Iván Martín | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Tsygankov | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| V. Vanat | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Rincón | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Joel Roca | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Lemar | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Villarreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Alfonso Pedraza | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 94 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 51 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mouriño | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Pépé | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Girona vs Villarreal?
The final score was Girona 1–0 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Girona vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Girona win, 24% to a draw, and 35% to an Villarreal win.