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La Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 06, 2026 23:00
Girona
#15 · 40 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Villarreal
#3 · 69 pts
P. Navarro 45' (og)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Girona a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Villarreal 35%). The final result was Girona 1–0 Villarreal. In 1 previous meetings, Girona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
0
0.48
Actual xG
0.63
0
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ V. Vanat / A. Ruiz
12'
21'
Santiago Mouriño
⚽P. Navarro (og)
45'
Vitor Reis
53'
70'
A. Gonzalez / A. Moleiro ↕
70'
A. Freeman / S. Mourino ↕
71'
T. Buchanan / N. Pepe ↕
↕ I. Martin / T. Lemar
74'
↕ D. Blind / A. Frances
74'
77'
Alfonso Pedraza
Fran Beltrán
80'
80'
S. Cardona / A. Pedraza ↕
↕ A. Ounahi / J. Roca
85'
↕ A. Martinez / H. Rincon
85'
Pre-match prediction
40.8%
Girona ←
24.15%
X
35.05%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Girona) 40.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Girona
1.54
0.48
-1.06
Villarreal
1.54
0.63
-0.91
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.50
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno D 7.30
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind 74' D 8.30
12 Vitor Reis Vitor Reis D 7.70
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 85' D 7.60
20 Axel Witsel Axel Witsel M 7.70
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán M 6.90
18 Azzedine Ounahi Azzedine Ounahi 85' M 7.00
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín 74' M 6.70
15 Viktor Tsygankov Viktor Tsygankov M 7.00
19 V. Vanat V. Vanat 12' F 6.20
Bench
14 Claudio Echeverri Claudio Echeverri M
7 Cristhian Stuani Cristhian Stuani F
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón 9' D 6.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca 9' M 6.30
11 Thomas Lemar Thomas Lemar 20' M 6.70
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
1
G 6.60
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza 80' D 6.20
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga D 7.30
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro 1 ⚽ D 5.90
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño 70' D 6.90
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro 70' M 6.70
18 Pape Gueye Pape Gueye M 7.90
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña M 6.90
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé 70' M 6.50
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze F 6.30
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno F 6.30
Bench
38
A. Diatta M
3 Alexander Freeman Alexander Freeman 24' D 6.90
11 Alfon González Alfon González 24' F 6.50
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo M
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona 14' D 6.60
17 Tajon Buchanan Tajon Buchanan 24' F 6.50
21 Tani Oluwaseyi Tani Oluwaseyi F
Best on the pitch
Daley Blind
Daley Blind
D · Girona
8.30
· 64 pass
Pape Gueye
Pape Gueye
M · Villarreal
7.90
1 shots · 51 pass
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis
D · Girona
7.70
1 shots · 59 pass
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel
M · Girona
7.70
1 shots · 56 pass
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez
D · Girona
7.60
· 61 pass
Álex Moreno
Álex Moreno
D · Girona
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.50 — — — 25 10% — — —
Álex Moreno D 94 7.30 — — 1 46 35% 4 — —
Daley Blind D 74 8.30 — — — 64 59% 3 — —
Vitor Reis D 94 7.70 — — 1 59 54% 2 1 —
Arnau Martínez D 85 7.60 — — — 61 56% 2 — —
Axel Witsel M 94 7.70 — — 1 56 53% 1 — —
Fran Beltrán M 94 6.90 — — — 54 47% 1 1 —
Azzedine Ounahi M 85 7.00 — — 1 55 52% — — —
Iván Martín M 74 6.70 — — — 25 23% — — —
Viktor Tsygankov M 94 7.00 — — — 38 33% — — —
V. Vanat F 12 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Hugo Rincón D 9 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
Joel Roca M 9 6.30 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Thomas Lemar M 20 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.60 — — — 24 20% — — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 80 6.20 — — — 25 20% 2 1 —
Renato Veiga D 94 7.30 — — — 76 67% 1 — —
Pau Navarro D 94 5.90 1 — — 51 48% 1 — —
S. Mouriño D 70 6.90 — — — 28 23% 3 1 —
Alberto Moleiro M 70 6.70 — — — 32 26% 2 — —
Pape Gueye M 94 7.90 — — 1 51 40% 1 — —
Santi Comesaña M 94 6.90 — — — 46 40% 2 — —
N. Pépé M 70 6.50 — — — 23 20% — — —
G. Mikautadze F 94 6.30 — — — 14 7% — — —
Gerard Moreno F 94 6.30 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
Alexander Freeman D 24 6.90 — — 1 13 10% 2 — —
Alfon González F 24 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
Sergi Cardona D 14 6.60 — — — 7 5% — — —
Tajon Buchanan F 24 6.50 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Girona vs Villarreal?
The final score was Girona 1–0 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Girona vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Girona win, 24% to a draw, and 35% to an Villarreal win.