Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 31
May 03, 2026 12:15
✓Model correct — prediction GKS Katowice
A. Kasperkiewicz
18'
(og)
I. Shkurin
22'
E. Markovic
(ast. I. Shkurin)
31'
M. Kowalczyk
(ast. E. Markovic)
58'
E. Markovic
(ast. E. Jirka)
64'
42'
(ast. I. Strzalek)
K. Zapolnik
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GKS Katowice a 70% win probability (draw 16%, Nieciecza 13%). The final result was GKS Katowice 5–1 Nieciecza. In 1 previous meetings, GKS Katowice have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nieciecza.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
1
1.73
Actual xG
1.35
0
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
9
9
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Kasperkiewicz
(og)
18'
⚽I. Shkurin
22'
⚽E. Markovic
· ast. I. Shkurin
31'
31'
G. Isik
42'
ast. I. Strzalek ·
K. Zapolnik⚽
46'
A. Putivtsev
/
L. Masoero
58'
S. Guerrero
/
I. Strzalek
58'
R. Kurzawa
/
M. Fassbender
⚽M. Kowalczyk
· ast. E. Markovic
58'
⚽E. Markovic
· ast. E. Jirka
64'
M. Kowalczyk
/ D. Rasak
66'
E. Jirka
/ M. Wdowiak
66'
67'
I. Durdov
/
J. Jimenez
E. Markovic
/ M. Wedrychowski
76'
I. Shkurin
/ J. Kokosinski
76'
S. Milewski
/ A. Blad
81'
84'
A. Trubeha
/
M. Ambrosiewicz
89'
Pre-match prediction
70.59%
GKS ←
16.37%
X
13.04%
Nieciecza
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (GKS Katowice)
70.59%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.62
1.73
-0.89
0.87
1.35
+0.48
GKS Katowice dominated by xG (1.73 vs 1.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dawid Kudła
G
Dawid Kudła
G
6
L. Klemenz
D
4
Arkadiusz Jędrych
D
Arkadiusz Jędrych
D
30
Alan Czerwiński
D
Alan Czerwiński
D
23
Marcin Wasielewski
M
Marcin Wasielewski
M
77
Mateusz Kowalczyk
1 ⚽
66'
M
Mateusz Kowalczyk
1 ⚽
66'
M
22
Sebastian Milewski
81'
M
Sebastian Milewski
81'
M
97
Erik Jirka
1 👟
66'
M
Erik Jirka
1 👟
66'
M
27
Bartosz Nowak
F
Bartosz Nowak
F
80
Ilia Shkurin
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
Ilia Shkurin
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
15
Eman Marković
2 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
Eman Marković
2 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
26
Damian Rasak
24'
M
Damian Rasak
24'
M
70
Mateusz Wdowiak
24'
M
Mateusz Wdowiak
24'
M
1
G
3
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
1 ⚽
D
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
1 ⚽
D
5
Lucas Masoero
45'
D
Lucas Masoero
45'
D
29
Isik Gabriel
D
Isik Gabriel
D
21
Damian Hilbrycht
M
Damian Hilbrycht
M
86
I. Strzalek
1 👟
58'
M
28
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
84'
M
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
84'
M
27
Radu Boboc
M
Radu Boboc
M
9
Jesús Jiménez
67'
F
Jesús Jiménez
67'
F
7
Morgan Fassbender
58'
F
Morgan Fassbender
58'
F
25
Kamil Zapolnik
1 ⚽
F
Kamil Zapolnik
1 ⚽
F
Bench
53
Andrzej Trubeha
8'
F
Andrzej Trubeha
8'
F
77
Artem Putivtsev
45'
D
Artem Putivtsev
45'
D
17
D. Biniek
M
19
Ivan Durdov
23'
F
Ivan Durdov
23'
F
23
Sergio Guerrero
32'
M
Sergio Guerrero
32'
M
Best on the pitch
Eman Marković
F · GKS
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 8 pass
Kamil Zapolnik
F · Nieciecza
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Ilia Shkurin
F · GKS
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 14 pass
Bartosz Nowak
F · GKS
7.90
· 32 pass
Marcin Wasielewski
M · GKS
7.60
1 shots
· 27 pass
Mateusz Kowalczyk
M · GKS
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
GKS Katowice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawid Kudła | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Klemenz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Arkadiusz Jędrych | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Czerwiński | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Marcin Wasielewski | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateusz Kowalczyk | M | 66 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Milewski | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Erik Jirka | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Nowak | F | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Ilia Shkurin | F | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Eman Marković | F | 76 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Damian Rasak | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Wdowiak | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Nieciecza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz | D | 90 | 5.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Masoero | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Isik Gabriel | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Damian Hilbrycht | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Strzalek | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Maciej Ambrosiewicz | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Radu Boboc | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesús Jiménez | F | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Morgan Fassbender | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kamil Zapolnik | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrzej Trubeha | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Artem Putivtsev | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivan Durdov | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Guerrero | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GKS Katowice vs Nieciecza?
The final score was GKS Katowice 5–1 Nieciecza.
What did the model predict before GKS Katowice vs Nieciecza?
The model assigned 70% probability to a GKS Katowice win, 16% to a draw, and 13% to an Nieciecza win.