GKS Katowice 5–1 Nieciecza — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — May 03, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31 May 03, 2026 12:15 Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS Katowice

#9 · 12 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Nieciecza

✓Model correct — prediction GKS Katowice

A. Kasperkiewicz 18' (og)

I. Shkurin 22'

E. Markovic (ast. I. Shkurin) 31'

M. Kowalczyk (ast. E. Markovic) 58'

E. Markovic (ast. E. Jirka) 64'

42' (ast. I. Strzalek) K. Zapolnik

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GKS Katowice a 70% win probability (draw 16%, Nieciecza 13%). The final result was GKS Katowice 5–1 Nieciecza. In 1 previous meetings, GKS Katowice have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nieciecza.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.73

Actual xG

1.35

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽A. Kasperkiewicz (og)

18'

⚽I. Shkurin

22'

⚽E. Markovic · ast. I. Shkurin

31'

G. Isik

42'

ast. I. Strzalek · K. Zapolnik⚽

46'

A. Putivtsev / L. Masoero ↕

58'

S. Guerrero / I. Strzalek ↕

58'

R. Kurzawa / M. Fassbender ↕

⚽M. Kowalczyk · ast. E. Markovic

58'

⚽E. Markovic · ast. E. Jirka

64'

↕ M. Kowalczyk / D. Rasak

66'

↕ E. Jirka / M. Wdowiak

66'

67'

I. Durdov / J. Jimenez ↕

↕ E. Markovic / M. Wedrychowski

76'

↕ I. Shkurin / J. Kokosinski

76'

↕ S. Milewski / A. Blad

81'

84'

A. Trubeha / M. Ambrosiewicz ↕

89'

Pre-match prediction

70.59%

GKS ←

16.37%

13.04%

Nieciecza

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (GKS Katowice) 70.59% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

GKS

2.62

1.73

-0.89

Nieciecza

0.87

1.35

+0.48

GKS Katowice dominated by xG (1.73 vs 1.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	22
2	Legia Warszawa	9	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	11
12	Widzew Łódź	9	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	6
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	9	3

Lineups

GKS Katowice 3-4-3

Dawid Kudła G 6.90

L. Klemenz D 6.90

A. Jędrych D 6.30

A. Czerwiński D 6.20

M. Wasielewski M 7.60

M. Kowalczyk 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.60

S. Milewski 81' M 6.50

E. Jirka 1 👟 66' M 6.30

B. Nowak F 7.90

I. Shkurin 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 8.20

E. Marković 2 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 10.00

Bench

D. Rasak 24' M 6.90

M. Wdowiak 24' M 6.70

Nieciecza 3-4-2-1

G 6.70

Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz 1 ⚽ D 5.50

Lucas Masoero 45' D 5.90

Isik Gabriel D 5.70

D. Hilbrycht M 6.90

Igor Strzałek 1 👟 58' M 7.00

M. Ambrosiewicz 84' M 6.20

Radu Boboc M 6.50

Jesús Jiménez 67' F 6.20

M. Faßbender 58' F 6.50

Kamil Zapolnik 1 ⚽ F 8.20

Bench

Andrzej Trubeha 8' F 6.20

Artem Putivtsev 45' D 6.30

D. Biniek M

Ivan Durdov 23' F 6.30

Sergio Guerrero 32' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

E. Marković

F · GKS

10.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 8 pass

Kamil Zapolnik

F · Nieciecza

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 26 pass

I. Shkurin

F · GKS

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 14 pass

B. Nowak

F · GKS

7.90

· 32 pass

M. Wasielewski

M · GKS

7.60

1 shots · 27 pass

M. Kowalczyk

M · GKS

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 26 pass

GKS Katowice — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Dawid Kudła	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	27	22%	—	—	—
L. Klemenz	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	28	25%	1	—	—
A. Jędrych	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	38	28%	1	—	—
A. Czerwiński	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	30	25%	—	—	—
M. Wasielewski	M	90	7.60	—	—	1	27	22%	1	—	—
M. Kowalczyk	M	66	7.60	1	—	1	26	17%	1	—	—
S. Milewski	M	81	6.50	—	—	—	29	21%	1	—	—
E. Jirka	M	66	6.30	—	1	—	16	6%	—	—	—
B. Nowak	F	90	7.90	—	—	—	32	21%	2	—	—
I. Shkurin	F	76	8.20	1	1	4	14	12%	1	—	—
E. Marković	F	76	10.00	2	1	2	8	7%	1	—	—
D. Rasak	M	24	6.90	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
M. Wdowiak	M	24	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Nieciecza — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	30	16%	—	—	—
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz	D	90	5.50	1	—	1	47	36%	1	—	—
Lucas Masoero	D	45	5.90	—	—	—	34	28%	—	—	—
Isik Gabriel	D	90	5.70	—	—	1	47	38%	2	1	—
D. Hilbrycht	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	31	28%	2	—	—
Igor Strzałek	M	58	7.00	—	1	1	27	25%	—	—	—
M. Ambrosiewicz	M	84	6.20	—	—	1	40	30%	—	—	—
Radu Boboc	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	26	19%	2	—	—
Jesús Jiménez	F	67	6.20	—	—	—	20	12%	—	—	—
M. Faßbender	F	58	6.50	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Kamil Zapolnik	F	90	8.20	1	—	2	26	21%	1	—	—
Andrzej Trubeha	F	8	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Artem Putivtsev	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	24	21%	1	—	—
Ivan Durdov	F	23	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Sergio Guerrero	M	32	6.50	—	—	—	14	14%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of GKS Katowice vs Nieciecza?

The final score was GKS Katowice 5–1 Nieciecza.

What did the model predict before GKS Katowice vs Nieciecza?

The model assigned 70% probability to a GKS Katowice win, 16% to a draw, and 13% to an Nieciecza win.