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Glenavon FC - Ballymena United

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.19%
Win
Glenavon FC
30.16%
Draw
38.65%
Win
Ballymena United
1.23
Expected xG
3.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (7.99%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 30%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 69%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ballymena United a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Glenavon FC. Expected goals are 1.2 for Glenavon FC and 3.9 for Ballymena United (total 5.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 7.99% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Glenavon FC have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Ballymena United.

Season Stats

Glenavon FC
0W 0D 2L
Ballymena United
6W 1D 1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
3.0
3.5
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
75%
0%
BTTS
63%
0%
Clean Sht
38%
Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Glenavon FC
0W 0D 1L · at home
Ballymena United
5W 1D 0L · away
0.0
gls/g
2.8
5.0
Conceded
0.8
0%
Win %
83%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Glenavon FC Ballymena United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.6% 2.3% 4.5% 5.8% 5.7% 4.4%
1 0.7% 2.9% 5.6% 7.2% 7.0% 5.4%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.4% 4.5% 4.3% 3.4%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L Crusaders FC 2–0
L Doncaster 0–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
W Portstewart 1–5
W Carrick Rangers 0–3
W Dundela 2–3
D Queen's University 1–1
W Ballyclare Comrades 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Glenavon FC Glenavon FC
Attack
0
Defence
25
Form
22
Ballymena United Ballymena United
Attack
66
Defence
78
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
The model gives Glenavon FC a 31% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 38% for an Ballymena United win.
How many goals are expected in Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
Expected goals: Glenavon FC 1.2, Ballymena United 3.9 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.99%.