Skip to main content
← Championship

Glenavon FC - Loughgall

Championship September 25, 2026 20:45 Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Glenavon FC
#5 · 14 pts
vs
Loughgall
#11 · 10 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 13.0°C 💨 12 km/h · Lurgan
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.9%
Win
Glenavon FC
25.26%
Draw
25.84%
Win
Loughgall
2.28
Expected xG
1.1

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.53%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 25%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 51%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 56%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Glenavon FC a 48% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Loughgall. Expected goals are 2.3 for Glenavon FC and 1.1 for Loughgall (total 3.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.53% probability.

Season Stats

Glenavon FC
4W 2D 2L
Loughgall
3W 7D 5L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
67%
75%
O 2.5
47%
88%
BTTS
60%
13%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
43%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Glenavon FC
3W 0D 1L · at home
Loughgall
2W 4D 4L · away
2.2
gls/g
0.8
1.2
Conceded
1.0
75%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
60%
75%
O 1.5
60%
75%
O 2.5
40%
75%
O 3.5
10%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Glenavon FC Loughgall →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Glenavon FC Glenavon FC
W Newington Youth 1–0
D Ballinamallard United 1–1
L Dundela 3–2
W Rathfriland 3–1
D Armagh City 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Loughgall Loughgall
D Armagh City 0–0
L Queen's University 1–0
L Ballinamallard United 1–6
D Warrenpoint Town 3–3
W Ards 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Glenavon FC Glenavon FC
Attack
55
Defence
63
Form
59
Loughgall Loughgall
Attack
33
Defence
63
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Newington Youth Newington Youth 8 17
2 Annagh United Annagh United 8 17
3 Queen's University Queen's University 8 16
4 H&W Welders H&W Welders 8 15
5 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 8 14
6 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 8 13
7 Institute Institute 8 13
8 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 8 12
9 Ards Ards 8 11
10 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 8 10
11 Loughgall Loughgall 8 10
12 Dundela Dundela 8 8
13 Moyola Park Moyola Park 8 8
14 Strabane Athletic Strabane Athletic 8 5
15 Armagh City Armagh City 8 4
16 Rathfriland Rathfriland 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Glenavon FC vs Loughgall?
The model gives Glenavon FC a 48% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 25% for an Loughgall win.
How many goals are expected in Glenavon FC vs Loughgall?
Expected goals: Glenavon FC 2.3, Loughgall 1.1 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Glenavon FC vs Loughgall?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.53%.