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Championship · Regular Season - 5 August 28, 2026 20:45 Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Glenavon FC
#5 · 11 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Rathfriland
#16 · 0 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Glenavon FC a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Rathfriland 26%). The final result was Glenavon FC 3–1 Rathfriland.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
46.61%
Glenavon ←
27.18%
X
26.21%
Rathfriland
we assigned to the actual result (Glenavon FC) 46.61% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Glenavon
3.17
—
—
Rathfriland
0.78
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Newington Youth Newington Youth 7 17
2 Queen's University Queen's University 7 16
3 Annagh United Annagh United 7 16
4 H&W Welders H&W Welders 7 15
5 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 7 11
6 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 7 11
7 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 7 10
8 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 7 10
9 Ards Ards 7 10
10 Institute Institute 7 10
11 Loughgall Loughgall 7 9
12 Dundela Dundela 7 7
13 Moyola Park Moyola Park 7 7
14 Strabane Athletic Strabane Athletic 7 4
15 Armagh City Armagh City 7 3
16 Rathfriland Rathfriland 7 0
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Rathfriland?
The final score was Glenavon FC 3–1 Rathfriland.
What did the model predict before Glenavon FC vs Rathfriland?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Glenavon FC win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Rathfriland win.