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Glentoran - Ballymena United

Premiership October 24, 2026 16:00
Glentoran
#5 · 21 pts
vs
Ballymena United
#8 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.22%
Win
Glentoran
29.58%
Draw
32.21%
Win
Ballymena United
1.04
Expected xG
1.01

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.76%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 30%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 62%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Glentoran a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Ballymena United. Expected goals are 1.0 for Glentoran and 1.0 for Ballymena United (total 2.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.76% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Glentoran have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ballymena United.

Season Stats

Glentoran
7W 3D 5L
Ballymena United
5W 4D 6L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
47%
O 2.5
60%
47%
BTTS
67%
53%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Glentoran
5W 3D 2L · at home
Ballymena United
3W 3D 4L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.9
0.6
Conceded
1.8
50%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
90%
30%
O 2.5
80%
10%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Glentoran Ballymena United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9% 13.0% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Glentoran Glentoran
D Coleraine FC 1–1
W Limavady United 1–0
D Portadown 0–0
W Dungannon Swifts 2–0
W Carrick Rangers 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Ballymena United Ballymena United
L Bangor 0–1
W Crusaders FC 2–1
L Limavady United 3–2
W Cliftonville FC 0–1
W Portadown 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 27%

Playing profile

Glentoran Glentoran
Attack
31
Defence
85
Form
56
Ballymena United Ballymena United
Attack
34
Defence
69
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

4
Glentoran
0
Draw
0
Ballymena United
21 Aug 2026 Premiership 2–0
14 Feb 2026 Premiership 2–1
18 Oct 2025 Premiership 2–0
6 Sep 2025 Premiership 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 14 35
2 Linfield Linfield 14 33
3 Larne Larne 13 26
4 Cliftonville FC Cliftonville FC 15 21
5 Glentoran Glentoran 13 21
6 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 14 18
7 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 14 18
8 Ballymena United Ballymena United 12 15
9 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 13 15
10 Limavady United Limavady United 14 14
11 Bangor Bangor 14 9
12 Portadown Portadown 14 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
The model gives Glentoran a 38% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 32% for an Ballymena United win.
How many goals are expected in Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
Expected goals: Glentoran 1.0, Ballymena United 1.0 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.76%.