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Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 29 October 24, 2026 16:00 Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
Gnistan
#4 · 36 pts
3 – 4
Final score
AC Oulu
#4 · 43 pts
Sergey Eremenko 22'
Adam Jouhi (ast. Saku Ylätupa) 51'
Adam Jouhi (ast. Roger Bonet) 90'+1
5' (ast. Rasmus Karjalainen) Mikko Pitkanen
10' (ast. Rasmus Karjalainen) Iiro Mendolin
(og) 45'+1 Otso Virtanen
85' (ast. Roope Riski) Lamine Ghezali
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gnistan a 40% win probability (draw 35%, AC Oulu 24%). The final result was Gnistan 3–4 AC Oulu. In 5 previous meetings, Gnistan have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AC Oulu.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
20
8
Shots on target
7
1.34
Actual xG
1.85
3
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
9
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. Rasmus Karjalainen · Mikko Pitkanen⚽
10'
ast. Rasmus Karjalainen · Iiro Mendolin⚽
⚽Sergey Eremenko
22'
45'+1
(og) Otso Virtanen⚽
⚽Adam Jouhi · ast. Saku Ylätupa
51'
Saku Ylätupa
54'
↕ Otto Hannula / Artur Atarah
54'
↕ Saku Ylätupa / Danny Pérez
60'
71'
Lamine Ghezali / Joel lotvonen ↕
71'
Roope Riski / Rasmus Karjalainen ↕
↕ Pakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou / Jeff Selenge
85'
85'
ast. Roope Riski · Lamine Ghezali⚽
86'
Lamine Ghezali
86'
Juuso Mäkeläinen / Elias Kallio ↕
88'
Alex Lietsa / Otto Kemppainen ↕
⚽Adam Jouhi · ast. Roger Bonet
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
40.21%
Gnistan
35.69%
X
24.11%
AC ←
we assigned to the actual result (AC Oulu) 24.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gnistan
0.77
1.34
+0.57
AC
0.55
1.85
+1.3
AC Oulu dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.34). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lahti Lahti 27 39
1 Mariehamn Mariehamn 10 16
1 KuPS KuPS 22 43
1 Inter Turku Inter Turku 29 55
2 FF Jaro FF Jaro 11 16
2 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 29 52
2 Inter Turku Inter Turku 22 42
2 Ilves Ilves 27 38
3 Ilves Ilves 5 13
3 Turku PS Turku PS 27 32
3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 22 37
3 KuPS KuPS 29 52
4 SJK SJK 27 27
4 AC Oulu AC Oulu 29 43
4 AC Oulu AC Oulu 5 9
4 Gnistan Gnistan 22 36
5 FF Jaro FF Jaro 27 21
5 SJK SJK 5 8
5 Gnistan Gnistan 29 42
5 AC Oulu AC Oulu 22 34
6 Lahti Lahti 5 7
6 VPS VPS 22 33
6 VPS VPS 29 39
6 Mariehamn Mariehamn 27 19
7 Lahti Lahti 22 32
7 Kooteepee Kooteepee 7 7
8 Turku PS Turku PS 22 31
8 Turku PS Turku PS 7 7
9 VPS VPS 5 6
9 Ilves Ilves 22 25
10 PK-35 PK-35 1 1
10 SJK SJK 22 19
11 Haka Haka 5 1
11 FF Jaro FF Jaro 22 15
12 Mariehamn Mariehamn 22 14
Lineups
Gnistan Gnistan 5-4-1
1 O. Virtanen O. Virtanen 1 ⚽ G 5.53
14 S. Eremenko S. Eremenko 1 ⚽ D 6.63
3 Ruxi Ruxi 1 👟 D 6.34
67 A. Obileye A. Obileye D 6.08
24 P. Gnanou P. Gnanou 85' D 5.92
19 B. Milovanov B. Milovanov D 5.40
23 S. Ylätupa S. Ylätupa 1 👟 60' M 6.24
26 R. Eremenko R. Eremenko M 6.22
31 A. Jouhi A. Jouhi 2 ⚽ M 8.89
27 O. Hannula O. Hannula 54' M 5.64
10 J. Latonen J. Latonen F 6.39
Bench
7 A. Atarah A. Atarah 36' F 5.78
2 B. Dahlström B. Dahlström D 0.00
11 D. Pérez D. Pérez 30' F 5.98
40 J. Ojala J. Ojala D 0.00
50 J Selenge J Selenge 5' F 6.28
95 M. Jurička M. Jurička G 0.00
25 Noah Rossi Noah Rossi D 0.00
AC Oulu AC Oulu 4-4-2
62
G 6.70
22 T. Kaukua T. Kaukua D 5.70
66 J. Pirinen J. Pirinen D 6.08
5 M. Pitkänen M. Pitkänen 1 ⚽ D 7.03
16 O. Kemppainen O. Kemppainen 89' D 6.35
27 E. Kallio E. Kallio 89' M 6.15
25 M. Arsalo M. Arsalo M 6.44
21 I. Mendolin I. Mendolin 1 ⚽ M 7.16
36 J. Lotvonen J. Lotvonen 71' M 6.17
7 R. Karjalainen R. Karjalainen 2 👟 71' F 7.98
10 C. Triana C. Triana F 6.31
Bench
40 J. Korhonen J. Korhonen M 0.00
3 J. Lietsa J. Lietsa 1' D 0.00
30 J. Makelainen J. Makelainen 1' M 5.80
12 J. Pentti J. Pentti G 0.00
11 L. Ghezali L. Ghezali 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.12
14 N. Jokelainen N. Jokelainen M 0.00
9 R. Riski R. Riski 1 👟 19' F 6.88
29 S. Silander S. Silander D 0.00
2 S. Sipola S. Sipola D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Jouhi
A. Jouhi
M · Gnistan
8.89
2 ⚽
3 shots · 40 pass
R. Karjalainen
R. Karjalainen
F · AC
7.98
2 👟
4 shots · 18 pass
I. Mendolin
I. Mendolin
M · AC
7.16
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
L. Ghezali
L. Ghezali
F · AC
7.12
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
M. Pitkänen
M. Pitkänen
D · AC
7.03
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
R. Riski
R. Riski
F · AC
6.88
1 👟
1 shots · 5 pass
Gnistan Gnistan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Virtanen G 90 5.53 1 — 0 43 27% 0 — —
S. Eremenko D 90 6.63 1 — 2 45 33% 0 — —
Ruxi D 90 6.34 — 1 1 59 47% 2 — —
A. Obileye D 90 6.08 — — 0 51 42% 2 — —
P. Gnanou D 85 5.92 — — 0 28 22% 2 — —
B. Milovanov D 90 5.40 — — 2 34 22% 4 — —
S. Ylätupa M 60 6.24 — 1 1 11 7% 0 1 —
R. Eremenko M 90 6.22 — — 1 48 28% 1 — —
A. Jouhi M 90 8.89 2 — 3 40 31% 2 — —
O. Hannula M 54 5.64 — — 0 17 7% 1 — —
J. Latonen F 90 6.39 — — 3 27 19% 1 — —
A. Atarah F 36 5.78 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
D. Pérez F 30 5.98 — — 0 8 3% 0 — —
J Selenge F 5 6.28 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
AC Oulu AC Oulu — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — 0 31 11% 0 — —
T. Kaukua D 90 5.70 — — 0 27 14% 2 — —
J. Pirinen D 90 6.08 — — 0 43 28% 2 — —
M. Pitkänen D 90 7.03 1 — 1 38 29% 0 — —
O. Kemppainen D 89 6.35 — — 0 46 35% 1 — —
E. Kallio M 89 6.15 — — 4 18 9% 2 — —
M. Arsalo M 90 6.44 — — 6 40 30% 1 — —
I. Mendolin M 90 7.16 1 — 2 19 17% 3 — —
J. Lotvonen M 71 6.17 — — 0 20 13% 2 — —
R. Karjalainen F 71 7.98 — 2 4 18 12% 0 — —
C. Triana F 90 6.31 — — 1 30 22% 0 — —
J. Lietsa D 1 0.00 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
J. Makelainen M 1 5.80 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
L. Ghezali F 19 7.12 1 — 1 8 4% 0 1 —
R. Riski F 19 6.88 — 1 1 5 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gnistan vs AC Oulu?
The final score was Gnistan 3–4 AC Oulu.
What did the model predict before Gnistan vs AC Oulu?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Gnistan win, 35% to a draw, and 24% to an AC Oulu win.