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Gnistan - FF Jaro

Veikkausliiga May 16, 2026 18:00
#10 · 5 pts
vs
#11 · 4 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 16.5°C 💨 8 km/h · Helsinki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.24%
Win
Gnistan
39.55%
Draw
30.21%
Win
FF Jaro
0.38
Expected xG
0.42

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gnistan a 30% win probability, against 39% for a draw and 30% for FF Jaro. Expected goals are 0.4 for Gnistan and 0.4 for FF Jaro (total 0.8), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 45.0% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Gnistan FF Jaro →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 45.0% 18.8% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 17.1% 7.2% 1.5% 0.2%
2 3.2% 1.4% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.2%
4
5
Recent form
D VPS 1–1
W Inter Turku 2–0
D Turku PS 1–1
L HJK Helsinki 0–3
L KuPS 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
L Inter Turku 2–0
D Turku PS 2–2
D SJK 1–1
D KuPS 1–1
D VPS 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 29%
Playing profile
Gnistan Gnistan
Attack
17
Defence
55
Form
37
FF Jaro FF Jaro
Attack
20
Defence
69
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Inter Turku Inter Turku 7 14
2 AC Oulu AC Oulu 7 12
3 Turku PS Turku PS 6 12
4 KuPS KuPS 7 12
5 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 7 11
6 VPS VPS 6 9
7 Lahti Lahti 6 7
8 SJK SJK 6 6
9 Ilves Ilves 6 5
10 Gnistan Gnistan 6 5
11 FF Jaro FF Jaro 6 4
12 Mariehamn Mariehamn 6 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gnistan vs FF Jaro?
The model gives Gnistan a 30% win probability, 39% for a draw, and 30% for an FF Jaro win.
How many goals are expected in Gnistan vs FF Jaro?
Expected goals: Gnistan 0.4, FF Jaro 0.4 (total 0.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Gnistan vs FF Jaro?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 45.0%.