Gnistan 3–2 Ilves — pre-match prediction — Veikkausliiga — August 17, 2026

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Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 20 August 17, 2026 17:00 Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki

Gnistan

#4 · 36 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Ilves

#2 · 38 pts

S. Vaisanen 4' (og)

A. Akinyemi (ast. G. Europaeus) 45'

B. Milovanov 81'

14' (ast. O. Pettersson) T. Hytonen

41' (ast. K. Wallius) A. Popovitch

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gnistan a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Ilves 29%). The final result was Gnistan 3–2 Ilves. In 6 previous meetings, Gnistan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 5 wins for Ilves.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽S. Vaisanen (og)

14'

ast. O. Pettersson · T. Hytonen⚽

B. Milovanov

24'

41'

ast. K. Wallius · A. Popovitch⚽

43'

S. Vaisanen

⚽A. Akinyemi · ast. G. Europaeus

45'

↕ S. Ylatupa / A. Atarah

46'

56'

S. Vaisanen

56'

S. Vaisanen

62'

Y. Raap / Y. Sacko ↕

62'

S. Baranov / J. Kilo ↕

↕ A. Akinyemi / D. Perez

63'

78'

R. Riski / A. Popovitch ↕

78'

G. Bamba / O. Pettersson ↕

⚽B. Milovanov

81'

↕ R. Eremenko / J. Latonen

86'

↕ Ruxi / S. Eremenko

86'

89'

M. Stjopin / T. Miettunen ↕

D. Perez

90'+2

90'+3

J. Kanga

↕ A. Atarah / J. Ojala

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

37.84%

Gnistan ←

32.97%

29.19%

Ilves

we assigned to the actual result (Gnistan) 37.84% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Gnistan

0.86

—

Ilves

0.70

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lahti	27	39
1	Mariehamn	10	16
1	KuPS	22	43
1	Inter Turku	29	55
2	FF Jaro	11	16
2	HJK Helsinki	29	52
2	Inter Turku	22	42
2	Ilves	27	38
3	Ilves	5	13
3	Turku PS	27	32
3	HJK Helsinki	22	37
3	KuPS	29	52
4	SJK	27	27
4	AC Oulu	29	43
4	AC Oulu	5	9
4	Gnistan	22	36
5	FF Jaro	27	21
5	SJK	5	8
5	Gnistan	29	42
5	AC Oulu	22	34
6	Lahti	5	7
6	VPS	22	33
6	VPS	29	39
6	Mariehamn	27	19
7	Lahti	22	32
7	Kooteepee	7	7
8	Turku PS	22	31
8	Turku PS	7	7
9	VPS	5	6
9	Ilves	22	25
10	PK-35	1	1
10	SJK	22	19
11	Haka	5	1
11	FF Jaro	22	15
12	Mariehamn	22	14