Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 16
July 05, 2026 01:00
✓Model correct — prediction Goias
Kadu
(ast. Lucas Lima)
11'
Juninho
(ast. Anselmo Ramon)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Goias a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Ceara 17%). The final result was Goias 2–0 Ceara.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
0
0.52
Actual xG
0.64
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
14
Match Events
⚽Kadu
· ast. Lucas Lima
11'
Filipe Machado
22'
Filipe Machado
/ Baldoria
26'
46'
Bryan Borges
Jean Carlos
/ Diego Caito
58'
65'
Enzo Lodovico
/
Luiz Otavio
65'
Wendel Silva
/
Lucca
Kadu
67'
Rodrigo Soares
/ Lucas Ribeiro
69'
Djalma Silva
/ Nicolas
69'
Cadu
/ Anselmo Ramon
69'
74'
Matheus Araujo
/
Richardson
75'
Kaua Ziegler
/
Bryan Borges
⚽Juninho
· ast. Anselmo Ramon
80'
82'
R. Ramos
/
Fernando
Pre-match prediction
59.57%
Goias ←
23.16%
X
17.28%
Ceara
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Goias)
59.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.69
0.52
-1.17
0.66
0.64
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.52 – 0.64).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Goias vs Ceara?
The final score was Goias 2–0 Ceara.
What did the model predict before Goias vs Ceara?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Goias win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Ceara win.