✗Model wrong — prediction Goias, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Goias a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Nautico Recife 16%). The final result was Goias 0–0 Nautico Recife. In 1 previous meetings, Goias have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
21
5
Shots on target
4
1.91
Actual xG
1.34
4
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
13
Corners
8
15
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
57'
Kauan Almeida da Costa
/
Paulo Sérgio
57'
Todinho
/
Derek Freitas Ribeiro
Nicolas Vichiatto Da Silva
/ Rodrigo Soares
59'
João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço
/ Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino
59'
Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
/ Geirton Marques Aires
70'
71'
Victor Andrade
/
Benjamín Borasi
Lucas Rodrigues
/ Wellington Rato
76'
Lucas Lima
/ Jean Carlos
77'
80'
Samuel
/
Luiz Felipe
80'
Auremir
/
Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira
Filipe Machado
83'
Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
63.13%
Goias
20.54%
X ←
16.33%
Nautico
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
1.91
-0.03
0.79
1.34
+0.55
Goias dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Tadeu
G
Tadeu
G
6
Nicolas
59'
D
Nicolas
59'
D
14
Lucas Ribeiro
D
Lucas Ribeiro
D
4
Ramon Menezes
D
Ramon Menezes
D
54
Djalma Silva
D
Djalma Silva
D
5
Filipe Machado
M
Filipe Machado
M
18
Cadu
70'
M
Cadu
70'
M
35
Luquinhas
76'
M
Luquinhas
76'
M
97
Lourenço
59'
M
Lourenço
59'
M
10
Lucas Lima
77'
M
Lucas Lima
77'
M
11
Felipe Clemente
F
Felipe Clemente
F
Bench
66
Danilo Cunha
D
Danilo Cunha
D
12
Ezequiel
G
Ezequiel
G
28
Gegê
20'
M
Gegê
20'
M
55
Guilherme Baldória
M
Guilherme Baldória
M
77
Halerrandrio
F
Halerrandrio
F
21
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira
13'
M
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira
13'
M
8
Juninho
M
Juninho
M
40
Kadu
31'
F
Kadu
31'
F
25
Luis Fellipe
D
Luis Fellipe
D
2
Rodrigo Soares
31'
D
Rodrigo Soares
31'
D
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
Thiago Rodrigues
G
27
Wellington Rato
14'
M
Wellington Rato
14'
M
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
6
Ryan
D
Ryan
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
Igor Fernandes
D
3
Alberto
D
Alberto
D
93
Reginaldo Lopes
D
Reginaldo Lopes
D
8
Wenderson
80'
M
Wenderson
80'
M
27
Luiz Felipe
80'
M
Luiz Felipe
80'
M
24
B. Borasi
71'
M
B. Borasi
71'
M
7
Vinícius
M
Vinícius
M
72
Derek
57'
M
Derek
57'
M
9
Paulo Sérgio
57'
F
Paulo Sérgio
57'
F
Bench
2
Arnaldo
D
Arnaldo
D
5
Auremir
10'
M
Auremir
10'
M
29
Júnior Todinho
33'
F
Júnior Todinho
33'
F
19
Kaua Almeida da Costa
33'
F
Kaua Almeida da Costa
33'
F
16
Luiz Cláudio
F
Luiz Cláudio
F
60
Luiz Paulo
D
Luiz Paulo
D
22
P. Núñez
M
P. Núñez
M
41
Samuel
10'
M
Samuel
10'
M
11
Victor Andrade
19'
F
Victor Andrade
19'
F
34
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
Best on the pitch
Djalma Silva
D · Goias
7.91
3 shots
· 44 pass
Tadeu
G · Goias
7.77
1 shots
· 24 pass
Lucas Lima
M · Goias
7.50
2 shots
· 36 pass
Nicolas
D · Goias
7.43
1 shots
· 29 pass
Igor Fernandes
D · Nautico
7.41
2 shots
· 54 pass
Ramon Menezes
D · Goias
7.33
1 shots
· 53 pass
Goias — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tadeu | G | 90 | 7.77 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Nicolas | D | 59 | 7.43 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ribeiro | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramon Menezes | D | 90 | 7.33 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Djalma Silva | D | 90 | 7.91 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Filipe Machado | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 64% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Cadu | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Luquinhas | M | 76 | 6.44 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Lourenço | M | 59 | 7.10 | — | — | 4 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Lima | M | 77 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Clemente | F | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gegê | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira | M | 13 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Kadu | F | 31 | 6.99 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Soares | D | 31 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Wellington Rato | M | 14 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Guruceaga | G | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Ryan | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Alberto | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| Reginaldo Lopes | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 80 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Borasi | M | 71 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 6 | 31 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Derek | M | 57 | 6.96 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Sérgio | F | 57 | 6.72 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Auremir | M | 10 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Júnior Todinho | F | 33 | 6.85 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaua Almeida da Costa | F | 33 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Samuel | M | 10 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Andrade | F | 19 | 7.12 | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Goias vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was Goias 0–0 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before Goias vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Goias win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Nautico Recife win.