GOR Mahia - Mombasa Elite
Premier League
November 26, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.41%
Win
GOR Mahia
32.8%
Draw
26.79%
Win
Mombasa Elite
1.44
0.43
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(18.38%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
33%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
60%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
47%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives GOR Mahia a 40% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Mombasa Elite. Expected goals are 1.4 for GOR Mahia and 0.4 for Mombasa Elite (total 1.9), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 18.38% probability.
Season Stats
8W
4D
3L
0W
1D
5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.7
0.6
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
67%
27%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
53%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
22%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
5W
3D
2L
· at home
0W
0D
3L
· away
1.4
gls/g
0.7
0.8
Conceded
2.3
50%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
0%
60%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
67%
10%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
30%
Failed to Score
33%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ GOR Mahia
Mombasa Elite →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.4% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 16.0% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
GOR Mahia
Attack
26
Defence
67
Form
49
Mombasa Elite
Attack
10
Defence
60
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KCB
|
6 | 13 |
| 2 |
GOR Mahia
|
5 | 12 |
| 3 |
AFC Leopards
|
5 | 9 |
| 4 |
Shabana
|
6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Kenya Police
|
5 | 8 |
| 6 |
3K
|
5 | 8 |
| 7 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
5 | 7 |
| 8 |
Tusker
|
3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Police
|
1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Migori Youth
|
4 | 6 |
| 10 |
APS Bomet
|
6 | 6 |
| 11 |
Mara Sugar
|
5 | 6 |
| 12 |
Mathare United
|
5 | 5 |
| 13 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
5 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nairobi United
|
5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Bandari
|
5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Homeboyz
|
4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
5 | 4 |
| 18 |
Mombasa Elite
|
6 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Mombasa Elite?
The model gives GOR Mahia a 40% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 26% for an Mombasa Elite win.
How many goals are expected in GOR Mahia vs Mombasa Elite?
Expected goals: GOR Mahia 1.4, Mombasa Elite 0.4 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in GOR Mahia vs Mombasa Elite?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.38%.