GOR Mahia - Murang'a SEAL
Premier League
September 19, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.66%
Win
GOR Mahia
31.44%
Draw
28.9%
Win
Murang'a SEAL
1.05
0.76
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.66%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
31%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
60%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives GOR Mahia a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Murang'a SEAL. Expected goals are 1.1 for GOR Mahia and 0.8 for Murang'a SEAL (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, GOR Mahia have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Murang'a SEAL.
Season Stats
8W
5D
2L
5W
2D
8L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
0.6
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
67%
40%
O 2.5
40%
47%
BTTS
53%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
6W
3D
1L
· at home
4W
1D
5L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.4
0.6
Conceded
1.2
60%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ GOR Mahia
Murang'a SEAL →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.4% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.2% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
GOR Mahia
Attack
10
Defence
45
Form
27
Murang'a SEAL
Attack
12
Defence
30
Form
19
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mathare United
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Tusker
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
GOR Mahia
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
AFC Leopards
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Bandari
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Homeboyz
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Police
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Migori Youth
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Shabana
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Mombasa Elite
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Mara Sugar
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Nairobi United
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
3K
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
The model gives GOR Mahia a 39% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 28% for an Murang'a SEAL win.
How many goals are expected in GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
Expected goals: GOR Mahia 1.1, Murang'a SEAL 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.