Gorica - Ilirija
2. SNL
May 15, 2026 18:00
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
31.1°C
💨 20 km/h
· Novo Mesto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.32%
Win
Gorica
26.12%
Draw
26.56%
Win
Ilirija
1.67
1.19
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gorica a 47% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ilirija. Expected goals are 1.7 for Gorica and 1.2 for Ilirija (total 2.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.4% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Gorica have won 4 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ilirija.
Score Matrix
↕ Gorica
Ilirija →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Gorica
Attack
45
Defence
61
Form
38
Ilirija
Attack
34
Defence
66
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gorica vs Ilirija?
The model gives Gorica a 47% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an Ilirija win.
How many goals are expected in Gorica vs Ilirija?
Expected goals: Gorica 1.7, Ilirija 1.2 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Gorica vs Ilirija?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.