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Gorleston - Bury Town

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Gorleston
vs
Bury Town
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.5%
Win
Gorleston
31.0%
Draw
34.5%
Win
Bury Town
3.82
Expected xG
3.86

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.25%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 31%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gorleston a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Bury Town. Expected goals are 3.8 for Gorleston and 3.9 for Bury Town (total 7.7), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.25% probability.

Season Stats

Gorleston
3W 2D 1L
Bury Town
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
50%
83%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
84%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Gorleston
1W 1D 0L · at home
Bury Town
2W 0D 1L · away
3.5
gls/g
2.3
1.5
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gorleston Bury Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 — 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
1 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.3%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.1% 2.4%
3 0.4% 1.7% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.1%
4 0.4% 1.6% 3.1% 3.9% 3.8% 2.9%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.2%

Recent form

Gorleston Gorleston
W Leighton Town 1–4
L Waltham Abbey 2–0
W March Town United 1–3
D Walsham Le Willows 1–1
D Walsham Le Willows 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Bury Town Bury Town
W London Lions 2–4
L Woodford Town 1–0
D Woodford Town 1–1
W Brightlingsea Regent 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Gorleston Gorleston
Attack
63
Defence
55
Form
55
Bury Town Bury Town
Attack
86
Defence
51
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gorleston vs Bury Town?
The model gives Gorleston a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an Bury Town win.
How many goals are expected in Gorleston vs Bury Town?
Expected goals: Gorleston 3.8, Bury Town 3.9 (total 7.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Gorleston vs Bury Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.25%.