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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32 May 09, 2026 20:15 Arena Zabrze, Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
#2 · 27 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Zaglebie Lubin
#7 · 19 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Gornik Zabrze, result Zaglebie Lubin wins
63' (ast. L. Szabo) J. Kolan
74' (ast. J. Sypek) L. Szabo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gornik Zabrze a 57% win probability (draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin 15%). The final result was Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Zaglebie Lubin. In 1 previous meetings, Gornik Zabrze have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
6
1.56
Actual xG
1.26
4
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
15
Corners
4
19
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ M. Sacek / P. Olkowski
40'
↕ Y. Ikia Dimi / O. Zmrzly
46'
↕ J. Kubicki / M. Rakoczy
46'
59'
L. Szabo / M. Kosidis ↕
63'
ast. L. Szabo · J. Kolan⚽
72'
L. Szabo
74'
J. Sypek / A. Radwanski ↕
74'
M. Dziewiatowski / M. Regula ↕
74'
ast. J. Sypek · L. Szabo⚽
↕ S. Liseth / L. Podolski
76'
↕ E. Janza / K. Lukoszek
76'
85'
T. Makowski / J. Kolan ↕
85'
L. Lucic / D. Dabrowski ↕
Pre-match prediction
57.65%
Gornik
26.99%
X
15.36%
Zaglebie ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Zaglebie Lubin) 15.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gornik
1.36
1.56
+0.2
Zaglebie
0.51
1.26
+0.75
xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.26). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 11 28
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 11 24
4 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 12 23
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 12 21
6 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 12 20
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 12 19
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 12 18
9 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 12 18
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 11 15
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 11 14
12 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 12 13
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 12 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 12 11
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 12 9
16 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 12 8
17 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 12 8
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 12 6
Lineups
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
1 M. Łubik M. Łubik G 6.20
64 E. Janža E. Janža 76' D 6.30
4 P. Bochniewicz P. Bochniewicz D 6.90
26 R. Janicki R. Janicki D 6.70
61 M. Sáček M. Sáček 40' D 7.20
14 J. Kubicki J. Kubicki 45' M 6.90
8 P. Hellebrand P. Hellebrand M 7.30
18 Lukáš Ambros Lukáš Ambros M 6.30
33 M. Khlan M. Khlan F 6.20
23 S. Liseth S. Liseth 76' F 5.90
7 Y. Ikia Dimi Y. Ikia Dimi 45' F 7.20
Bench
28 B. Donio B. Donio M
77 Borislav Rupanov Borislav Rupanov F
20 Josema Sánchez Josema Sánchez D
17 K. Lukoszek K. Lukoszek 14' M 6.70
5 K. Szcześniak K. Szcześniak D
13 L. Sadílek L. Sadílek M
10 Lukas Podolski Lukas Podolski 14' F 6.90
36 Michał Rakoczy Michał Rakoczy 45' M 6.30
21 M. Sauer M. Sauer M
67 O. Zmrzlý O. Zmrzlý 45' D 6.00
16 Paweł Olkowski Paweł Olkowski 50' D 6.20
99 T. Loska T. Loska G
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 4-2-3-1
1 J. Burić J. Burić G 8.50
16 J. Ćorluka J. Ćorluka D 6.90
4 D. Michalski D. Michalski D 7.90
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa D 7.20
13 M. Grzybek M. Grzybek D 7.20
8 D. Dąbrowski D. Dąbrowski 85' M 7.20
39 F. Kocaba F. Kocaba M 7.50
18 A. Radwański A. Radwański 74' M 6.90
26 J. Kolan J. Kolan 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.60
44 M. Reguła M. Reguła 74' M 6.90
9 M. Kosidis M. Kosidis 59' F 7.00
Bench
11 A. Woźniak A. Woźniak M
84 Jakub Ligocki Jakub Ligocki M
19 J. Sypek J. Sypek 1 👟 16' M 6.90
17 Levente Szabó Levente Szabó 1 ⚽ 1 👟 31' F 7.60
35 Luka Lučić Luka Lučić 10' D 6.70
20 M. Dziewiatowski M. Dziewiatowski 16' M 6.60
88 M. Mlinarić M. Mlinarić F
12 Rafał Gikiewicz Rafał Gikiewicz G
7 Sebastian Kowalczyk Sebastian Kowalczyk M
21 Seweryn Marek Seweryn Marek M
6 Tomasz Makowski Tomasz Makowski 10' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
J. Burić
J. Burić
G · Zaglebie
8.50
· 30 pass
D. Michalski
D. Michalski
D · Zaglebie
7.90
2 shots · 19 pass
J. Kolan
J. Kolan
M · Zaglebie
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Levente Szabó
Levente Szabó
F · Zaglebie
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 12 pass
F. Kocaba
F. Kocaba
M · Zaglebie
7.50
· 21 pass
P. Hellebrand
P. Hellebrand
M · Gornik
7.30
2 shots · 83 pass
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Łubik G 90 6.20 — — — 24 16% — — —
E. Janža D 76 6.30 — — 1 36 32% — — —
P. Bochniewicz D 90 6.90 — — 1 73 66% 3 — —
R. Janicki D 90 6.70 — — — 67 60% 1 — —
M. Sáček D 40 7.20 — — — 16 15% 3 — —
J. Kubicki M 45 6.90 — — — 17 14% — — —
P. Hellebrand M 90 7.30 — — 2 83 75% 6 — —
Lukáš Ambros M 90 6.30 — — 2 35 30% — — —
M. Khlan F 90 6.20 — — 1 39 33% 1 — —
S. Liseth F 76 5.90 — — 4 14 12% 1 — —
Y. Ikia Dimi F 45 7.20 — — 1 12 11% 2 — —
K. Lukoszek M 14 6.70 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Lukas Podolski F 14 6.90 — — 1 15 12% — — —
Michał Rakoczy M 45 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
O. Zmrzlý D 45 6.00 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Paweł Olkowski D 50 6.20 — — 1 25 23% 1 — —
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Burić G 90 8.50 — — — 30 24% — — —
J. Ćorluka D 90 6.90 — — — 25 19% 3 — —
D. Michalski D 90 7.90 — — 2 19 13% 1 — —
M. Nalepa D 90 7.20 — — 1 33 23% — — —
M. Grzybek D 90 7.20 — — — 25 18% — — —
D. Dąbrowski M 85 7.20 — — — 40 34% 3 — —
F. Kocaba M 90 7.50 — — — 21 15% — — —
A. Radwański M 74 6.90 — — 1 27 19% 3 — —
J. Kolan M 85 7.60 1 — 2 9 6% 3 — —
M. Reguła M 74 6.90 — — 3 9 9% 2 — —
M. Kosidis F 59 7.00 — — 1 15 13% — — —
J. Sypek M 16 6.90 — 1 — 9 8% — — —
Levente Szabó F 31 7.60 1 1 2 12 5% — 1 —
Luka Lučić D 10 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Dziewiatowski M 16 6.60 — — — 3 3% 2 — —
Tomasz Makowski M 10 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The final score was Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Zaglebie Lubin.
What did the model predict before Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Gornik Zabrze win, 26% to a draw, and 15% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.