✗Model wrong — prediction Gornik Zabrze, result Zaglebie Lubin wins
63'
(ast. L. Szabo)
J. Kolan
74'
(ast. J. Sypek)
L. Szabo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gornik Zabrze a 57% win probability (draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin 15%). The final result was Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Zaglebie Lubin. In 1 previous meetings, Gornik Zabrze have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
6
1.56
Actual xG
1.26
4
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
15
Corners
4
19
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
M. Sacek
/ P. Olkowski
40'
Y. Ikia Dimi
/ O. Zmrzly
46'
J. Kubicki
/ M. Rakoczy
46'
59'
L. Szabo
/
M. Kosidis
63'
ast. L. Szabo ·
J. Kolan⚽
72'
L. Szabo
74'
J. Sypek
/
A. Radwanski
74'
M. Dziewiatowski
/
M. Regula
74'
ast. J. Sypek ·
L. Szabo⚽
S. Liseth
/ L. Podolski
76'
E. Janza
/ K. Lukoszek
76'
85'
T. Makowski
/
J. Kolan
85'
L. Lucic
/
D. Dabrowski
Pre-match prediction
57.65%
Gornik
26.99%
X
15.36%
Zaglebie ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Zaglebie Lubin)
15.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.56
+0.2
0.51
1.26
+0.75
xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.26).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Łubik
G
M. Łubik
G
64
E. Janža
76'
D
E. Janža
76'
D
4
P. Bochniewicz
D
P. Bochniewicz
D
26
R. Janicki
D
R. Janicki
D
61
M. Sáček
40'
D
M. Sáček
40'
D
14
J. Kubicki
45'
M
J. Kubicki
45'
M
8
P. Hellebrand
M
P. Hellebrand
M
18
L. Ambros
M
L. Ambros
M
33
M. Khlan
F
M. Khlan
F
23
S. Liseth
76'
F
S. Liseth
76'
F
7
Y. Ikia Dimi
45'
F
Y. Ikia Dimi
45'
F
Bench
28
B. Donio
M
B. Donio
M
77
Borislav Rupanov
F
Borislav Rupanov
F
20
Josema Sánchez
D
Josema Sánchez
D
17
K. Lukoszek
14'
M
K. Lukoszek
14'
M
5
K. Szcześniak
D
K. Szcześniak
D
13
L. Sadílek
M
L. Sadílek
M
10
Lukas Podolski
14'
F
Lukas Podolski
14'
F
21
Mathias Sauer
M
Mathias Sauer
M
36
Michał Rakoczy
45'
M
Michał Rakoczy
45'
M
67
O. Zmrzlý
45'
D
O. Zmrzlý
45'
D
16
Paweł Olkowski
50'
D
Paweł Olkowski
50'
D
99
T. Loska
G
T. Loska
G
1
J. Burić
G
J. Burić
G
16
J. Ćorluka
D
J. Ćorluka
D
4
D. Michalski
D
D. Michalski
D
25
M. Nalepa
D
M. Nalepa
D
13
M. Grzybek
D
M. Grzybek
D
8
D. Dąbrowski
85'
M
D. Dąbrowski
85'
M
39
F. Kocaba
M
F. Kocaba
M
18
A. Radwański
74'
M
A. Radwański
74'
M
26
J. Kolan
1 ⚽
85'
M
J. Kolan
1 ⚽
85'
M
44
M. Reguła
74'
M
M. Reguła
74'
M
9
M. Kosidis
59'
F
M. Kosidis
59'
F
Bench
11
A. Woźniak
M
A. Woźniak
M
84
Jakub Ligocki
M
Jakub Ligocki
M
19
J. Sypek
1 👟
16'
M
J. Sypek
1 👟
16'
M
17
Levente Szabó
1 ⚽
1 👟
31'
F
Levente Szabó
1 ⚽
1 👟
31'
F
35
Luka Lučić
10'
D
Luka Lučić
10'
D
20
M. Dziewiatowski
16'
M
M. Dziewiatowski
16'
M
88
M. Mlinarić
F
M. Mlinarić
F
12
Rafał Gikiewicz
G
Rafał Gikiewicz
G
7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
M
Sebastian Kowalczyk
M
21
Seweryn Marek
M
Seweryn Marek
M
6
Tomasz Makowski
10'
M
Tomasz Makowski
10'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Burić
G · Zaglebie
8.50
· 30 pass
D. Michalski
D · Zaglebie
7.90
2 shots
· 19 pass
J. Kolan
M · Zaglebie
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Levente Szabó
F · Zaglebie
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 12 pass
F. Kocaba
M · Zaglebie
7.50
· 21 pass
P. Hellebrand
M · Gornik
7.30
2 shots
· 83 pass
Gornik Zabrze — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Łubik | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Janža | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| P. Bochniewicz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Janicki | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sáček | D | 40 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Kubicki | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| P. Hellebrand | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 75% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Ambros | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Khlan | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Liseth | F | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Ikia Dimi | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Lukoszek | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Podolski | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Michał Rakoczy | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| O. Zmrzlý | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Paweł Olkowski | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burić | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Ćorluka | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Michalski | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Nalepa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Grzybek | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Dąbrowski | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Kocaba | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Radwański | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Kolan | M | 85 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Reguła | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kosidis | F | 59 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Sypek | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Levente Szabó | F | 31 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Luka Lučić | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Dziewiatowski | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomasz Makowski | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The final score was Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Zaglebie Lubin.
What did the model predict before Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Gornik Zabrze win, 26% to a draw, and 15% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.