Serie D - Girone E
· Group E - 8
October 18, 2026 15:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grassina a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Progresso 22%). The final result was Grassina 1–0 Progresso.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
45.45%
Grassina ←
31.87%
X
22.68%
Progresso
we assigned to the actual result (Grassina)
45.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
—
—
0.33
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grassina vs Progresso?
The final score was Grassina 1–0 Progresso.
What did the model predict before Grassina vs Progresso?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Grassina win, 31% to a draw, and 22% to an Progresso win.