← Bundesliga
#5 · 24 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#3 · 24 pts
Model wrong — prediction Grazer AK, result Pareggio
D. Maderner (ast. A. Hofleitner) 87'
M. Satin 90'+8
37' P. Greil
59' (ast. Y. Massombo) V. Demaku

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grazer AK a 62% win probability (draw 19%, SCR Altach 18%). The final result was Grazer AK 2–2 SCR Altach. In 3 previous meetings, Grazer AK have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for SCR Altach.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
1.19
Actual xG
0.75
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
2
9
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Olesen / T. Koch
19'
25'
F. Milojevic
37'
P. Greil
C. Lichtenberger / A. Hofleitner
46'
T. Schriebl
52'
59'
ast. Y. Massombo · V. Demaku
M. Grosse / D. Maderner
62'
T. Schriebl / M. Satin
63'
F. Stolz
63'
63'
D. Stojanovic
73'
L. Gugganig / P. Greil
L. Klassen
77'
79'
O. Diawara / S. Hrstic
M. Kreuzriegler
81'
J. Italiano / L. Graf
82'
R. Harakate
83'
85'
A. Gorgon / V. Demaku
D. Maderner · ast. A. Hofleitner
87'
M. Satin
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
62.12%
Grazer
19.72%
X ←
18.16%
SCR
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Grazer
2.46
1.19
-1.27
SCR
1.02
0.75
-0.27
Grazer AK dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 31 36
1 Ried Ried 31 28
2 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 31 25
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31 34
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 31 29
3 SCR Altach SCR Altach 31 24
4 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 31 24
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 31 29
5 Grazer AK Grazer AK 31 24
5 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 31 27
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31 22
6 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 31 21
Lineups
Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1-4-2
12
F. Stolz G 6.30
4
M. Kreuzriegler D 6.30
2
D. Pines D 6.70
82 B. Owusu B. Owusu D 7.00
6
Mathias Olesen 19' M 6.50
32
L. Klassen M 6.70
10
C. Lichtenberger 45' M 6.60
20
Thorsten Schriebl 63' M 6.50
14
J. Italiano 82' M 6.70
22 R. Harakaté R. Harakaté F 6.30
11
M. Grosse 62' F 6.30
Bench
25
A. Hofleitner 1 👟 53' F 7.90
9 D. Maderner D. Maderner 1 ⚽ 36' F 8.20
3
L. Vraa-Jensen D
7
M. Satin 1 ⚽ 35' M 7.90
8
T. Koch 79' M 5.90
SCR Altach SCR Altach 3-4-2-1
1
D. Stojanovic G 7.90
17
L. Jager D 6.00
23
D 6.20
27
D 5.90
29 M. Ouédraogo M. Ouédraogo M 6.30
8 M. Bähre M. Bähre M 7.20
6
V. Demaku 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.90
25 S. Ingolitsch S. Ingolitsch M 6.50
18 P. Greil P. Greil 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.60
28 Y. Massombo Y. Massombo 1 👟 F 6.60
11
S. Hrstic 79' F 6.20
Bench
14
M. Oswald D
10
O. Diawara 19' F 6.50
21
P. Benjamin F
Best on the pitch
D. Maderner
D. Maderner
F · Grazer
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 2 pass
M. Satin
M · Grazer
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
V. Demaku
M · SCR
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
D. Stojanovic
G · SCR
7.90
· 34 pass
A. Hofleitner
F · Grazer
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 14 pass
P. Greil
P. Greil
F · SCR
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Grazer AK Grazer AK — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Stolz G 98 6.30 41 10% 1
M. Kreuzriegler D 98 6.30 38 22% 1
D. Pines D 98 6.70 1 39 30% 1
B. Owusu D 98 7.00 40 24% 2
Mathias Olesen M 19 6.50 3 3%
L. Klassen M 98 6.70 50 29% 1 1
C. Lichtenberger M 45 6.60 7 5% 1
Thorsten Schriebl M 63 6.50 20 11% 2 1
J. Italiano M 82 6.70 26 13% 1
R. Harakaté F 98 6.30 1 25 13% 1
M. Grosse F 62 6.30 2 13 11%
A. Hofleitner F 53 7.90 1 1 14 8%
D. Maderner F 36 8.20 1 3 2 1% 1
M. Satin M 35 7.90 1 2 12 10%
T. Koch M 79 5.90 24 18%
SCR Altach SCR Altach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Stojanovic G 98 7.90 34 8% 1 1
L. Jager D 98 6.00 20 8% 2
D 98 6.20 19 9%
D 98 5.90 20 7% 2 1
M. Ouédraogo M 98 6.30 1 17 10% 1
M. Bähre M 98 7.20 29 17% 2
V. Demaku M 85 7.90 1 1 24 13%
S. Ingolitsch M 98 6.50 16 6% 1
P. Greil F 73 7.60 1 2 15 10% 1
Y. Massombo F 98 6.60 1 2 24 10%
S. Hrstic F 79 6.20 17 6% 2
O. Diawara F 19 6.50 4 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grazer AK vs SCR Altach?
The final score was Grazer AK 2–2 SCR Altach.
What did the model predict before Grazer AK vs SCR Altach?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Grazer AK win, 19% to a draw, and 18% to an SCR Altach win.