✗Model wrong — prediction Grazer AK, result Draw
D. Maderner
(ast. A. Hofleitner)
87'
M. Satin
90'+8
37'
P. Greil
59'
(ast. Y. Massombo)
V. Demaku
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grazer AK a 62% win probability (draw 19%, SCR Altach 18%). The final result was Grazer AK 2–2 SCR Altach. In 3 previous meetings, Grazer AK have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for SCR Altach.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
1.19
Actual xG
0.75
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
2
9
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Olesen
/ T. Koch
19'
25'
F. Milojevic
37'
P. Greil⚽
C. Lichtenberger
/ A. Hofleitner
46'
T. Schriebl
52'
59'
ast. Y. Massombo ·
V. Demaku⚽
M. Grosse
/ D. Maderner
62'
T. Schriebl
/ M. Satin
63'
F. Stolz
63'
63'
D. Stojanovic
73'
L. Gugganig
/
P. Greil
L. Klassen
77'
79'
O. Diawara
/
S. Hrstic
M. Kreuzriegler
81'
J. Italiano
/ L. Graf
82'
R. Harakate
83'
85'
A. Gorgon
/
V. Demaku
⚽D. Maderner
· ast. A. Hofleitner
87'
⚽M. Satin
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
62.12%
Grazer
19.72%
X ←
18.16%
SCR
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
1.19
-1.27
1.02
0.75
-0.27
Grazer AK dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Franz Stolz
G
Franz Stolz
G
4
M. Kreuzriegler
D
M. Kreuzriegler
D
2
Donovan Pines
D
Donovan Pines
D
82
B. Owusu
D
B. Owusu
D
6
Mathias Olesen
19'
M
Mathias Olesen
19'
M
32
Leon Klassen
M
Leon Klassen
M
10
Christian Lichtenberger
45'
M
Christian Lichtenberger
45'
M
20
Thorsten Schriebl
63'
M
Thorsten Schriebl
63'
M
14
J. Italiano
82'
M
J. Italiano
82'
M
22
R. Harakaté
F
R. Harakaté
F
11
Mark Große
62'
F
Mark Große
62'
F
Bench
25
Alexander Hofleitner
1 👟
53'
F
Alexander Hofleitner
1 👟
53'
F
9
D. Maderner
1 ⚽
36'
F
D. Maderner
1 ⚽
36'
F
3
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
D
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
D
7
Murat Satin
1 ⚽
35'
M
Murat Satin
1 ⚽
35'
M
8
T. Koch
79'
M
T. Koch
79'
M
1
Dejan Stojanović
G
Dejan Stojanović
G
17
Lukas Jäger
D
Lukas Jäger
D
23
D
27
D
29
M. Ouédraogo
M
M. Ouédraogo
M
8
M. Bähre
M
M. Bähre
M
6
Vesel Demaku
1 ⚽
85'
M
25
S. Ingolitsch
M
S. Ingolitsch
M
18
P. Greil
1 ⚽
73'
F
P. Greil
1 ⚽
73'
F
28
Y. Massombo
1 👟
F
Y. Massombo
1 👟
F
11
Srdjan Hrstić
79'
F
Srdjan Hrstić
79'
F
Bench
14
Moritz Oswald
D
Moritz Oswald
D
10
O. Diawara
19'
F
O. Diawara
19'
F
21
Precious Benjamin
F
Precious Benjamin
F
Best on the pitch
D. Maderner
F · Grazer
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 2 pass
Murat Satin
M · Grazer
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Vesel Demaku
M · SCR
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Dejan Stojanović
G · SCR
7.90
· 34 pass
Alexander Hofleitner
F · Grazer
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
P. Greil
F · SCR
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Grazer AK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Stolz | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kreuzriegler | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Donovan Pines | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Owusu | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathias Olesen | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Leon Klassen | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Christian Lichtenberger | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Thorsten Schriebl | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Italiano | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Harakaté | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Mark Große | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Hofleitner | F | 53 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Maderner | F | 36 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Murat Satin | M | 35 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| T. Koch | M | 79 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
SCR Altach — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejan Stojanović | G | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lukas Jäger | D | 98 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| M. Ouédraogo | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bähre | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Vesel Demaku | M | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Ingolitsch | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Greil | F | 73 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Massombo | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Srdjan Hrstić | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Diawara | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grazer AK vs SCR Altach?
The final score was Grazer AK 2–2 SCR Altach.
What did the model predict before Grazer AK vs SCR Altach?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Grazer AK win, 19% to a draw, and 18% to an SCR Altach win.