Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 30 May 02, 2026 17:00 Merkur-Arena, Graz

Grazer AK

#6 · 7 pts

4 – 0

Final score

WSG Wattens

#5 · 7 pts

J. Italiano (ast. T. Schriebl) 32'

M. Grosse 42'

M. Grosse (ast. C. Lichtenberger) 54'

C. Lichtenberger (ast. M. Grosse) 70'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grazer AK a 43% win probability (draw 27%, WSG Wattens 28%). The final result was Grazer AK 4–0 WSG Wattens. In 3 previous meetings, Grazer AK have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for WSG Wattens.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

6

6

Shots on target

3

1.35

Actual xG

0.50

3

Saves

2

54%

Possession

46%

4

Corners

4

14

Tackles

25

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽J. Italiano · ast. T. Schriebl

32'

⚽M. Grosse

42'

C. Lichtenberger

45'+3

49'

J. Lawrence

⚽M. Grosse · ast. C. Lichtenberger

54'

↕ R. Harakate / M. Satin

57'

62'

T. Sabitzer / N. Baden Frederiksen ↕

62'

D. Kubatta / J. Lawrence ↕

62'

Y. Votter / M. Taferner ↕

66'

D. Jaunegg / M. Boras ↕

⚽C. Lichtenberger · ast. M. Grosse

70'

↕ M. Kreuzriegler / L. Vraa-Jensen

75'

76'

C. Huetz / L. Hinterseer ↕

↕ M. Grosse / D. Frieser

86'

↕ C. Lichtenberger / T. Koch

86'

↕ M. Olesen / T. Paumgartner

86'

90'+1

D. Gugganig

Pre-match prediction

43.24%

Grazer ←

27.92%

X

28.84%

WSG

we assigned to the actual result (Grazer AK) 43.24% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Grazer

1.53

1.35

-0.18

WSG

1.23

0.50

-0.73

Grazer AK dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lask Linz	5	15
2	Rapid Vienna	6	15
3	Red Bull Salzburg	6	14
4	Sturm Graz	5	8
5	WSG Wattens	5	7
6	Grazer AK	6	7
7	TSV Hartberg	5	6
8	Wolfsberger AC	6	5
9	Ried	6	5
10	Austria Lustenau	5	5
11	SCR Altach	6	3
12	Austria Vienna	5	3

Lineups

Grazer AK 3-1-4-2

12 Franz Stolz G 6.50

4 M. Kreuzriegler 75' D 6.70

2 D. Pines D 6.70

82 B. Owusu D 7.20

6 Mathias Olesen 87' M 7.20

32 L. Klassen M 7.20

10 C. Lichtenberger 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' M 8.00

20 T. Schriebl 1 👟 M 7.00

14 J. Italiano 1 ⚽ M 7.70

22 R. Harakaté 58' F 6.20

11 M. Große 2 ⚽ 1 👟 86' F 9.20

Bench

9 D. Maderner F

3 Ludwig Vraa-Jensen 18' D 6.60

7 M. Şatin 35' M 6.20

8 T. Koch 6' M

WSG Wattens 3-4-2-1

40

G 4.90

3 D. Gugganig D 5.90

5 J. Lawrence 62' D 5.60

23 M. Boras 67' D 5.50

6 Lukas Sulzbacher M 6.30

30 M. Taferner 62' M 6.90

4 V. Müller M 6.60

17 Johannes Naschberger M 6.70

8 N. Frederiksen 62' F 6.70

37 Moritz Wels F 6.30

16 L. Hinterseer 76' F 6.20

Bench

14 D. Kubatta 31' D 6.50

10 Thomas Sabitzer 31' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

M. Große

F · Grazer

9.20

2 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

C. Lichtenberger

M · Grazer

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 23 pass

J. Italiano

M · Grazer

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 19 pass

B. Owusu

D · Grazer

7.20

1 shots · 45 pass

Mathias Olesen

M · Grazer

7.20

· 35 pass

L. Klassen

M · Grazer

7.20

· 38 pass

Grazer AK — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Franz Stolz	G	93	6.50	—	—	—	40	12%	—	—	—
M. Kreuzriegler	D	75	6.70	—	—	1	37	26%	—	—	—
D. Pines	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	45	42%	1	—	—
B. Owusu	D	93	7.20	—	—	1	45	33%	1	—	—
Mathias Olesen	M	87	7.20	—	—	—	35	25%	1	—	—
L. Klassen	M	93	7.20	—	—	—	38	27%	3	—	—
C. Lichtenberger	M	87	8.00	1	1	3	23	20%	—	1	—
T. Schriebl	M	93	7.00	—	1	—	24	17%	4	—	—
J. Italiano	M	93	7.70	1	—	1	19	15%	2	—	—
R. Harakaté	F	58	6.20	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
M. Große	F	86	9.20	2	1	2	20	15%	1	—	—
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen	D	18	6.60	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
M. Şatin	M	35	6.20	—	—	—	10	5%	—	—	—
T. Koch	M	6	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

WSG Wattens — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	4.90	—	—	—	26	13%	—	—	—
D. Gugganig	D	93	5.90	—	—	—	42	28%	3	—	—
J. Lawrence	D	62	5.60	—	—	—	18	13%	2	1	—
M. Boras	D	67	5.50	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
Lukas Sulzbacher	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	29	21%	—	—	—
M. Taferner	M	62	6.90	—	—	—	24	16%	6	—	—
V. Müller	M	93	6.60	—	—	2	28	28%	2	—	—
Johannes Naschberger	M	93	6.70	—	—	—	15	12%	4	—	—
N. Frederiksen	F	62	6.70	—	—	2	7	4%	2	—	—
Moritz Wels	F	93	6.30	—	—	1	13	11%	3	—	—
L. Hinterseer	F	76	6.20	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
D. Kubatta	D	31	6.50	—	—	—	17	15%	1	—	—
Thomas Sabitzer	F	31	6.70	—	—	—	8	5%	2	—	—