Greece - Germany
⚡ Pre-match analysis
15.33%
Win
Greece
13.49%
Draw
71.18%
Win
Germany
1.22
3.16
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Germany
71.18%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–3
(8.17%)
1X2 Result
1
15%
X
13%
2
71%
Double Chance
1X
29%
X2
85%
12
87%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
84%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Germany a 71% win probability, against 13% for a draw and 15% for Greece. Expected goals are 1.2 for Greece and 3.2 for Germany (total 4.4), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–3 at 8.17% probability.
Season Stats
6W
0D
2L
5W
3D
2L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.4
0.6
Conceded
1.2
4.4
Shots OT
6.2
4.6
Corners
5.4
49%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
70%
13%
BTTS
60%
63%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
0D
2L
· at home
2W
2D
0L
· away
1.2
gls/g
1.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
25%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Greece
Germany →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Greece
Attack
22
Defence
66
Form
11
Germany
Attack
64
Defence
75
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Germany
Injured
Injured
Play-offs A/B
What's at stake · Play-offs A/B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Greece | #2 | #1 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Germany | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Greece vs Germany?
The model gives Greece a 15% win probability, 13% for a draw, and 71% for an Germany win.
How many goals are expected in Greece vs Germany?
Expected goals: Greece 1.2, Germany 3.2 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Greece vs Germany?
1–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.17%.