Greece - Netherlands
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.89%
Win
Greece
20.57%
Draw
54.55%
Win
Netherlands
1.3
2.15
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(9.56%)
1X2 Result
1
25%
X
21%
2
55%
Double Chance
1X
46%
X2
75%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
81%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Netherlands a 54% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 24% for Greece. Expected goals are 1.3 for Greece and 2.2 for Netherlands (total 3.4), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.56% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Greece have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Netherlands.
Season Stats
6W
0D
2L
2W
5D
1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.2
0.6
Conceded
1.5
4.4
Shots OT
5.5
4.6
Corners
4.9
49%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
88%
50%
O 2.5
63%
13%
BTTS
75%
63%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
2W
0D
2L
· at home
0W
3D
1L
· away
1.2
gls/g
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
75%
75%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
25%
0%
BTTS
75%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Greece
Netherlands →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Greece
Attack
22
Defence
66
Form
11
Netherlands
Attack
45
Defence
70
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Play-offs A/B
What's at stake · Play-offs A/B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Greece | #2 | #1 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Netherlands | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Greece vs Netherlands?
The model gives Greece a 24% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 54% for an Netherlands win.
How many goals are expected in Greece vs Netherlands?
Expected goals: Greece 1.3, Netherlands 2.2 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Greece vs Netherlands?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.56%.