Skip to main content
← Copa Sudamericana

Gremio - Bolívar

Copa Sudamericana July 31, 2026 00:00
Gremio
#2 · 11 pts
vs
Bolívar
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.0%
Win
Gremio
21.91%
Draw
37.1%
Win
Bolívar
2.22
Expected xG
2.23

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (7.32%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 41%
X 22%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 59%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
✓ 83.3% hit rate (66 picks)
Over 2.5 76%
✓ 66.7% hit rate (18 picks)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gremio a 41% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Bolívar. Expected goals are 2.2 for Gremio and 2.2 for Bolívar (total 4.4), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 7.32% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolívar.

Season Stats

Gremio
6W 6D 3L
Bolívar
5W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.1
0.9
Conceded
0.7
5.1
Shots OT
4.4
4.9
Corners
5.4
59%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
86%
33%
O 2.5
57%
40%
BTTS
29%
47%
Clean Sht
57%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
7%
O 3.5
22%
BTTS
Gremio
4W 3D 0L · at home
Bolívar
2W 0D 1L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.7
0.6
Conceded
0.3
57%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
71%
O 1.5
67%
14%
O 2.5
33%
14%
O 3.5
0%
43%
BTTS
0%
57%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gremio Bolívar →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
1 2.6% 5.8% 6.5% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2%
2 2.9% 6.4% 7.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3%
3 2.1% 4.8% 5.3% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Recent form

Gremio Gremio
L Bolívar 3–2
D Atletico Torque 2–2
W Palestino 2–0
W Deportivo Riestra 0–3
D Palestino 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Bolívar Bolívar
W Gremio 3–2
L Atletico-MG 1–0
D Atletico-MG 2–2
W Cienciano 0–2
W Cienciano 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Gremio Gremio
Attack
41
Defence
56
Form
48
Bolívar Bolívar
Attack
55
Defence
63
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Gremio
0
Draw
1
Bolívar
24 Jul 2026 Copa Sudamericana 2–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gremio vs Bolívar?
The model gives Gremio a 41% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 37% for an Bolívar win.
How many goals are expected in Gremio vs Bolívar?
Expected goals: Gremio 2.2, Bolívar 2.2 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Gremio vs Bolívar?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.32%.