Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 23:30
Gustavo Martins
(ast. J. Enamorado)
18'
C. Pavon
28'
Gustavo Martins
(ast. C. Pavon)
56'
15'
(ast. Giovanni Augusto)
Mauricio Garcez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 42% win probability (draw 32%, Chapecoense-sc 24%). The final result was Gremio 3–1 Chapecoense-sc. In 2 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Chapecoense-sc.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
26
4
Shots on target
8
0.53
Actual xG
2.73
6
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
7
10
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
ast. Giovanni Augusto ·
Mauricio Garcez⚽
⚽Gustavo Martins
· ast. J. Enamorado
18'
⚽C. Pavon
28'
Marlon
40'
Walter Kannemann
44'
Marlon
/ Pedro Gabriel
46'
J. Enamorado
/ Joao Pedro
52'
M. Braithwaite
/ Carlos Vinicius
52'
55'
Eduardo Doma
⚽Gustavo Martins
· ast. C. Pavon
56'
61'
F. Rossi
/
Mauricio Garcez
61'
M. Carvalho
/
Bruno Matias
Danilo Barbosa
/ Bernardo Zortea
65'
71'
Bruno Pacheco
75'
Fernando
/
Bruno Pacheco
F. Amuzu
/ Tete
76'
80'
Enio
/
Giovanni Augusto
80'
D. Borrero
/
Marcinho
Tete
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
42.82%
Gremio ←
32.66%
X
24.52%
Chapecoense-sc
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
42.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.53
-0.4
0.68
2.73
+2.05
Chapecoense-sc dominated by xG (2.73 vs 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
23
Marlon
45'
D
Marlon
45'
D
82
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
6
Gustavo Martins
2 ⚽
D
Gustavo Martins
2 ⚽
D
7
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
15
Danilo Barbosa
65'
M
Danilo Barbosa
65'
M
9
F. Amuzu
76'
M
F. Amuzu
76'
M
10
F. Krovinović
M
F. Krovinović
M
20
M. Villasanti
M
M. Villasanti
M
99
J. Enamorado
1 👟
52'
M
J. Enamorado
1 👟
52'
M
22
M. Braithwaite
52'
F
M. Braithwaite
52'
F
Bench
50
Bernardo Zortea
26'
M
Bernardo Zortea
26'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
39'
F
Carlos Vinícius
39'
F
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
40
Jefinho
M
Jefinho
M
18
João Pedro
39'
D
João Pedro
39'
D
30
Matheus Nascimento
F
Matheus Nascimento
F
54
Pedro Gabriel
46'
D
Pedro Gabriel
46'
D
65
Riquelme Freitas
M
Riquelme Freitas
M
11
Tetê
15'
F
Tetê
15'
F
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
4
W. Kannemann
D
W. Kannemann
D
98
Anderson
G
Anderson
G
91
Bruno Pacheco
75'
D
Bruno Pacheco
75'
D
3
Doma
D
Doma
D
21
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
Kauan Faria Gomes
D
5
Heitor
D
Heitor
D
16
Bruno Matias
61'
M
Bruno Matias
61'
M
88
Yago Felipe
M
Yago Felipe
M
31
Garcez
1 ⚽
61'
M
Garcez
1 ⚽
61'
M
10
Giovanni Augusto
1 👟
80'
M
Giovanni Augusto
1 👟
80'
M
7
Marcinho
80'
M
Marcinho
80'
M
9
Tulio Eduardo
F
Tulio Eduardo
F
Bench
19
David Antunes
M
David Antunes
M
77
D. Borrero
11'
M
D. Borrero
11'
M
97
Ênio
11'
M
Ênio
11'
M
26
Everton
D
Everton
D
12
Fernando
16'
D
Fernando
16'
D
29
F. Rossi
30'
F
F. Rossi
30'
F
44
Luciano
D
Luciano
D
30
Matheus Aurélio
G
Matheus Aurélio
G
80
Miguel Carvalho
30'
M
Miguel Carvalho
30'
M
15
Rafael Thyere
D
Rafael Thyere
D
70
Rubens
M
Rubens
M
Best on the pitch
Weverton
G · Gremio
9.20
· 37 pass
Gustavo Martins
D · Gremio
8.60
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 59 pass
Wallace
D · Gremio
8.30
· 58 pass
C. Pavón
D · Gremio
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 52 pass
Giovanni Augusto
M · Chapecoense-sc
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 62 pass
Garcez
M · Chapecoense-sc
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 19 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 91 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Marlon | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Wallace | D | 91 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 91 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 2 | 59 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Pavón | D | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Danilo Barbosa | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Krovinović | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Villasanti | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | — | — | — |
| J. Enamorado | M | 52 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Zortea | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| João Pedro | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Doma | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Kauan Faria Gomes | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Heitor | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 67% | 5 | — | — |
| Garcez | M | 61 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 62 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Tulio Eduardo | F | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Borrero | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Fernando | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Rossi | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Carvalho | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Gremio 3–1 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Gremio win, 32% to a draw, and 24% to an Chapecoense-sc win.