Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 18
May 30, 2026 22:30
Gabriel Mec
7'
45'+2
Andre
65'
(ast. Yuri Alberto)
Andre
67'
(ast. Yuri Alberto)
Kaio Cesar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 36% win probability (draw 34%, Corinthians 28%). The final result was Gremio 1–3 Corinthians.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
9
1.46
Actual xG
1.62
5
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
7
17
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Gabriel Mec
7'
Wagner Leonardo
41'
44'
R. Garro
45'+2
Andre⚽
Marcos Rocha
/ Joao Pedro
46'
Tete
/ J. Enamorado
53'
M. Braithwaite
/ F. Amuzu
62'
65'
ast. Yuri Alberto ·
Andre⚽
67'
ast. Yuri Alberto ·
Kaio Cesar⚽
68'
Kaio Cesar
J. Enamorado
69'
Thiago Beltrame
75'
Carlos Vinicius
/ G. Menegon
79'
Gabriel Mec
/ Andre Henrique
80'
82'
Allan
/
Raniele
88'
Z. Labyad
/
Kaio Cesar
88'
A. Carrillo
/
Andre
Viery
90'+2
90'+4
M. Pereira
/
R. Garro
90'+4
Dieguinho
/
Breno Bidon
Pre-match prediction
36.77%
Gremio
34.8%
X
28.43%
Corinthians ←
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians)
28.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
1.46
+0.65
0.71
1.62
+0.91
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
Thiago Beltrame
75'
G
Thiago Beltrame
75'
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
14
Marcos Rocha
45'
D
Marcos Rocha
45'
D
8
Arthur
M
Arthur
M
33
L. Pérez
M
L. Pérez
M
37
Gabriel Mec
1 ⚽
80'
M
Gabriel Mec
1 ⚽
80'
M
22
M. Braithwaite
62'
M
M. Braithwaite
62'
M
21
Tete
53'
M
Tete
53'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
79'
F
Carlos Vinícius
79'
F
Bench
77
André Henrique
10'
F
André Henrique
10'
F
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
19
E. Noriega
M
E. Noriega
M
9
F. Amuzu
28'
F
F. Amuzu
28'
F
99
J. Enamorado
37'
F
J. Enamorado
37'
F
18
Joao Pedro
45'
D
Joao Pedro
45'
D
20
M. Villasanti
M
M. Villasanti
M
39
Tiaguinho
M
Tiaguinho
M
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
10
Willian
M
Willian
M
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
14
Raniele
82'
M
Raniele
82'
M
49
André Luiz
2 ⚽
88'
M
André Luiz
2 ⚽
88'
M
7
Breno Bidon
89'
M
Breno Bidon
89'
M
8
Rodrigo Garro
89'
M
Rodrigo Garro
89'
M
37
Kaio César
1 ⚽
88'
M
Kaio César
1 ⚽
88'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
2 👟
F
Yuri Alberto
2 👟
F
Bench
80
Alex Santana
M
Alex Santana
M
29
Allan
8'
M
Allan
8'
M
19
André Carrillo
8'
M
André Carrillo
8'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
1'
M
Dieguinho
1'
M
26
Fabrizio Angileri
D
Fabrizio Angileri
D
56
Gui Negão
F
Gui Negão
F
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
23
Matheus Pereira
1'
M
Matheus Pereira
1'
M
20
Pedro Milans
D
Pedro Milans
D
18
Pedro Raul
F
Pedro Raul
F
52
Zakaria Labyad
8'
F
Zakaria Labyad
8'
F
Best on the pitch
André Luiz
M · Corinthians
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
Kaio César
M · Corinthians
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Breno Bidon
M · Corinthians
7.70
1 shots
· 39 pass
Gabriel Mec
M · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Rodrigo Garro
M · Corinthians
7.30
3 shots
· 70 pass
Raniele
M · Corinthians
6.90
2 shots
· 27 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Beltrame | G | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | 1 |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcos Rocha | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | M | 80 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Tete | M | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| André Henrique | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Enamorado | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joao Pedro | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 88 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 70 | 59% | — | 1 | — |
| Kaio César | M | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| André Carrillo | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Corinthians?
The final score was Gremio 1–3 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Gremio win, 34% to a draw, and 28% to an Corinthians win.