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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 20 July 26, 2026 23:30
Gremio
#16 · 28 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Fluminense
#4 · 45 pts
Diego Caito (ast. J. Cabral) 89'
(pen.) 65' Hulk
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Gremio 31%). The final result was Gremio 1–1 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
2
2
Shots on target
1
0.49
Actual xG
0.10
1
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
2
Corners
1
7
Tackles
3
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
Hercules
13'
Guga
21'
Rene / Guilherme Arana ↕
65'
(pen.) Hulk⚽
69'
Thiago Silva
↕ C. Pavon / Diego Caito
69'
↕ E. Noriega / M. Braithwaite
69'
75'
G. Cano / Hulk ↕
75'
Nonato / L. Acosta ↕
Carlos Vinicius
76'
↕ F. Amuzu / J. Cabral
78'
↕ Tete / J. Enamorado
78'
79'
A. Canobbio
↕ Marlon / Pedro Gabriel
80'
87'
Y. Soteldo / K. Serna ↕
87'
Ignacio / Hercules ↕
⚽Diego Caito · ast. J. Cabral
89'
J. Nardoni
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
31.57%
Gremio
27.16%
X ←
41.26%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gremio
0.95
0.49
-0.46
Fluminense
1.29
0.10
-1.19
Gremio dominated by xG (0.49 vs 0.10). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 27 33
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 27 29
16 Gremio Gremio 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Gremio Gremio 4-1-4-1
12 Gabriel Grando Gabriel Grando 49' G 6.90
23 Marlon Marlon 49' D 7.00
4 W. Kannemann W. Kannemann 49' D 6.60
6 Gustavo Martins Gustavo Martins 49' D 6.90
7 C. Pavón C. Pavón 49' D 7.20
19 E. Noriega E. Noriega 49' M 6.30
9 F. Amuzu F. Amuzu 49' M 6.90
5 J. Nardoni J. Nardoni 49' M 6.30
20 M. Villasanti M. Villasanti 49' M 6.70
21 Tetê Tetê 49' M 6.70
95 Carlos Vinícius Carlos Vinícius 49' F 6.50
Bench
27 Diego Caito Diego Caito 1 ⚽ D
17 Dodi Dodi M
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec F
99 J. Enamorado J. Enamorado F
77 Jovane Cabral Jovane Cabral 1 👟 F
43 Luis Guedes Luis Guedes D
30 Matheus Nascimento Matheus Nascimento F
22 M. Braithwaite M. Braithwaite F
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel D
65 Riquelme Freitas Riquelme Freitas M
24 Thiago Beltrame Thiago Beltrame G
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo D
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio 49' G 6.90
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana 21' D 6.50
22 J. Freytes J. Freytes 49' D 6.90
3 Thiago Silva Thiago Silva 49' D 6.90
23 Guga Guga 49' D 6.30
35 Hércules Hércules 49' M 6.60
8 Martinelli Martinelli 49' M 6.60
17 A. Canobbio A. Canobbio 49' M 6.60
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 49' M 6.70
90 K. Serna K. Serna 49' M 6.30
7 Hulk Hulk 1 ⚽ 49' F 6.60
Bench
14 G. Cano G. Cano F
4 Ignacio Ignacio D
21 Igor Rabello Igor Rabello D
46 Julio Fidelis Julio Fidelis D
27 Marcelo Marcelo G
16 Nonato Nonato M
94 Otávio Otávio M
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso M
6 Renê Renê 28' D 6.30
28 Riquelme Riquelme F
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D
30 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo F
Best on the pitch
C. Pavón
C. Pavón
D · Gremio
7.20
· 27 pass
Marlon
Marlon
D · Gremio
7.00
· 26 pass
Thiago Silva
Thiago Silva
D · Fluminense
6.90
· 39 pass
J. Freytes
J. Freytes
D · Fluminense
6.90
· 42 pass
Fábio
Fábio
G · Fluminense
6.90
· 10 pass
F. Amuzu
F. Amuzu
M · Gremio
6.90
· 12 pass
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Grando G 49 6.90 — — — 11 6% — — —
Marlon D 49 7.00 — — — 26 19% 1 — —
W. Kannemann D 49 6.60 — — — 25 24% — — —
Gustavo Martins D 49 6.90 — — — 18 14% 3 — —
C. Pavón D 49 7.20 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
E. Noriega M 49 6.30 — — — 29 27% 1 — —
F. Amuzu M 49 6.90 — — — 12 9% — — —
J. Nardoni M 49 6.30 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
M. Villasanti M 49 6.70 — — — 25 21% — — —
Tetê M 49 6.70 — — 1 28 24% — — —
Carlos Vinícius F 49 6.50 — — 3 4 4% — — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 49 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
Guilherme Arana D 21 6.50 — — — 7 5% — — —
J. Freytes D 49 6.90 — — — 42 38% — — —
Thiago Silva D 49 6.90 — — — 39 34% — — —
Guga D 49 6.30 — — — 24 21% 1 1 —
Hércules M 49 6.60 — — 1 35 35% 1 1 —
Martinelli M 49 6.60 — — — 48 46% — — —
A. Canobbio M 49 6.60 — — — 13 10% — — —
L. Acosta M 49 6.70 — — — 35 29% — — —
K. Serna M 49 6.30 — — — 15 13% — — —
Hulk F 49 6.60 1 — 1 12 10% — — —
Renê D 28 6.30 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Fluminense?
The final score was Gremio 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Gremio win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Fluminense win.