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Gremio - Internacional

Copa do Brasil September 02, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.04%
Win
Gremio
26.84%
Draw
22.12%
Win
Internacional
1.96
Expected xG
0.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.98%)
1X2 Result
1 51%
X 27%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 49%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 68%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gremio a 51% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Internacional. Expected goals are 2.0 for Gremio and 0.8 for Internacional (total 2.7), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.98% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Internacional.

Season Stats

Gremio
3W 4D 1L
Internacional
5W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.8
1.0
Conceded
1.0
4.3
Shots OT
4.2
6.3
Corners
6.2
50%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
88%
38%
O 2.5
63%
50%
BTTS
63%
50%
Clean Sht
38%
Based on the last 8 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Gremio
2W 1D 0L · at home
Internacional
2W 1D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.8
0.0
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
33%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gremio Internacional →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.5% 9.9% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
3 8.0% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
4 3.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

W Mirassol 1–0
D Mirassol 1–1
W Confiança 0–3
W Confiança 2–0
D CSA 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 21%
L Corinthians 2–1
W Corinthians 2–0
W Athletic Club 3–2
W Athletic Club 1–2
D Fluminense 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Gremio Gremio
Attack
40
Defence
67
Form
56
Internacional Internacional
Attack
27
Defence
58
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Gremio
1
Draw
0
Internacional
12 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série A 0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gremio vs Internacional?
The model gives Gremio a 51% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 22% for an Internacional win.
How many goals are expected in Gremio vs Internacional?
Expected goals: Gremio 2.0, Internacional 0.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Gremio vs Internacional?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.98%.