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Gremio - Mirassol

Copa do Brasil August 06, 2026 00:30
Gremio
vs
Mirassol
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.25%
Win
Gremio
28.55%
Draw
27.2%
Win
Mirassol
1.52
Expected xG
1.06

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.08%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 29%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 56%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gremio a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Mirassol. Expected goals are 1.5 for Gremio and 1.1 for Mirassol (total 2.6), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.08% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.

Season Stats

Gremio
2W 3D 1L
Mirassol
1W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.5
1.2
Conceded
1.0
5.0
Shots OT
—
8.8
Corners
—
53%
Poss.
—
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Gremio
1W 1D 0L · at home
Mirassol
0W 1D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gremio Mirassol →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Gremio Gremio
W Confiança 0–3
W Confiança 2–0
D CSA 0–0
L CSA 3–2
D Athletic Club 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Mirassol Mirassol
W RB Bragantino 2–1
D RB Bragantino 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

Gremio Gremio
Attack
41
Defence
57
Form
47
Mirassol Mirassol
Attack
31
Defence
69
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Gremio
0
Draw
1
Mirassol
18 Jul 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gremio vs Mirassol?
The model gives Gremio a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Mirassol win.
How many goals are expected in Gremio vs Mirassol?
Expected goals: Gremio 1.5, Mirassol 1.1 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Gremio vs Mirassol?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.08%.