Copa do Brasil
· Round of 16
August 06, 2026 00:30
C. Pavon
37'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Mirassol 23%). The final result was Gremio 1–0 Mirassol. In 2 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
5
35
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
33'
Reinaldo
36'
Denilson
⚽C. Pavon
37'
Gustavo Martins
45'+1
45'+2
Bruno Santos
46'
Fernandinho
/
Edson Carioca
46'
Shaylon
/
Denilson
57'
Gustavo Silva
/
Alesson
F. Amuzu
/ J. Cabral
58'
63'
Andre Luis
/
Japa
J. Nardoni
/ Dodi
66'
66'
Neto Moura
/
Wallisson
Carlos Vinicius
/ M. Braithwaite
81'
E. Noriega
/ L. Perez
82'
C. Pavon
87'
Weverton
90'+6
Wallace
90'+8
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
46.8%
Gremio ←
29.82%
X
23.38%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
46.8%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
—
—
0.75
—
—
Lineups
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
23
Marlon
D
Marlon
D
82
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
27
Diego Caito
D
Diego Caito
D
19
E. Noriega
82'
M
E. Noriega
82'
M
9
F. Amuzu
58'
M
F. Amuzu
58'
M
5
J. Nardoni
66'
M
J. Nardoni
66'
M
20
M. Villasanti
M
M. Villasanti
M
7
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
M
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
81'
F
Carlos Vinícius
81'
F
Bench
17
Dodi
24'
M
Dodi
24'
M
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
37
Gabriel Mec
M
Gabriel Mec
M
99
J. Enamorado
F
J. Enamorado
F
77
Jovane Cabral
32'
F
Jovane Cabral
32'
F
33
L. Pérez
8'
M
L. Pérez
8'
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
30
Matheus Nascimento
F
Matheus Nascimento
F
22
M. Braithwaite
9'
F
M. Braithwaite
9'
F
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
4
W. Kannemann
D
W. Kannemann
D
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
44
Gabriel
D
Gabriel
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
D
Igor Formiga
D
5
Japa
63'
M
Japa
63'
M
80
Wallisson
66'
M
Wallisson
66'
M
8
Denilson
46'
M
Denilson
46'
M
77
Alesson
57'
F
Alesson
57'
F
30
Bruno Santos
F
Bruno Santos
F
95
Edson
46'
F
Edson
46'
F
Bench
9
André Luís
27'
F
André Luís
27'
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
F
Carlos Eduardo
F
10
Chico
M
Chico
M
18
Elias
D
Elias
D
17
Fernandinho
44'
F
Fernandinho
44'
F
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
M
19
Gustavo Silva
33'
M
Gustavo Silva
33'
M
25
Neto Moura
24'
M
Neto Moura
24'
M
7
Shaylon
44'
M
Shaylon
44'
M
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
Best on the pitch
Marlon
D · Gremio
7.90
· 27 pass
C. Pavón
M · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
E. Noriega
M · Gremio
7.50
· 36 pass
Wallace
D · Gremio
7.30
· 44 pass
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
7.30
2 shots
· 47 pass
F. Amuzu
M · Gremio
7.20
· 14 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Marlon | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 8 | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diego Caito | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Noriega | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Villasanti | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Pavón | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dodi | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Muralha | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Japa | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallisson | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alesson | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Edson | F | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 44 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Mirassol?
The final score was Gremio 1–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Gremio win, 29% to a draw, and 23% to an Mirassol win.