Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 02:00
M. Braithwaite
4'
C. Pavon
68'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Palestino 29%). The final result was Gremio 2–0 Palestino. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palestino.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
1.72
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
10
16
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
3'
R. Fernandez
⚽M. Braithwaite
4'
38'
J. Fernandez
L. Perez
44'
46'
I. A. Garguez Gomez
/
D. Salgado
46'
C. Munder
/
I. Alegria
L. Perez
/ Riquelme
46'
55'
I. A. Garguez Gomez
58'
B. Carrasco
Viery
62'
Luis Eduardo
/ Walter Kannemann
66'
Gabriel Mec
/ Carlos Vinicius
67'
⚽C. Pavon
68'
69'
G. Tapia Paez
/
F. T. Montes Romero
J. Enamorado
/ Tete
78'
Viery
/ Wagner Leonardo
78'
78'
M. Araya
/
B. Carrasco
78'
N. Da Silva
/
R. Fernandez
Riquelme
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.97%
Gremio ←
28.8%
X
29.23%
Palestino
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
41.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
1.72
+0.65
0.94
1.35
+0.41
Gremio dominated by xG (1.72 vs 1.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
44
Viery
78'
D
Viery
78'
D
43
Luis Eduardo
66'
D
Luis Eduardo
66'
D
7
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
D
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
D
19
Erick Noriega
M
Erick Noriega
M
33
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
9
F. Amuzu
M
F. Amuzu
M
37
Gabriel Mec
67'
M
Gabriel Mec
67'
M
99
J. Enamorado
78'
M
J. Enamorado
78'
M
22
M. Braithwaite
1 ⚽
F
M. Braithwaite
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
André Henrique
F
André Henrique
F
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
95
Carlos Vinícius
28'
F
Carlos Vinícius
28'
F
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
11
M. Monsalve
M
M. Monsalve
M
65
Riquelme Freitas
50'
M
Riquelme Freitas
50'
M
21
Tetê
17'
F
Tetê
17'
F
24
Thiago Beltrame
G
Thiago Beltrame
G
39
Tiaguinho
M
Tiaguinho
M
3
Wagner Leonardo
17'
D
Wagner Leonardo
17'
D
4
W. Kannemann
29'
D
W. Kannemann
29'
D
25
S. Pérez
G
S. Pérez
G
23
Jason León
D
Jason León
D
3
E. Roco
D
E. Roco
D
2
V. Espinoza
D
V. Espinoza
D
24
D. Salgado
45'
D
D. Salgado
45'
D
5
J. Fernández
M
J. Fernández
M
18
S. Gallegos
M
S. Gallegos
M
30
I. Alegria
45'
M
I. Alegria
45'
M
15
F. Montes
69'
M
F. Montes
69'
M
7
B. Carrasco
78'
M
B. Carrasco
78'
M
9
R. Fernández
78'
F
R. Fernández
78'
F
Bench
4
A. Ceza
D
A. Ceza
D
13
A. Gomez
F
A. Gomez
F
27
C. Munder
50'
F
C. Munder
50'
F
6
F. Meza
D
F. Meza
D
20
G. Tapia
26'
F
G. Tapia
26'
F
29
Ian Garguez
50'
D
Ian Garguez
50'
D
16
José Bizama
D
José Bizama
D
21
M. Araya
17'
F
M. Araya
17'
F
19
N. Da Silva
17'
F
N. Da Silva
17'
F
8
N. Meza
M
N. Meza
M
1
S. Salas
G
S. Salas
G
Best on the pitch
C. Pavón
D · Gremio
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 49 pass
Weverton
G · Gremio
7.50
· 31 pass
M. Braithwaite
F · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
W. Kannemann
D · Gremio
7.30
· 11 pass
Pedro Gabriel
D · Gremio
7.20
· 24 pass
Viery
D · Gremio
7.20
· 53 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Eduardo | D | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Pavón | D | 95 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 4 | 1 | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Enamorado | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Tetê | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| W. Kannemann | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Pérez | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jason León | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Roco | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Espinoza | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Salgado | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Fernández | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Gallegos | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Alegria | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Montes | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Carrasco | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Fernández | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Munder | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Tapia | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ian Garguez | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Araya | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Da Silva | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Palestino?
The final score was Gremio 2–0 Palestino.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Palestino?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Gremio win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Palestino win.