Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 02:00
M. Braithwaite
4'
C. Pavon
68'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Palestino 29%). The final result was Gremio 2–0 Palestino. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Palestino.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
1.72
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
10
16
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
3'
R. Fernandez
⚽M. Braithwaite
4'
38'
J. Fernandez
L. Perez
44'
46'
I. A. Garguez Gomez
/
D. Salgado
46'
C. Munder
/
I. Alegria
L. Perez
/ Riquelme
46'
55'
I. A. Garguez Gomez
58'
B. Carrasco
Viery
62'
Luis Eduardo
/ Walter Kannemann
66'
Gabriel Mec
/ Carlos Vinicius
67'
⚽C. Pavon
68'
69'
G. Tapia Paez
/
F. T. Montes Romero
J. Enamorado
/ Tete
78'
Viery
/ Wagner Leonardo
78'
78'
M. Araya
/
B. Carrasco
78'
N. Da Silva
/
R. Fernandez
Riquelme
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.97%
Gremio ←
28.8%
X
29.23%
Palestino
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
41.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
1.72
+0.65
0.94
1.35
+0.41
Gremio dominated by xG (1.72 vs 1.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
44
Viery
78'
D
Viery
78'
D
43
Luis Guedes
66'
D
Luis Guedes
66'
D
7
Cristian Pavón
1 ⚽
D
Cristian Pavón
1 ⚽
D
19
Erick Noriega
M
Erick Noriega
M
33
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
9
F. Amuzu
M
F. Amuzu
M
37
Gabriel Mec
67'
M
Gabriel Mec
67'
M
99
José Enamorado
78'
M
José Enamorado
78'
M
22
Martin Braithwaite
1 ⚽
F
Martin Braithwaite
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
André Henrique
F
André Henrique
F
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
95
Carlos Vinícius
28'
F
Carlos Vinícius
28'
F
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
11
Miguel Monsalve
M
Miguel Monsalve
M
65
Riquelme Freitas
50'
M
Riquelme Freitas
50'
M
21
Tetê
17'
F
Tetê
17'
F
24
Thiago Beltrame
G
Thiago Beltrame
G
39
Tiaguinho
M
Tiaguinho
M
3
Wagner Leonardo
17'
D
Wagner Leonardo
17'
D
4
Walter Kannemann
29'
D
Walter Kannemann
29'
D
25
Sebastián Pérez
G
Sebastián Pérez
G
23
Jason León
D
Jason León
D
3
Enzo Roco
D
Enzo Roco
D
2
Vicente Espinoza
D
Vicente Espinoza
D
24
Dilan Salgado
45'
D
Dilan Salgado
45'
D
5
J. Fernández
M
J. Fernández
M
18
S. Gallegos
M
S. Gallegos
M
30
Ian Alegría
45'
M
Ian Alegría
45'
M
15
Francisco Montes
69'
M
Francisco Montes
69'
M
7
B. Carrasco
78'
M
B. Carrasco
78'
M
9
Ronnie Fernández
78'
F
Ronnie Fernández
78'
F
Bench
13
Albert Gomez
F
Albert Gomez
F
4
Antonio Ceza
D
Antonio Ceza
D
27
C. Munder
50'
F
C. Munder
50'
F
6
F. Meza
D
F. Meza
D
20
Gonzalo Tapia
26'
F
Gonzalo Tapia
26'
F
29
I. Gargues
50'
D
I. Gargues
50'
D
16
José Bizama
D
José Bizama
D
21
Martín Araya
17'
F
Martín Araya
17'
F
19
N. Da Silva
17'
F
N. Da Silva
17'
F
8
Nicolás Meza
M
Nicolás Meza
M
1
Sebastián Salas
G
Sebastián Salas
G
Best on the pitch
Cristian Pavón
D · Gremio
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 49 pass
Weverton
G · Gremio
7.50
· 31 pass
Martin Braithwaite
F · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Walter Kannemann
D · Gremio
7.30
· 11 pass
Pedro Gabriel
D · Gremio
7.20
· 24 pass
Viery
D · Gremio
7.20
· 53 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Guedes | D | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 95 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 4 | 1 | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| José Enamorado | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Tetê | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Walter Kannemann | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Pérez | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jason León | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Enzo Roco | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Vicente Espinoza | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Dilan Salgado | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Fernández | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Gallegos | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Ian Alegría | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Montes | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Carrasco | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Ronnie Fernández | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Munder | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| I. Gargues | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Martín Araya | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Da Silva | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Palestino?
The final score was Gremio 2–0 Palestino.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Palestino?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Gremio win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Palestino win.