Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 17
May 24, 2026 00:00
Carlos Vinicius
(ast. F. Amuzu)
40'
Carlos Vinicius
(ast. C. Pavon)
59'
Tete
(ast. C. Pavon)
63'
32'
(ast. Miguelito)
Gabriel Barbosa
55'
(ast. Gabriel Bontempo)
Gabriel Barbosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Santos 31%). The final result was Gremio 3–2 Santos.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.92
Actual xG
1.27
2
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
5
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
9'
Igor Vinicius
C. Pavon
29'
32'
ast. Miguelito ·
Gabriel Barbosa⚽
⚽Carlos Vinicius
· ast. F. Amuzu
40'
45'
Gustavo Henrique
E. Noriega
/ Arthur Melo
46'
55'
ast. Gabriel Bontempo ·
Gabriel Barbosa⚽
J. Enamorado
/ Tete
56'
⚽Carlos Vinicius
· ast. C. Pavon
59'
⚽Tete
· ast. C. Pavon
63'
82'
L. Diaz
/
Willian Arao
82'
J. Robinho
/
Rony
Carlos Vinicius
/ Wagner Leonardo
83'
84'
Gustavo Henrique
84'
Gustavo Henrique
87'
S. Pierri
/
Miguelito
88'
Moises
/
Gabriel Barbosa
C. Pavon
/ Marcos Rocha
90'+1
90'+2
D. Fernandes
/
Igor Vinicius
Pre-match prediction
38.93%
Gremio ←
29.88%
X
31.19%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
38.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
1.92
+0.94
0.98
1.27
+0.29
Gremio dominated by xG (1.92 vs 1.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
43
Luis Guedes
D
Luis Guedes
D
7
Cristian Pavón
2 👟
89'
D
Cristian Pavón
2 👟
89'
D
19
Erick Noriega
45'
M
Erick Noriega
45'
M
33
Leonel Pérez
M
Leonel Pérez
M
9
F. Amuzu
1 👟
M
F. Amuzu
1 👟
M
22
Martin Braithwaite
M
Martin Braithwaite
M
99
José Enamorado
56'
M
José Enamorado
56'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
2 ⚽
83'
F
Carlos Vinícius
2 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
8
Arthur
45'
M
Arthur
45'
M
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
14
Marcos Rocha
1'
D
Marcos Rocha
1'
D
20
Mathias Villasanti
M
Mathias Villasanti
M
11
Miguel Monsalve
M
Miguel Monsalve
M
65
Riquelme Freitas
M
Riquelme Freitas
M
21
Tetê
1 ⚽
34'
F
Tetê
1 ⚽
34'
F
24
Thiago Beltrame
G
Thiago Beltrame
G
39
Tiaguinho
M
Tiaguinho
M
32
Vitor Ramon
D
Vitor Ramon
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
13'
D
Wagner Leonardo
13'
D
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
Gonzalo Escobar
D
Gonzalo Escobar
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
98
Adonis Frías
D
Adonis Frías
D
18
Igor Vinícius
89'
D
Igor Vinícius
89'
D
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
84'
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
84'
M
15
Willian Arão
82'
M
Willian Arão
82'
M
11
Rony
82'
M
Rony
82'
M
30
M. Terceros
1 👟
88'
M
M. Terceros
1 👟
88'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
M
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
2 ⚽
88'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
2 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
28
Christian Oliva
M
Christian Oliva
M
27
Davizinho
1'
F
Davizinho
1'
F
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
42
João Alencar
D
João Alencar
D
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
19
Lautaro Díaz
8'
F
Lautaro Díaz
8'
F
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
21
Moisés
8'
F
Moisés
8'
F
7
Robinho Júnior
8'
F
Robinho Júnior
8'
F
81
Samuel Mendes
8'
M
Samuel Mendes
8'
M
8
Tomás Rincón
M
Tomás Rincón
M
2
Zé Ivaldo
D
Zé Ivaldo
D
Best on the pitch
Carlos Vinícius
F · Gremio
9.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Tetê
F · Gremio
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
F. Amuzu
M · Gremio
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
Cristian Pavón
D · Gremio
7.30
2 👟
· 52 pass
Luis Guedes
D · Gremio
7.20
· 58 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Guedes | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | 2 | — | 52 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| José Enamorado | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 83 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Rocha | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 34 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Adonis Frías | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Willian Arão | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Rony | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Terceros | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 88 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Davizinho | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moisés | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Robinho Júnior | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Santos?
The final score was Gremio 3–2 Santos.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Santos?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gremio win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Santos win.