Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 17
May 24, 2026 00:00
Carlos Vinicius
(ast. F. Amuzu)
40'
Carlos Vinicius
(ast. C. Pavon)
59'
Tete
(ast. C. Pavon)
63'
32'
(ast. Miguelito)
Gabriel Barbosa
55'
(ast. Gabriel Bontempo)
Gabriel Barbosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Santos 31%). The final result was Gremio 3–2 Santos.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.92
Actual xG
1.27
2
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
5
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
9'
Igor Vinicius
C. Pavon
29'
32'
ast. Miguelito ·
Gabriel Barbosa⚽
⚽Carlos Vinicius
· ast. F. Amuzu
40'
45'
Gustavo Henrique
E. Noriega
/ Arthur Melo
46'
55'
ast. Gabriel Bontempo ·
Gabriel Barbosa⚽
J. Enamorado
/ Tete
56'
⚽Carlos Vinicius
· ast. C. Pavon
59'
⚽Tete
· ast. C. Pavon
63'
82'
L. Diaz
/
Willian Arao
82'
J. Robinho
/
Rony
Carlos Vinicius
/ Wagner Leonardo
83'
84'
Gustavo Henrique
84'
Gustavo Henrique
87'
S. Pierri
/
Miguelito
88'
Moises
/
Gabriel Barbosa
C. Pavon
/ Marcos Rocha
90'+1
90'+2
D. Fernandes
/
Igor Vinicius
Pre-match prediction
38.93%
Gremio ←
29.88%
X
31.19%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
38.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
1.92
+0.94
0.98
1.27
+0.29
Gremio dominated by xG (1.92 vs 1.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
43
Luis Eduardo
D
Luis Eduardo
D
7
C. Pavón
2 👟
89'
D
C. Pavón
2 👟
89'
D
19
Erick Noriega
45'
M
Erick Noriega
45'
M
33
Leonel Pérez
M
Leonel Pérez
M
9
F. Amuzu
1 👟
M
F. Amuzu
1 👟
M
22
M. Braithwaite
M
M. Braithwaite
M
99
J. Enamorado
56'
M
J. Enamorado
56'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
2 ⚽
83'
F
Carlos Vinícius
2 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
8
Arthur
45'
M
Arthur
45'
M
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
14
Marcos Rocha
1'
D
Marcos Rocha
1'
D
11
M. Monsalve
M
M. Monsalve
M
20
M. Villasanti
M
M. Villasanti
M
65
Riquelme Freitas
M
Riquelme Freitas
M
21
Tetê
1 ⚽
34'
F
Tetê
1 ⚽
34'
F
24
Thiago Beltrame
G
Thiago Beltrame
G
39
Tiaguinho
M
Tiaguinho
M
32
Vitor Ramon
D
Vitor Ramon
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
13'
D
Wagner Leonardo
13'
D
4
W. Kannemann
D
W. Kannemann
D
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
98
A. Frías
D
A. Frías
D
18
Igor Vinicius
89'
D
Igor Vinicius
89'
D
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
84'
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
84'
M
15
Willian Arão
82'
M
Willian Arão
82'
M
11
Rony
82'
M
Rony
82'
M
30
M. Terceros
1 👟
88'
M
M. Terceros
1 👟
88'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
M
Gabriel Bontempo
1 👟
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
2 ⚽
88'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
2 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
28
C. Oliva
M
C. Oliva
M
27
D. Fernandes
1'
F
D. Fernandes
1'
F
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
42
João Alencar
D
João Alencar
D
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
19
Lautaro Díaz
8'
F
Lautaro Díaz
8'
F
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
21
Moisés
8'
F
Moisés
8'
F
7
Robinho Júnior
8'
F
81
S. Pierri
8'
M
S. Pierri
8'
M
8
Tomás Rincón
M
Tomás Rincón
M
2
Zé Ivaldo
D
Zé Ivaldo
D
Best on the pitch
Carlos Vinícius
F · Gremio
9.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Tetê
F · Gremio
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
F. Amuzu
M · Gremio
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
C. Pavón
D · Gremio
7.30
2 👟
· 52 pass
Luis Eduardo
D · Gremio
7.20
· 58 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Eduardo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Pavón | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | 2 | — | 52 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Enamorado | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 83 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Rocha | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 34 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Frías | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Willian Arão | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Rony | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Terceros | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 88 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moisés | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Robinho Júnior | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Pierri | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Santos?
The final score was Gremio 3–2 Santos.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Santos?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gremio win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Santos win.