Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 22
August 08, 2026 21:00
Wallace
(ast. Carlos Vinicius)
48'
C. Pavon
86'
45'+2
(ast. Luciano)
Marcos Antonio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Sao Paulo 32%). The final result was Gremio 2–1 Sao Paulo. In 1 previous meetings, Gremio have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
5
1.62
Actual xG
1.37
4
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
7
7
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
45'+2
ast. Luciano ·
Marcos Antonio⚽
M. Villasanti
45'+5
J. Cabral
/ F. Amuzu
46'
⚽Wallace
· ast. Carlos Vinicius
48'
J. Nardoni
/ Dodi
54'
70'
D. Bobadilla
/
Danielzinho
71'
Cauly
/
Ferreira
75'
Luciano
77'
Andre Silva
/
Jonathan Calleri
Carlos Vinicius
/ M. Braithwaite
78'
Diego Caito
81'
⚽C. Pavon
86'
89'
G. Santana
/
Pablo Maia
89'
Victor Sa
/
Wendell
M. Villasanti
/ Walter Kannemann
90'+1
C. Pavon
/ L. Perez
90'+1
Marlon
90'+1
90'+2
Andre Silva
Walter Kannemann
90'+5
90'+5
Robert Arboleda
Pre-match prediction
34.46%
Gremio ←
33.42%
X
32.12%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
34.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.77
1.62
+0.85
0.80
1.37
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.62 – 1.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
23
Marlon
D
Marlon
D
82
Wallace
1 ⚽
D
Wallace
1 ⚽
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
27
Diego Caito
D
Diego Caito
D
19
Erick Noriega
M
Erick Noriega
M
77
Jovane Cabral
45'
M
Jovane Cabral
45'
M
5
J. Nardoni
54'
M
J. Nardoni
54'
M
20
Mathias Villasanti
M
Mathias Villasanti
M
7
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
M
C. Pavón
1 ⚽
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
1 👟
78'
F
Carlos Vinícius
1 👟
78'
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
17
Dodi
43'
M
Dodi
43'
M
9
Francis Amuzu
52'
F
Francis Amuzu
52'
F
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
37
Gabriel Mec
F
Gabriel Mec
F
99
José Enamorado
F
José Enamorado
F
33
L. Pérez
6'
M
L. Pérez
6'
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
Martin Braithwaite
19'
F
Martin Braithwaite
19'
F
30
Matheus Nascimento
F
Matheus Nascimento
F
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
4
W. Kannemann
6'
D
W. Kannemann
6'
D
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
18
Wendell
89'
D
Wendell
89'
D
54
Osorio Luis
D
Osorio Luis
D
5
R. Arboleda
D
R. Arboleda
D
19
Lucas Ramon
D
Lucas Ramon
D
29
Pablo Maia
89'
M
Pablo Maia
89'
M
94
Danielzinho
70'
M
Danielzinho
70'
M
11
Ferreira
71'
M
Ferreira
71'
M
10
Luciano
1 👟
M
Luciano
1 👟
M
8
Marcos Antônio
1 ⚽
M
Marcos Antônio
1 ⚽
M
9
J. Calleri
77'
F
J. Calleri
77'
F
Bench
17
André Silva
20'
F
André Silva
20'
F
20
Aurélio Buta
D
Aurélio Buta
D
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
26'
M
Cauly
26'
M
16
D. Bobadilla
27'
M
D. Bobadilla
27'
M
22
Domingos Duarte
D
Domingos Duarte
D
43
G. Santana
8'
M
G. Santana
8'
M
12
Iago
D
Iago
D
28
Newton
M
Newton
M
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
34
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
27
Victor Sá
8'
F
Victor Sá
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Wallace
D · Gremio
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
C. Pavón
M · Gremio
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Weverton
G · Gremio
7.90
· 35 pass
Carlos Vinícius
F · Gremio
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
Marcos Antônio
M · Sao
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 57 pass
Ferreira
M · Sao
7.50
2 shots
· 25 pass
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Marlon | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wallace | D | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Caito | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Villasanti | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Pavón | M | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 78 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Dodi | M | 43 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Francis Amuzu | F | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| W. Kannemann | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Osorio Luis | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| R. Arboleda | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Ferreira | M | 71 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 57 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Cauly | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Bobadilla | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Santana | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Victor Sá | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Gremio 2–1 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Gremio win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Sao Paulo win.