CONCACAF Nations League
· League B - 3
November 13, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction St. Kitts and Nevis, result Grenada wins
benjamin ettienne
(ast. vijay valcin)
34'
vijay valcin
(ast. Raheem Raeburn)
50'
Narshon Sylvester
(ast. benjamin ettienne)
52'
12'
(ast. Kyle Kelly)
Tiquanny·Williams
63'
(ast. Kyle Kelly)
Tiquanny·Williams
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Kitts and Nevis a 59% win probability (draw 19%, Grenada 20%). The final result was Grenada 3–2 St. Kitts and Nevis. In 2 previous meetings, Grenada have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for St. Kitts and Nevis.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
5
0.96
Actual xG
2.28
0
Saves
2
24%
Possession
76%
6
Corners
6
1
Tackles
9
9
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
9'
Okera Simmonds
12'
ast. Kyle Kelly ·
Tiquanny·Williams⚽
15'
Luca Crolla
⚽benjamin ettienne
· ast. vijay valcin
34'
46'
Micaah Dominique Garnette
/
Marley Mintus
⚽vijay valcin
· ast. Raheem Raeburn
50'
⚽Narshon Sylvester
· ast. benjamin ettienne
52'
54'
Keyendrah Simmonds
/
Ethan Bristow
54'
omari james sterling
/
Romaine Sawyers
54'
Malique·Roberts
/
Jayden Richardson
56'
Malique·Roberts
vijay valcin
/ Deondre Smith
61'
63'
ast. Kyle Kelly ·
Tiquanny·Williams⚽
Narshon Sylvester
/ Corey edwards
64'
68'
Keyendrah Simmonds
Aaron Pierre
/ Kimron·Marshall
78'
Roma frank
/ jamal gittens
78'
Deon phillip
/ Kelroy Peters
78'
78'
Harry Panayiotou
/
Luca Crolla
Pre-match prediction
20.81%
Grenada ←
19.89%
X
59.3%
St.
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Grenada)
20.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.71
0.96
+0.25
2.26
2.28
+0.02
St. Kitts and Nevis dominated by xG (2.28 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
36'
G
21
36'
M
5
A. Pierre
78'
D
A. Pierre
78'
D
2
Greg Sandiford
D
Greg Sandiford
D
3
36'
D
19
36'
F
20
36'
17
36'
M
7
36'
M
10
36'
D
9
36'
F
Bench
13
L. Akins
F
L. Akins
F
18
J. Archibald
G
J. Archibald
G
4
E. Bristow
54'
M
E. Bristow
54'
M
17
L. Crolla
D
6
J. Bowery
F
J. Bowery
F
13
J. Richardson
54'
D
J. Richardson
54'
D
20
Kyle Kelly
2 👟
M
Kyle Kelly
2 👟
M
19
36'
M
16
36'
M
14
36'
M
9
O. Simmonds
F
O. Simmonds
F
7
36'
F
Bench
10
H. Panayiotou
12'
F
H. Panayiotou
12'
F
8
K. Simmonds
36'
F
K. Simmonds
36'
F
12
M. Garnette
45'
F
M. Garnette
45'
F
22
O. Sterling-James
M
21
Rakealan Jeffers
F
Rakealan Jeffers
F
Best on the pitch
Kyle Kelly
M · St.
8.80
2 👟
2 shots
· 64 pass
M. Garnette
F · St.
7.20
3 shots
· 23 pass
E. Bristow
M · St.
6.70
· 24 pass
M · St.
6.60
1 shots
· 22 pass
M · St.
6.60
1 shots
· 22 pass
M · St.
6.60
1 shots
· 22 pass
Grenada — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| A. Pierre | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Greg Sandiford | D | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | ||
| M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| D | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
St. Kitts and Nevis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Archibald | G | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Bristow | M | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Crolla | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bowery | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 66% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Richardson | D | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle Kelly | M | 90 | 8.80 | — | 2 | 2 | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| O. Simmonds | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| H. Panayiotou | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Simmonds | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Garnette | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
The final score was Grenada 3–2 St. Kitts and Nevis.
What did the model predict before Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Grenada win, 19% to a draw, and 59% to an St. Kitts and Nevis win.