Skip to main content
← CONCACAF Nations League
3 – 2
Final score
✗Model wrong — prediction St. Kitts and Nevis, result Grenada wins
benjamin ettienne (ast. vijay valcin) 34'
vijay valcin (ast. Raheem Raeburn) 50'
Narshon Sylvester (ast. benjamin ettienne) 52'
12' (ast. Kyle Kelly) Tiquanny·Williams
63' (ast. Kyle Kelly) Tiquanny·Williams
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Kitts and Nevis a 59% win probability (draw 19%, Grenada 20%). The final result was Grenada 3–2 St. Kitts and Nevis. In 2 previous meetings, Grenada have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for St. Kitts and Nevis.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
5
0.96
Actual xG
2.28
0
Saves
2
24%
Possession
76%
6
Corners
6
1
Tackles
9
9
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
9'
Okera Simmonds
12'
ast. Kyle Kelly · Tiquanny·Williams⚽
15'
Luca Crolla
⚽benjamin ettienne · ast. vijay valcin
34'
46'
Micaah Dominique Garnette / Marley Mintus ↕
⚽vijay valcin · ast. Raheem Raeburn
50'
⚽Narshon Sylvester · ast. benjamin ettienne
52'
54'
Keyendrah Simmonds / Ethan Bristow ↕
54'
omari james sterling / Romaine Sawyers ↕
54'
Malique·Roberts / Jayden Richardson ↕
56'
Malique·Roberts
↕ vijay valcin / Deondre Smith
61'
63'
ast. Kyle Kelly · Tiquanny·Williams⚽
↕ Narshon Sylvester / Corey edwards
64'
68'
Keyendrah Simmonds
↕ Aaron Pierre / Kimron·Marshall
78'
↕ Roma frank / jamal gittens
78'
↕ Deon phillip / Kelroy Peters
78'
78'
Harry Panayiotou / Luca Crolla ↕
Pre-match prediction
20.81%
Grenada ←
19.89%
X
59.3%
St.
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Grenada) 20.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Grenada
0.71
0.96
+0.25
St.
2.26
2.28
+0.02
St. Kitts and Nevis dominated by xG (2.28 vs 0.96). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
Grenada Grenada 4-4-2
1
36' G 6.60
21
36' M 6.60
5 A. Pierre A. Pierre 78' D 6.30
2 Greg Sandiford Greg Sandiford D 6.40
3
36' D 6.60
19
36' F 6.60
20
36' 6.60
17
36' M 6.60
7
36' M 6.60
10
36' D 6.60
9
36' F 6.60
Bench
13 L. Akins L. Akins F 0.00
18 J. Archibald J. Archibald G 5.20
4 E. Bristow E. Bristow 54' M 6.70
17
L. Crolla D
6 J. Bowery J. Bowery F 6.30
13 J. Richardson J. Richardson 54' D 6.50
20 Kyle Kelly Kyle Kelly 2 👟 M 8.80
19
36' M 6.60
16
36' M 6.60
14
36' M 6.60
9 O. Simmonds O. Simmonds F 6.50
7
36' F 6.60
Bench
10 H. Panayiotou H. Panayiotou 12' F 6.50
8 K. Simmonds K. Simmonds 36' F 6.60
12 M. Garnette M. Garnette 45' F 7.20
22
O. Sterling-James M
21 Rakealan Jeffers Rakealan Jeffers F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Kyle Kelly
Kyle Kelly
M · St.
8.80
2 👟
2 shots · 64 pass
M. Garnette
M. Garnette
F · St.
7.20
3 shots · 23 pass
E. Bristow
E. Bristow
M · St.
6.70
· 24 pass
M · St.
6.60
1 shots · 22 pass
M · St.
6.60
1 shots · 22 pass
M · St.
6.60
1 shots · 22 pass
Grenada Grenada — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
M 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
A. Pierre D 78 6.30 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Greg Sandiford D 90 6.40 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
D 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
F 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
M 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
M 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
D 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
F 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
St. Kitts and Nevis St. Kitts and Nevis — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Archibald G 90 5.20 — — 0 25 20% 0 — —
E. Bristow M 54 6.70 — — 0 24 20% 1 — —
L. Crolla D — — — — — — — — — —
J. Bowery F 90 6.30 — — 0 66 66% 0 — —
J. Richardson D 54 6.50 — — 0 33 29% 2 — —
Kyle Kelly M 90 8.80 — 2 2 64 57% 2 — —
M 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
M 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
M 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
O. Simmonds F 90 6.50 — — 3 21 16% 0 1 —
F 36 6.60 — — 1 22 18% 0 1 —
H. Panayiotou F 12 6.50 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
K. Simmonds F 36 6.60 — — 1 9 7% 1 1 —
M. Garnette F 45 7.20 — — 3 23 23% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
The final score was Grenada 3–2 St. Kitts and Nevis.
What did the model predict before Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Grenada win, 19% to a draw, and 59% to an St. Kitts and Nevis win.