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Model wrong — prediction Le Mans, result Draw
J. Benet 35' (pen.)
39' (ast. A. Rabillard) E. Colas
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Le Mans a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Grenoble 14%). The final result was Grenoble 1–1 Le Mans. In 1 previous meetings, Grenoble have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Le Mans.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
4
5
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
27'
H. Voyer
J. Benet (pen.)
35'
39'
ast. A. Rabillard · E. Colas
L. Bernadou
51'
U. Bonnet
58'
58'
D. Gueye / A. Rabillard
59'
M. Robin / E. Quarshie
59'
I. Cossier / H. Voyer
E. Maurin / A. L. N'Gatta
64'
70'
W. Harhouz / E. Colas
U. Bonnet / M. Djitte
73'
B. Mouazan / S. Diba
74'
74'
A. Lauray / M. Robin
Y. Diaby / N. Zahui
81'
M. Djitte
87'
Pre-match prediction
14.74%
Grenoble
18.14%
X ←
67.12%
Le
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Grenoble
0.55
Le
2.20
Lineups
Grenoble Grenoble 4-2-3-1
13
Mamadou Diop G 7.30
27
Mattheo Xantippe D 6.20
5
C. Vidal D 6.50
24
D 6.50
29 G. Paquiez G. Paquiez D 6.60
6
L. Bernadou M 6.90
8
J. Benet 1 ⚽ M 7.30
7 Y. Diaby Y. Diaby 81' M 6.90
10
Baptiste Mouazan 74' M 6.60
20
E. Maurin 64' M 6.90
12
U. Bonnet 73' F 6.30
Bench
22
A. L. N'Gatta 29' D 6.70
2
M. Djitte 20' F 6.30
19
N. Zahui 12' F 6.70
17
S. Delos D
30 S. Diba S. Diba 19' M 6.60
Le Mans Le Mans 3-1-4-2
98
G 6.70
5
H. Voyer 59' D 6.20
17 S. Yohou S. Yohou D 5.60
31
N. Boisse D 7.00
29
M 6.70
22
L. Calodat M 6.70
6
E. Quarshie 59' M 6.30
11
A. Bourabaa M 7.20
18
M 6.90
28
E. Colas 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.90
9 A. Rabillard A. Rabillard 1 👟 58' F 6.30
Bench
8 A. Lauray A. Lauray 19' D 6.30
25 D. Guèye D. Guèye 35' F 6.20
3
I. Cossier 34' D 6.50
24
M. Robin 15' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
E. Colas
F · Le
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Mamadou Diop
G · Grenoble
7.30
· 26 pass
J. Benet
M · Grenoble
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
A. Bourabaa
M · Le
7.20
2 shots · 22 pass
N. Boisse
D · Le
7.00
1 shots · 37 pass
L. Bernadou
M · Grenoble
6.90
· 27 pass
Grenoble Grenoble — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mamadou Diop G 93 7.30 26 16%
Mattheo Xantippe D 93 6.20 28 21%
C. Vidal D 93 6.50 1 39 24%
D 93 6.50 27 22%
G. Paquiez D 93 6.60 34 23%
L. Bernadou M 93 6.90 27 20% 3 1
J. Benet M 93 7.30 1 1 41 28%
Y. Diaby M 81 6.90 14 8% 1
Baptiste Mouazan M 74 6.60 2 12 8% 1
E. Maurin M 64 6.90 10 8%
U. Bonnet F 73 6.30 1 9 6% 1
A. L. N'Gatta D 29 6.70 3 3%
M. Djitte F 20 6.30 1 1% 1
N. Zahui F 12 6.70 2 1%
S. Diba M 19 6.60 5 4%
Le Mans Le Mans — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.70 44 28%
H. Voyer D 59 6.20 46 31% 1 1
S. Yohou D 93 5.60 41 34% 1
N. Boisse D 93 7.00 1 37 30% 5
M 93 6.70 1 50 41% 2
L. Calodat M 93 6.70 16 11% 2
E. Quarshie M 59 6.30 21 18% 1
A. Bourabaa M 93 7.20 2 22 19% 2
M 93 6.90 28 18% 2
E. Colas F 70 7.90 1 2 18 12%
A. Rabillard F 58 6.30 1 1 14 9% 1
A. Lauray D 19 6.30 10 6%
D. Guèye F 35 6.20 7 4%
I. Cossier D 34 6.50 25 22%
M. Robin M 15 6.70 7 7%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grenoble vs Le Mans?
The final score was Grenoble 1–1 Le Mans.
What did the model predict before Grenoble vs Le Mans?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Grenoble win, 18% to a draw, and 67% to an Le Mans win.