Virsliga
· Regular Season - 33
October 17, 2026 13:00
D. Druzinins
(ast. M. Corryn)
18'
Dodo
(ast. M. Corryn)
61'
H. Yamada
(ast. M. Corryn)
71'
(pen.)
70'
K. Cudars
86'
(ast. R. Sibass)
M. Kalnins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Grobiņa a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Ogre United 27%). The final result was Grobiņa 3–2 Ogre United. In 3 previous meetings, Grobiņa have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Ogre United.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
7
2.61
Actual xG
2.12
5
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
9
Corners
10
26
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
M. Ivulans
/
J. Fokam
⚽D. Druzinins
· ast. M. Corryn
18'
D. Druzinins
45'
46'
T. Mickevics
/
A. Doroshenko
O. Rascevskis
/ K. Rupeiks
56'
⚽Dodo
· ast. M. Corryn
61'
64'
M. Pacepko
/
M. Ivulans
64'
A. Marchuk
/
I. Pulis
70'
(pen.)
K. Cudars⚽
⚽H. Yamada
· ast. M. Corryn
71'
75'
V. Mashchenko
/
A. Molotkovs
H. Yamada
/ G. Kluskins
81'
86'
ast. R. Sibass ·
M. Kalnins⚽
O. Olatunde-Matthew
/ A. Puzirevskis
87'
90'
R. Sibass
Pre-match prediction
39.85%
Grobiņa ←
32.97%
X
27.18%
Ogre
we assigned to the actual result (Grobiņa)
39.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.89
2.61
+1.72
0.72
2.12
+1.4
Grobiņa dominated by xG (2.61 vs 2.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
R. Ozols
G
R. Ozols
G
27
R. Baravykas
D
R. Baravykas
D
3
D. Družiņins
1 ⚽
D
D. Družiņins
1 ⚽
D
15
A. Jovanović
D
A. Jovanović
D
11
Olgerts Rascevskis
56'
D
Olgerts Rascevskis
56'
D
20
H. Yamada
1 ⚽
81'
M
87
Martin Jose
M
Martin Jose
M
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
87'
M
O. Olatunde-Matthew
87'
M
14
M. Sidorovs
M
M. Sidorovs
M
77
Dodô
1 ⚽
F
6
M. Corryn
3 👟
F
M. Corryn
3 👟
F
Bench
80
A. Baydal
M
A. Baydal
M
13
Ali Aruna
F
Ali Aruna
F
99
A. Puzirevskis
7'
F
A. Puzirevskis
7'
F
32
G. Kļuškins
13'
M
G. Kļuškins
13'
M
5
G. Leitans
D
G. Leitans
D
2
K. Rupeiks
38'
D
K. Rupeiks
38'
D
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
G
V. Kudrjavcevs
G
1
Ņ. Parfjonovs
G
27
A. Molotkovs
75'
D
55
A. Kudeļkins
D
A. Kudeļkins
D
13
K. Gulbis
D
K. Gulbis
D
5
R. Šibass
1 👟
D
R. Šibass
1 👟
D
10
M. Kalnins
1 ⚽
M
19
K. Čudars
1 ⚽
M
30
A. Doroshenko
45'
M
A. Doroshenko
45'
M
7
I. Pūlis
64'
M
I. Pūlis
64'
M
9
J. Fokam-Sandeu
4'
F
J. Fokam-Sandeu
4'
F
22
L. Estevez Fernandez
F
Bench
71
A. Marchuk
30'
F
6
Davis Vejkrigers
D
Davis Vejkrigers
D
91
J. Grīnbergs
M
J. Grīnbergs
M
20
K. Biscuhis
G
11
Marks Pacepko
30'
F
Marks Pacepko
30'
F
21
M. Ivulāns
60'
M
M. Ivulāns
60'
M
2
R. Ziemelis
M
R. Ziemelis
M
8
Tomass Mickevics
49'
M
Tomass Mickevics
49'
M
17
V. Mashchenko
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Dodô
F · Grobiņa
9.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
D. Družiņins
D · Grobiņa
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
M. Corryn
F · Grobiņa
8.20
3 👟
5 shots
· 18 pass
H. Yamada
M · Grobiņa
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
R. Baravykas
D · Grobiņa
7.30
1 shots
· 21 pass
M. Sidorovs
M · Grobiņa
7.30
2 shots
· 20 pass
Grobiņa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ozols | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Baravykas | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Družiņins | D | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Jovanović | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Olgerts Rascevskis | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Yamada | M | 81 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Martin Jose | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Olatunde-Matthew | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Sidorovs | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| Dodô | F | 94 | 9.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Corryn | F | 94 | 8.20 | — | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Puzirevskis | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kļuškins | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K. Rupeiks | D | 38 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 1% | — | — | — |
Ogre United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ņ. Parfjonovs | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Molotkovs | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kudeļkins | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Gulbis | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Šibass | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Kalnins | M | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Čudars | M | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 41 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Doroshenko | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Pūlis | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Fokam-Sandeu | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Estevez Fernandez | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Marchuk | F | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Marks Pacepko | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Ivulāns | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomass Mickevics | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Mashchenko | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
The final score was Grobiņa 3–2 Ogre United.
What did the model predict before Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Grobiņa win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an Ogre United win.