✓Model correct — prediction Riga
Artjoms Puzirevskis
(ast. Maksims Sidorovs)
79'
Artjoms Puzirevskis
(ast. Ivan·Tyshchenko)
89'
4'
(ast. Muhammed Badammosi)
Samuel Pedro
(pen.)
13'
Muhammed Badammosi
17'
(ast. Ahmed Ankrah)
Coli Saco
28'
(ast. Salah hand m)
Muhammed Badammosi
67'
(ast. Antonijs Černomordijs)
Salah hand m
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Grobiņa 19%). The final result was Grobiņa 2–5 Riga. In 3 previous meetings, Grobiņa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Riga.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
10
0.45
Actual xG
2.30
5
Saves
0
22%
Possession
78%
1
Corners
5
8
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
4'
ast. Muhammed Badammosi ·
Samuel Pedro⚽
Aleksa Jovanović
12'
13'
(pen.)
Muhammed Badammosi⚽
17'
ast. Ahmed Ankrah ·
Coli Saco⚽
Oladotun Olatunde-Matthew
/ gustavs leitans
18'
hirotaka yamada
/ Gļebs Kļuškins
18'
22'
Andrés Salazar
Gļebs Kļuškins
27'
28'
ast. Salah hand m ·
Muhammed Badammosi⚽
29'
Karl Gameni Wassom
Krisjanis rupeiks
30'
38'
Antonijs Černomordijs
Milan·Corryn
/ Artjoms Puzirevskis
45'+1
46'
Nor Nor Emmanuel Maviram
/
Andrés Salazar
46'
Abner Salles da Silva
/
Karl Gameni Wassom
Dodo
/ Anton Baydal
63'
martin jose
/ Ivan·Tyshchenko
63'
67'
ast. Antonijs Černomordijs ·
Salah hand m⚽
67'
ramires reginaldo
/
Salah hand m
68'
meissa diop
/
Raivis Jurkovskis
⚽Artjoms Puzirevskis
· ast. Maksims Sidorovs
79'
87'
Iago Siqueira
/
Ahmed Ankrah
⚽Artjoms Puzirevskis
· ast. Ivan·Tyshchenko
89'
Pre-match prediction
19.76%
Grobiņa
21.4%
X
58.84%
Riga ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Riga)
58.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
0.45
-0.53
1.70
2.30
+0.6
Riga dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
R. Ozols
G
R. Ozols
G
27
R. Baravykas
D
R. Baravykas
D
3
D. Družiņins
D
D. Družiņins
D
15
A. Jovanović
12'
D
A. Jovanović
12'
D
2
K. Rupeiks
D
K. Rupeiks
D
14
M. Sidorovs
1 👟
D
M. Sidorovs
1 👟
D
87
63'
M
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
18'
D
O. Olatunde-Matthew
18'
D
77
Dodô
F
6
M. Corryn
44'
M
M. Corryn
44'
M
20
H. Yamada
M
Bench
80
A. Baydal
27'
F
A. Baydal
27'
F
99
A. Puzirevskis
2 ⚽
46'
F
A. Puzirevskis
2 ⚽
46'
F
32
G. Kļuškins
72'
M
G. Kļuškins
72'
M
5
G. Leitans
72'
M
G. Leitans
72'
M
88
I. Tyshchenko
1 👟
M
7
J. Krautmanis
D
J. Krautmanis
D
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
G
V. Kudrjavcevs
G
91
F. Orols
G
F. Orols
G
17
A. Salazar
45'
D
A. Salazar
45'
D
5
K. Wassom
45'
M
K. Wassom
45'
M
34
A. Černomordijs
1 👟
D
A. Černomordijs
1 👟
D
13
R. Jurkovskis
68'
D
R. Jurkovskis
68'
D
40
A. Ankrah
1 👟
87'
M
A. Ankrah
1 👟
87'
M
6
C. Saco
1 ⚽
M
C. Saco
1 ⚽
M
15
Samuel Pedro
1 ⚽
F
Samuel Pedro
1 ⚽
F
18
S. Oulad M'Hand
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
25
A. Taiwo
F
A. Taiwo
F
19
M. Badamosi
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
M. Badamosi
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
3
Abner
45'
D
Abner
45'
D
21
B. Musah
D
B. Musah
D
60
E. Maviram
45'
D
E. Maviram
45'
D
8
Iago Siqueira Augusto
3'
M
Iago Siqueira Augusto
3'
M
22
M. Diop
22'
F
M. Diop
22'
F
44
M. Kazainis
G
M. Kazainis
G
23
M. Toņiševs
D
7
R. Aouani
F
R. Aouani
F
10
Reginaldo Ramires
F
Best on the pitch
M. Badamosi
F · Riga
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 19 pass
C. Saco
M · Riga
8.80
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 76 pass
A. Ankrah
M · Riga
8.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 130 pass
Samuel Pedro
F · Riga
8.40
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 47 pass
A. Černomordijs
D · Riga
8.00
1 👟
· 114 pass
R. Jurkovskis
D · Riga
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Grobiņa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ozols | G | 90 | 4.70 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Baravykas | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Družiņins | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Jovanović | D | 12 | 3.60 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | 1 |
| K. Rupeiks | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Sidorovs | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| M | 63 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| O. Olatunde-Matthew | D | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Dodô | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Corryn | M | 44 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Yamada | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Baydal | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Puzirevskis | F | 46 | 6.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Kļuškins | M | 72 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Leitans | M | 72 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Riga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Orols | G | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Salazar | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Wassom | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 48% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Černomordijs | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 0 | 114 | 104% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Jurkovskis | D | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Ankrah | M | 87 | 8.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 130 | 121% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Saco | M | 90 | 8.80 | 1 | — | 2 | 76 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuel Pedro | F | 90 | 8.40 | 1 | — | 5 | 47 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Oulad M'Hand | M | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Taiwo | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Badamosi | F | 90 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Abner | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Maviram | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Iago Siqueira Augusto | M | 3 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Diop | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Grobiņa vs Riga?
The final score was Grobiņa 2–5 Riga.
What did the model predict before Grobiņa vs Riga?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Grobiņa win, 21% to a draw, and 58% to an Riga win.