Grobiņa - Tukums
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.09%
Win
Grobiņa
20.45%
Draw
61.46%
Win
Tukums
0.41
2.2
Expected xG
Model prediction
Tukums
61.46%
Probability
85.7%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tukums a 61% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Grobiņa. Expected goals are 0.4 for Grobiņa and 2.2 for Tukums (total 2.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 17.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Grobiņa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tukums.
Score Matrix
↕ Grobiņa
Tukums →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Grobiņa
Attack
9
Defence
62
Form
28
Tukums
Attack
54
Defence
64
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
D
5 Apr 2026
1–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rīgas FS
|
12 | 31 |
| 2 |
Riga
|
12 | 29 |
| 3 |
Auda
|
12 | 25 |
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
|
12 | 15 |
| 5 |
Super Nova
|
12 | 14 |
| 6 |
BFC Daugavpils
|
12 | 14 |
| 7 |
Tukums
|
12 | 12 |
| 8 |
FS Jelgava
|
12 | 12 |
| 9 |
Grobiņa
|
12 | 11 |
| 10 |
Ogre United
|
12 | 3 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Grobiņa vs Tukums?
The model gives Grobiņa a 18% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 61% for an Tukums win.
How many goals are expected in Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Expected goals: Grobiņa 0.4, Tukums 2.2 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Grobiņa vs Tukums?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.9%.