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Groene Ster - AFC Amsterdam

KNVB Beker September 22, 2026 17:00
Groene Ster
vs
AFC Amsterdam
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.94%
Win
Groene Ster
32.57%
Draw
34.5%
Win
AFC Amsterdam
1.27
Expected xG
1.83

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.46%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 93.8% hit rate (32 picks)
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AFC Amsterdam a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Groene Ster. Expected goals are 1.3 for Groene Ster and 1.8 for AFC Amsterdam (total 3.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.46% probability.

Season Stats

Groene Ster
1W 2D 0L
AFC Amsterdam
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.7
1.7
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Groene Ster
1W 1D 0L · at home
AFC Amsterdam
2W 0D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Groene Ster AFC Amsterdam →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5% 8.2% 7.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.6% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

Groene Ster Groene Ster
W Heerjansdam 2–1
D SC Genemuiden 1–1
D Heino 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
AFC Amsterdam AFC Amsterdam
W Be Quick 1887 0–2
L NEC Nijmegen 1–3
W Eemdijk 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Groene Ster Groene Ster
Attack
32
Defence
73
Form
58
AFC Amsterdam AFC Amsterdam
Attack
46
Defence
87
Form
78
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
The model gives Groene Ster a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an AFC Amsterdam win.
How many goals are expected in Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
Expected goals: Groene Ster 1.3, AFC Amsterdam 1.8 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Groene Ster vs AFC Amsterdam?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.46%.