Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 22, 2026 17:45

Groningen

#9 · 45 pts

3 – 0

Final score

AZ Alkmaar

#6 · 51 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Groningen 33%). The final result was Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar. In 1 previous meetings, Groningen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AZ Alkmaar.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

7

2.50

Actual xG

1.73

47%

Possession

53%

2

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

33.94%

Groningen ←

26.21%

X

39.85%

AZ

we assigned to the actual result (Groningen) 33.94% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Groningen

1.18

2.50

+1.32

AZ

1.48

1.73

+0.25

Groningen dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	33	81
2	Feyenoord	33	62
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	Twente	33	58
4	NEC Nijmegen	33	56
5	Ajax	33	55
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	51
7	Utrecht	33	50
8	Heerenveen	33	50
9	Groningen	33	45
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	33	38
13	PEC Zwolle	33	37
14	Excelsior	33	35
15	Telstar	33	34
16	FC Volendam	33	32
17	NAC Breda	33	28
18	Heracles	33	19