The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Groningen 33%). The final result was Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar. In 1 previous meetings, Groningen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AZ Alkmaar.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
7
2.50
Actual xG
1.73
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
33.94%
Groningen ←
26.21%
X
39.85%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Groningen)
33.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
2.50
+1.32
1.48
1.73
+0.25
Groningen dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Groningen win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an AZ Alkmaar win.