Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 22, 2026 16:45 Euroborg, Groningen

Groningen

#8 · 15 pts

3 – 0

Final score

AZ Alkmaar

#5 · 20 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Groningen 33%). The final result was Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar. In 1 previous meetings, Groningen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AZ Alkmaar.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

7

2.50

Actual xG

1.73

47%

Possession

53%

2

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

33.94%

Groningen ←

26.21%

X

39.85%

AZ

we assigned to the actual result (Groningen) 33.94% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Groningen

1.18

2.50

+1.32

AZ

1.48

1.73

+0.25

Groningen dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Feyenoord	10	24
2	Ajax	10	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	20
4	Twente	10	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	18
7	Heerenveen	10	15
8	Groningen	10	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	14
10	Cambuur	10	12
11	Utrecht	10	12
12	NEC Nijmegen	10	11
13	Excelsior	10	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	8
16	Telstar	10	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	6
18	Willem II	10	2