O. Govea
(ast. F. Gonzalez)
8'
5'
J. Marquez
66'
(ast. C. Rodriguez)
A. Palavecino
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 42% win probability (draw 24%, Cruz Azul 32%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 Cruz Azul. In 5 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 3 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
8
0.55
Actual xG
0.98
6
Saves
6
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
7
7
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
J. Marquez⚽
⚽O. Govea
· ast. F. Gonzalez
8'
31'
J. Paradela
F. Gonzalez
42'
E. Alvarez
/ R. Marin
46'
S. Sandoval
/ D. Aguirre
57'
R. Ledezma
/ Y. Padilla
57'
66'
ast. C. Rodriguez ·
A. Palavecino⚽
70'
L. Romero
/
C. Rotondi
71'
G. Fernandez
/
C. Ebere
J. Castillo
/ S. Aguayo
71'
M. Gomez
/ H. Camberos
71'
81'
O. Campos
83'
A. Montano
/
O. Campos
83'
J. Orozco
/
A. Palavecino
S. Aguayo
86'
90'+1
A. Morales
/
J. Paradela
90'+8
J. Marquez
Pre-match prediction
42.38%
Guadalajara
24.97%
X
32.65%
Cruz ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
32.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
0.55
-1.18
1.50
0.98
-0.52
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
24
Miguel Gómez
71'
D
Miguel Gómez
71'
D
5
Bryan González
D
Bryan González
D
19
Diego Campillo
D
Diego Campillo
D
2
José Castillo
71'
D
José Castillo
71'
D
37
Richard Ledezma
57'
D
Richard Ledezma
57'
D
10
Efrain Alvarez
45'
M
Efrain Alvarez
45'
M
226
Santiago Sandoval
57'
M
Santiago Sandoval
57'
M
28
Fernando González
1 👟
M
Fernando González
1 👟
M
6
Omar Govea
1 ⚽
M
Omar Govea
1 ⚽
M
20
Ángel Sepúlveda
F
Ángel Sepúlveda
F
Bench
225
Cristian Samir Inda
M
Cristian Samir Inda
M
23
Daniel Aguirre
39'
M
Daniel Aguirre
39'
M
3
Gilberto Sepúlveda
D
Gilberto Sepúlveda
D
26
Hugo Camberos
25'
M
Hugo Camberos
25'
M
18
Jonathan Perez
M
Jonathan Perez
M
201
Juan Liceaga
G
Juan Liceaga
G
4
Miguel Tapias
D
Miguel Tapias
D
17
Ricardo Marín
51'
F
Ricardo Marín
51'
F
67
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
25'
F
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
25'
F
31
Yael Padilla
39'
F
Yael Padilla
39'
F
23
Kevin Mier
G
Kevin Mier
G
3
O. Campos
83'
D
O. Campos
83'
D
33
G. Piovi
D
G. Piovi
D
17
Amaury Garcia
D
Amaury Garcia
D
4
W. Ditta
D
W. Ditta
D
16
Jeremy Márquez
1 ⚽
D
Jeremy Márquez
1 ⚽
D
29
C. Rotondi
70'
M
C. Rotondi
70'
M
19
Carlos Rodríguez
1 👟
M
Carlos Rodríguez
1 👟
M
8
A. Palavecino
1 ⚽
83'
M
A. Palavecino
1 ⚽
83'
M
20
J. Paradela
M
J. Paradela
M
11
C. Ebere
71'
F
C. Ebere
71'
F
Bench
194
Amaury Morales
5'
M
Amaury Morales
5'
M
1
Andrés Gudiño
G
Andrés Gudiño
G
10
Andres Montaño
13'
M
Andres Montaño
13'
M
170
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
32
Cristian Jiménez
M
Cristian Jiménez
M
21
G. Fernández
25'
F
G. Fernández
25'
F
5
Jesús Orozco
13'
D
Jesús Orozco
13'
D
22
Jorge Rodarte Barragan
D
Jorge Rodarte Barragan
D
18
L. Romero
26'
F
L. Romero
26'
F
214
Mateo Levy
F
Mateo Levy
F
Best on the pitch
Óscar Whalley
G · Guadalajara
8.20
· 34 pass
Omar Govea
M · Guadalajara
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
A. Palavecino
M · Cruz
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Jeremy Márquez
D · Cruz
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
W. Ditta
D · Cruz
7.50
· 49 pass
Fernando González
M · Guadalajara
7.50
1 👟
· 52 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Bryan González | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Campillo | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Richard Ledezma | D | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Efrain Alvarez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Sandoval | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Fernando González | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Omar Govea | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Ángel Sepúlveda | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Aguirre | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Camberos | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Marín | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yael Padilla | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Mier | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| O. Campos | D | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Amaury Garcia | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| W. Ditta | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeremy Márquez | D | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Rodríguez | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 83 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Amaury Morales | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Andres Montaño | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Fernández | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Orozco | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Cruz Azul win.