O. Govea
(ast. F. Gonzalez)
8'
5'
J. Marquez
66'
(ast. C. Rodriguez)
A. Palavecino
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 42% win probability (draw 24%, Cruz Azul 32%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 Cruz Azul. In 5 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 3 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
8
0.55
Actual xG
0.98
6
Saves
6
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
7
7
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
J. Marquez⚽
⚽O. Govea
· ast. F. Gonzalez
8'
31'
J. Paradela
F. Gonzalez
42'
E. Alvarez
/ R. Marin
46'
S. Sandoval
/ D. Aguirre
57'
R. Ledezma
/ Y. Padilla
57'
66'
ast. C. Rodriguez ·
A. Palavecino⚽
70'
L. Romero
/
C. Rotondi
71'
G. Fernandez
/
C. Ebere
J. Castillo
/ S. Aguayo
71'
M. Gomez
/ H. Camberos
71'
81'
O. Campos
83'
A. Montano
/
O. Campos
83'
J. Orozco
/
A. Palavecino
S. Aguayo
86'
90'+1
A. Morales
/
J. Paradela
90'+8
J. Marquez
Pre-match prediction
42.38%
Guadalajara
24.97%
X
32.65%
Cruz ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
32.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
0.55
-1.18
1.50
0.98
-0.52
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
24
Miguel Gómez
71'
D
Miguel Gómez
71'
D
5
B. González
D
B. González
D
19
D. Campillo
D
D. Campillo
D
2
José Castillo
71'
D
José Castillo
71'
D
37
R. Ledezma
57'
D
R. Ledezma
57'
D
10
E. Álvarez
45'
M
E. Álvarez
45'
M
226
Santiago Sandoval
57'
M
Santiago Sandoval
57'
M
28
R. González
1 👟
M
R. González
1 👟
M
6
O. Govea
1 ⚽
M
O. Govea
1 ⚽
M
20
Á. Sepúlveda
F
Á. Sepúlveda
F
Bench
225
C. Inda
M
C. Inda
M
23
D. Aguirre
39'
M
D. Aguirre
39'
M
3
G. Sepúlveda
D
G. Sepúlveda
D
26
H. Camberos
25'
M
H. Camberos
25'
M
18
J. Pérez
M
J. Pérez
M
201
Juan Liceaga
G
Juan Liceaga
G
4
Miguel Tapias
D
Miguel Tapias
D
17
R. Marín
51'
F
R. Marín
51'
F
67
S. Aguayo
25'
F
S. Aguayo
25'
F
31
Y. Padilla
39'
F
Y. Padilla
39'
F
23
Kevin Mier
G
Kevin Mier
G
3
O. Campos
83'
D
O. Campos
83'
D
33
G. Piovi
D
G. Piovi
D
17
A. García
D
A. García
D
4
W. Ditta
D
W. Ditta
D
16
J. Márquez
1 ⚽
D
J. Márquez
1 ⚽
D
29
C. Rotondi
70'
M
C. Rotondi
70'
M
19
C. Rodríguez
1 👟
M
C. Rodríguez
1 👟
M
8
A. Palavecino
1 ⚽
83'
M
A. Palavecino
1 ⚽
83'
M
20
J. Paradela
M
J. Paradela
M
11
C. Ebere
71'
F
C. Ebere
71'
F
Bench
1
A. Gudiño
G
A. Gudiño
G
194
Amaury Morales
5'
M
Amaury Morales
5'
M
10
A. Montaño
13'
M
A. Montaño
13'
M
170
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
32
Cristian Jiménez
M
Cristian Jiménez
M
21
G. Fernández
25'
F
G. Fernández
25'
F
5
J. Orozco
13'
D
J. Orozco
13'
D
22
J. Rodarte
D
J. Rodarte
D
18
L. Romero
26'
F
L. Romero
26'
F
214
Mateo Levy
F
Mateo Levy
F
Best on the pitch
Óscar Whalley
G · Guadalajara
8.20
· 34 pass
O. Govea
M · Guadalajara
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
A. Palavecino
M · Cruz
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
J. Márquez
D · Cruz
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
W. Ditta
D · Cruz
7.50
· 49 pass
R. González
M · Guadalajara
7.50
1 👟
· 52 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. González | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Campillo | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Ledezma | D | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Sandoval | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. González | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| O. Govea | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Sepúlveda | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| H. Camberos | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Marín | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Aguayo | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Padilla | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Mier | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| O. Campos | D | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| A. García | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| W. Ditta | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | D | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 83 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Amaury Morales | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Montaño | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Fernández | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Cruz Azul win.