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Liga MX · Apertura - 2 July 26, 2026 01:07 Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Guadalajara Chivas
#3 · 26 pts
1 – 0
Final score
FC Juarez
#18 · 5 pts
R. Alvarado (ast. R. Marin) 90'+6
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 37% win probability (draw 31%, FC Juarez 30%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Juarez.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
0
1.90
Actual xG
0.49
0
Saves
7
78%
Possession
22%
19
Corners
2
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
H. Ortega
↕ J. Carrillo / E. Alvarez
61'
66'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin / J. Aquino ↕
66'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I. / Ricardinho ↕
66'
Monchu / H. Ortega ↕
70'
L. Dupuy / O. Estupinan ↕
↕ B. Gutierrez / K. Castaneda
74'
↕ R. Ledezma / R. Marin
74'
↕ J. Castillo / D. Campillo Del Campo
74'
82'
Juarez Ricardo / G. Sepulveda ↕
87'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
↕ B. Gonzalez / J. Perez
90'+3
⚽R. Alvarado · ast. R. Marin
90'+6
R. Marin
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.96%
Guadalajara ←
31.42%
X
30.62%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 37.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guadalajara
1.50
1.90
+0.4
FC
1.37
0.49
-0.88
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 13 27
2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 14 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 14 26
4 Atlas Atlas 14 24
5 Toluca Toluca 14 23
6 Leon Leon 14 22
7 Monterrey Monterrey 13 20
8 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 20
9 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 20
10 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 19
11 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 19
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 17
13 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 16
14 Puebla Puebla 14 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 14 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 14 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 14 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 14 5
Lineups
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
1 J. Rangel J. Rangel G 6.90
2 J. Castillo J. Castillo 74' D 7.20
7 L. Romo L. Romo D 8.20
23 D. Aguirre D. Aguirre D 7.90
28 R. González R. González M 8.00
5 B. González B. González 89' M 6.90
33 J. Carrillo J. Carrillo 61' M 6.20
11 B. Gutiérrez B. Gutiérrez 74' M 7.30
37 R. Ledezma R. Ledezma 74' M 7.50
34 A. González A. González F 6.30
25 R. Alvarado R. Alvarado 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
56 Á. Chávez Á. Chávez D
3 D. Campillo D. Campillo 16' D 6.60
10 E. Álvarez E. Álvarez 29' F 6.60
18 J. Pérez J. Pérez 1' M
19 K. Castañeda K. Castañeda 16' M 7.30
16 L. Rey L. Rey D
24 M. Gómez M. Gómez D
13 Óscar Whalley Óscar Whalley G
17 R. Marín R. Marín 1 👟 16' F 7.50
67 S. Aguayo S. Aguayo F
FC Juarez FC Juarez 5-4-1
1 S. Jurado S. Jurado G 7.90
4 A. Mayorga A. Mayorga D 6.20
23 H. Ortega H. Ortega 66' D 7.30
3 J. Murillo J. Murillo D 7.60
2 G. Sepúlveda G. Sepúlveda 82' D 7.20
20 J. Aquino J. Aquino 66' D 7.20
11 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez M 6.70
8 Guilherme Castilho Guilherme Castilho M 6.70
5 D. García D. García M 7.50
21 Ricardinho Ricardinho 66' M 6.30
19 Ó. Estupiñán Ó. Estupiñán 70' F 6.70
Bench
29 E. Ayón E. Ayón F
33 F. Nevárez F. Nevárez 24' D 6.90
27 Guillermo Ruiz Guillermo Ruiz G
201 J. Carmona J. Carmona M
10 J. Torres J. Torres 24' F 6.30
17 L. Martínez Dupuy L. Martínez Dupuy 20' F 6.30
6 Monchu Monchu 24' M 6.70
7 R. Fulgencio R. Fulgencio M
198 Ricardo Juárez Ricardo Juárez 8' D 6.50
25 Said Godínez Said Godínez M
Best on the pitch
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
F · Guadalajara
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 80 pass
L. Romo
L. Romo
D · Guadalajara
8.20
· 75 pass
R. González
R. González
M · Guadalajara
8.00
· 91 pass
D. Aguirre
D. Aguirre
D · Guadalajara
7.90
· 74 pass
S. Jurado
S. Jurado
G · FC
7.90
· 32 pass
J. Murillo
J. Murillo
D · FC
7.60
· 14 pass
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Rangel G 90 6.90 — — — 27 25% — — —
J. Castillo D 74 7.20 — — — 71 61% 1 — —
L. Romo D 90 8.20 — — — 75 68% 2 — —
D. Aguirre D 90 7.90 — — — 74 65% 2 — —
R. González M 90 8.00 — — — 91 83% — — —
B. González M 89 6.90 — — 3 43 41% 2 — —
J. Carrillo M 61 6.20 — — 3 53 46% — — —
B. Gutiérrez M 74 7.30 — — — 62 53% 1 — —
R. Ledezma M 74 7.50 — — — 50 42% 4 — —
A. González F 90 6.30 — — 3 18 10% — — —
R. Alvarado F 90 8.50 1 — 1 80 74% 1 — —
D. Campillo D 16 6.60 — — — 18 17% — — —
E. Álvarez F 29 6.60 — — 1 25 23% — — —
J. Pérez M 1 — — — — 8 7% — — —
K. Castañeda M 16 7.30 — — 1 26 25% — — —
R. Marín F 16 7.50 — 1 1 4 3% — 1 —
FC Juarez FC Juarez — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Jurado G 90 7.90 — — — 32 12% — — —
A. Mayorga D 90 6.20 — — — 17 12% — — —
H. Ortega D 66 7.30 — — — 7 6% 3 1 —
J. Murillo D 90 7.60 — — — 14 11% 2 — —
G. Sepúlveda D 82 7.20 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
J. Aquino D 66 7.20 — — — 12 10% 2 — —
J. Rodríguez M 90 6.70 — — 2 20 17% — — —
Guilherme Castilho M 90 6.70 — — — 25 16% — — —
D. García M 90 7.50 — — — 22 16% 7 — —
Ricardinho M 66 6.30 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Ó. Estupiñán F 70 6.70 — — 2 12 9% — — —
F. Nevárez D 24 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
J. Torres F 24 6.30 — — — 7 5% — 1 —
L. Martínez Dupuy F 20 6.30 — — 2 4 2% 1 — —
Monchu M 24 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Ricardo Juárez D 8 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an FC Juarez win.