R. Alvarado
(ast. R. Marin)
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 37% win probability (draw 31%, FC Juarez 30%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
0
1.90
Actual xG
0.49
0
Saves
7
78%
Possession
22%
19
Corners
2
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
H. Ortega
J. Carrillo
/ E. Alvarez
61'
66'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
/
J. Aquino
66'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
/
Ricardinho
66'
Monchu
/
H. Ortega
70'
L. Dupuy
/
O. Estupinan
B. Gutierrez
/ K. Castaneda
74'
R. Ledezma
/ R. Marin
74'
J. Castillo
/ D. Campillo Del Campo
74'
82'
Juarez Ricardo
/
G. Sepulveda
87'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
B. Gonzalez
/ J. Perez
90'+3
⚽R. Alvarado
· ast. R. Marin
90'+6
R. Marin
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.96%
Guadalajara ←
31.42%
X
30.62%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas)
37.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
1.90
+0.4
1.37
0.49
-0.88
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Rangel
G
J. Rangel
G
2
José Castillo
74'
D
José Castillo
74'
D
7
L. Romo
D
L. Romo
D
23
D. Aguirre
D
D. Aguirre
D
28
R. González
M
R. González
M
5
Bryan González
89'
M
Bryan González
89'
M
33
J. Carrillo
61'
M
J. Carrillo
61'
M
11
B. Gutiérrez
74'
M
B. Gutiérrez
74'
M
37
R. Ledezma
74'
M
R. Ledezma
74'
M
34
A. González
F
A. González
F
25
R. Alvarado
1 ⚽
F
R. Alvarado
1 ⚽
F
Bench
56
Á. Chávez
D
Á. Chávez
D
3
D. Campillo
16'
D
D. Campillo
16'
D
10
E. Álvarez
29'
F
E. Álvarez
29'
F
18
J. Pérez
1'
M
J. Pérez
1'
M
19
K. Castañeda
16'
M
K. Castañeda
16'
M
16
Luis Gabriel Rey
D
Luis Gabriel Rey
D
24
Miguel Gómez
D
Miguel Gómez
D
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
17
R. Marín
1 👟
16'
F
R. Marín
1 👟
16'
F
67
S. Aguayo
F
S. Aguayo
F
1
S. Jurado
G
S. Jurado
G
4
A. Mayorga
D
A. Mayorga
D
23
H. Ortega
66'
D
H. Ortega
66'
D
3
J. Murillo
D
J. Murillo
D
2
G. Sepúlveda
82'
D
G. Sepúlveda
82'
D
20
J. Aquino
66'
D
J. Aquino
66'
D
11
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
M
Guilherme Castilho
M
5
D. García
M
D. García
M
21
Ricardinho
66'
M
Ricardinho
66'
M
19
Ó. Estupiñán
70'
F
Ó. Estupiñán
70'
F
Bench
29
E. Ayón
F
E. Ayón
F
33
F. Nevárez
24'
D
F. Nevárez
24'
D
27
Guillermo Ruiz
G
Guillermo Ruiz
G
201
Jan Carmona
M
10
J. Torres
24'
F
J. Torres
24'
F
17
L. Martínez Dupuy
20'
F
L. Martínez Dupuy
20'
F
6
Monchu
24'
M
Monchu
24'
M
7
R. Fulgencio
M
R. Fulgencio
M
198
Ricardo Juárez
8'
D
Ricardo Juárez
8'
D
25
Said Godínez
M
Said Godínez
M
Best on the pitch
R. Alvarado
F · Guadalajara
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 80 pass
L. Romo
D · Guadalajara
8.20
· 75 pass
R. González
M · Guadalajara
8.00
· 91 pass
D. Aguirre
D · Guadalajara
7.90
· 74 pass
S. Jurado
G · FC
7.90
· 32 pass
J. Murillo
D · FC
7.60
· 14 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rangel | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Romo | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| R. González | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 91 | 83% | — | — | — |
| Bryan González | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carrillo | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ledezma | M | 74 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| A. González | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 80 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Campillo | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Pérez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Castañeda | M | 16 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Marín | F | 16 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Mayorga | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Ortega | D | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Murillo | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Sepúlveda | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Aquino | D | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. García | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 7 | — | — |
| Ricardinho | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ó. Estupiñán | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| F. Nevárez | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Torres | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Martínez Dupuy | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Juárez | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an FC Juarez win.