R. Alvarado
(ast. R. Marin)
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 37% win probability (draw 31%, FC Juarez 30%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
0
1.90
Actual xG
0.49
0
Saves
7
78%
Possession
22%
19
Corners
2
13
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
H. Ortega
J. Carrillo
/ E. Alvarez
61'
66'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
/
J. Aquino
66'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
/
Ricardinho
66'
Monchu
/
H. Ortega
70'
L. Dupuy
/
O. Estupinan
B. Gutierrez
/ K. Castaneda
74'
R. Ledezma
/ R. Marin
74'
J. Castillo
/ D. Campillo Del Campo
74'
82'
Juarez Ricardo
/
G. Sepulveda
87'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
B. Gonzalez
/ J. Perez
90'+3
⚽R. Alvarado
· ast. R. Marin
90'+6
R. Marin
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.96%
Guadalajara ←
31.42%
X
30.62%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas)
37.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
1.90
+0.4
1.37
0.49
-0.88
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Raúl Rangel
G
Raúl Rangel
G
2
José Castillo
74'
D
José Castillo
74'
D
7
Luis Romo
D
Luis Romo
D
23
Daniel Aguirre
D
Daniel Aguirre
D
28
Fernando González
M
Fernando González
M
5
Bryan González
89'
M
Bryan González
89'
M
33
J. Carrillo
61'
M
J. Carrillo
61'
M
11
Brian Gutiérrez
74'
M
Brian Gutiérrez
74'
M
37
Richard Ledezma
74'
M
Richard Ledezma
74'
M
34
Armando González
F
Armando González
F
25
R. Alvarado
1 ⚽
F
R. Alvarado
1 ⚽
F
Bench
56
Ángel Chávez
D
Ángel Chávez
D
3
Diego Campillo
16'
D
Diego Campillo
16'
D
10
Efrain Alvarez
29'
F
Efrain Alvarez
29'
F
18
Jonathan Perez
1'
M
Jonathan Perez
1'
M
19
Kevin Castañeda
16'
M
Kevin Castañeda
16'
M
16
Luis Gabriel Rey
D
Luis Gabriel Rey
D
24
Miguel Gómez
D
Miguel Gómez
D
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
17
R. Marín
1 👟
16'
F
R. Marín
1 👟
16'
F
67
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
F
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
F
1
Sebastián Jurado
G
Sebastián Jurado
G
4
Alejandro Mayorga
D
Alejandro Mayorga
D
23
H. Ortega
66'
D
H. Ortega
66'
D
3
Jesús Murillo
D
Jesús Murillo
D
2
Gilberto Sepúlveda
82'
D
Gilberto Sepúlveda
82'
D
20
Javier Aquino
66'
D
Javier Aquino
66'
D
11
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
M
Guilherme Castilho
M
5
Denzell Garcia
M
Denzell Garcia
M
21
Ricardinho
66'
M
Ricardinho
66'
M
19
Óscar Estupiñán
70'
F
Óscar Estupiñán
70'
F
Bench
29
Ettson Ayón
F
Ettson Ayón
F
33
Francisco Nevarez
24'
D
Francisco Nevarez
24'
D
27
Guillermo Ruiz
G
Guillermo Ruiz
G
201
Jan Carmona
M
Jan Carmona
M
10
J. Torres
24'
F
J. Torres
24'
F
17
Luca Martínez Dupuy
20'
F
Luca Martínez Dupuy
20'
F
6
Monchu
24'
M
Monchu
24'
M
7
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
198
Ricardo Juárez
8'
D
Ricardo Juárez
8'
D
25
Said Godínez
M
Said Godínez
M
Best on the pitch
R. Alvarado
F · Guadalajara
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 80 pass
Luis Romo
D · Guadalajara
8.20
· 75 pass
Fernando González
M · Guadalajara
8.00
· 91 pass
Daniel Aguirre
D · Guadalajara
7.90
· 74 pass
Sebastián Jurado
G · FC
7.90
· 32 pass
Jesús Murillo
D · FC
7.60
· 14 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl Rangel | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Romo | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Aguirre | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando González | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 91 | 83% | — | — | — |
| Bryan González | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carrillo | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Brian Gutiérrez | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Ledezma | M | 74 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Armando González | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 80 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Campillo | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Efrain Alvarez | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Perez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Castañeda | M | 16 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Marín | F | 16 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Jurado | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Mayorga | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Ortega | D | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Murillo | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Gilberto Sepúlveda | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Aquino | D | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Denzell Garcia | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 7 | — | — |
| Ricardinho | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Óscar Estupiñán | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Nevarez | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Torres | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Martínez Dupuy | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Juárez | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an FC Juarez win.