Liga MX · Clausura - 9 March 19, 2026 03:07 Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Guadalajara Chivas

#12 · 4 pts

5 – 0

Final score

Leon

#14 · 3 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 67% win probability (draw 20%, Leon 11%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Leon. In 1 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leon.

Match statistics

16

Shots on target

1

5.17

Actual xG

0.11

76%

Possession

24%

12

Corners

0

Pre-match prediction

67.91%

Guadalajara ←

20.79%

X

11.31%

Leon

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 67.91% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Guadalajara

1.96

5.17

+3.21

Leon

0.65

0.11

-0.54

Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (5.17 vs 0.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	3	7
2	Club Tijuana	3	7
3	Toluca	3	6
4	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	3	6
5	Monterrey	3	6
6	Cruz Azul	3	6
7	Club Queretaro	3	6
8	Necaxa	3	6
9	Atlas	3	6
10	Atlante FC	3	4
11	Puebla	3	4
12	Guadalajara Chivas	3	4
13	CF Pachuca	3	3
14	Leon	3	3
15	Atletico San Luis	3	2
16	Tigres UANL	3	1
17	Santos Laguna	3	0
18	FC Juarez	3	0