Liga MX · Clausura - 9 March 19, 2026 03:07 Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Guadalajara Chivas

#1 · 35 pts

5 – 0

Final score

Leon

#10 · 22 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 67% win probability (draw 20%, Leon 11%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Leon. In 1 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leon.

Match statistics

16

Shots on target

1

5.17

Actual xG

0.11

76%

Possession

24%

12

Corners

0

Pre-match prediction

67.91%

Guadalajara ←

20.79%

X

11.31%

Leon

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 67.91% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Guadalajara

1.96

5.17

+3.21

Leon

0.65

0.11

-0.54

Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (5.17 vs 0.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	35
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	33
3	CF Pachuca	16	31
4	Cruz Azul	16	30
5	Toluca	16	27
6	Club America	16	25
7	Atlas	16	23
8	Tigres UANL	16	22
9	Club Tijuana	16	22
10	Leon	16	22
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	Monterrey	16	18
13	Atletico San Luis	16	18
14	Necaxa	16	18
15	FC Juarez	16	16
16	Mazatlán	16	15
17	Puebla	17	13
18	Santos Laguna	16	9