Liga MX · Clausura - 9 March 19, 2026 03:07 Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Guadalajara Chivas

#3 · 18 pts

5 – 0

Final score

Leon

#5 · 17 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 67% win probability (draw 20%, Leon 11%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Leon. In 1 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leon.

Match statistics

16

Shots on target

1

5.17

Actual xG

0.11

76%

Possession

24%

12

Corners

0

Pre-match prediction

67.91%

Guadalajara ←

20.79%

X

11.31%

Leon

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 67.91% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Guadalajara

1.96

5.17

+3.21

Leon

0.65

0.11

-0.54

Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (5.17 vs 0.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Toluca	10	20
2	Club America	9	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	18
4	Club Queretaro	9	17
5	Leon	10	17
6	Atlas	10	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	14
9	Puebla	10	14
10	Monterrey	9	13
11	CF Pachuca	10	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	10	12
13	Atletico San Luis	10	12
14	Atlante FC	10	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	10
17	Necaxa	10	8
18	FC Juarez	10	3