Liga MX · Clausura - 9 March 19, 2026 03:07

Guadalajara Chivas

#1 · 35 pts

5 – 0

Final score

Leon

#10 · 22 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 67% win probability (draw 20%, Leon 11%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Leon. In 1 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leon.

Match statistics

16

Shots on target

1

5.17

Actual xG

0.11

76%

Possession

24%

12

Corners

0

Pre-match prediction

67.91%

Guadalajara ←

20.79%

X

11.31%

Leon

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 67.91% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Guadalajara

1.96

5.17

+3.21

Leon

0.65

0.11

-0.54

Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (5.17 vs 0.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monterrey	2	3
1	Toluca	17	37
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	35
1	Toluca	2	3
1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	36
1	CF Pachuca	1	3
1	Cruz Azul	2	4
1	FC Juarez	1	3
2	Tigres UANL	17	36
2	Tigres UANL	2	3
2	Toluca	2	3
2	CF Pachuca	1	0
2	Guadalajara Chivas	17	36
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	33
2	Toluca	2	4
2	Club Tijuana	1	3
3	Tigres UANL	2	3
3	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1	0
3	Cruz Azul	17	35
3	Cruz Azul	17	33
3	Cruz Azul	2	2
3	CF Pachuca	16	31
4	Tigres UANL	2	2
4	Cruz Azul	16	30
4	Monterrey	2	3
4	Club America	17	34
4	FC Juarez	1	0
4	CF Pachuca	17	31
5	Toluca	16	27
5	Toluca	17	30
5	Monterrey	17	31
5	Club America	2	3
6	Atlas	17	26
6	Guadalajara Chivas	17	29
6	Club Tijuana	2	3
6	Club America	16	25
7	Atlas	16	23
7	Tigres UANL	17	25
7	Club Tijuana	17	24
7	Guadalajara Chivas	2	1
8	FC Juarez	17	23
8	Club America	17	25
8	FC Juarez	2	1
8	Tigres UANL	16	22
9	Club Tijuana	17	23
9	CF Pachuca	17	22
9	Club Tijuana	16	22
10	Leon	16	22
10	Leon	17	22
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	21
11	Santos Laguna	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	FC Juarez	17	19
12	Monterrey	16	18
13	Monterrey	17	18
13	Atletico San Luis	16	18
13	Necaxa	17	17
14	Atletico San Luis	17	18
14	Atlas	17	17
14	Necaxa	16	18
15	Necaxa	17	18
15	FC Juarez	16	16
15	Atletico San Luis	17	16
16	Mazatlán	17	15
16	Mazatlán	17	14
16	Mazatlán	16	15
17	Leon	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
18	Santos Laguna	17	12
18	Puebla	17	12
18	Santos Laguna	16	9