Guadalajara Chivas - Leones Negros UDG
Friendlies Clubs
July 11, 2026 04:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.49%
Win
Guadalajara Chivas
33.35%
Draw
33.17%
Win
Leones Negros UDG
0.8
0.84
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(19.5%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Guadalajara Chivas a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Leones Negros UDG. Expected goals are 0.8 for Guadalajara Chivas and 0.8 for Leones Negros UDG (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 19.5% probability.
Season Stats
1W
2D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.3
Goals
0.0
0.0
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Guadalajara Chivas
Leones Negros UDG →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.5% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack
7
Defence
100
Form
54
Leones Negros UDG
Attack
0
Defence
25
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Leones Negros UDG?
The model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Leones Negros UDG win.
How many goals are expected in Guadalajara Chivas vs Leones Negros UDG?
Expected goals: Guadalajara Chivas 0.8, Leones Negros UDG 0.8 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Leones Negros UDG?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.5%.